Karpuc’s Favorite NBA Bet For Friday's Slate

Season Record: 25-13 (65.8%); Pick For Friday, February 11

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The Pick: Hawks -8 vs. Spurs


I've won four straight bets that I've highlighted in this column and have now gone 25-13 (65.8%) overall. For full transparency's sake, you can scroll down to the bottom of this article and see every bet I've recommended so far this season. Now let's get to today's pick...

After trading away Derrick White, Thaddeus Young and Drew Eubanks, it’s clear that this Spurs team is committing to a rebuild.

Outside of Dejounte Murray (who I love), San Antonio will likely rely on Jakob Poeltl, Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell and Lonnie Walker IV to make things happen offensively. In other words, I like whoever they’re playing.

Today, that’s the Hawks, who have covered nine of their last 11 games. The last time these two teams played was back in November and the Hawks cruised to a 124-106 victory in San Antonio.

Insanely, Atlanta has covered the spread in 24 of their 26 outright wins and has failed to cover the spread in all 28 of their outright losses this season. It’s hard to believe that’s a real thing, but it is. Therefore, if you think ATL will win this game (like I do), you might as well also bet on them to cover. 

Over the last 15 games, the Hawks own the NBA's 4th-best Offensive Rating (116.2) and with San Antonio's roster shakeup, I like Atlanta to win big.

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Published NBA Picks: 2021-2022 Season (25-13, 65.8%)

☑️ Wednesday 2/9: Raptors -9.5 at Thunder (Result: Raptors Won By 19)
☑️ Tuesday 2/8: Celtics -3.5 at Nets (Result: Celtics Won By 35)
☑️ Monday 2/7: Suns-Bulls Over 228 (Result: 251)
☑️ Monday 2/7: Devin Booker Over 2.5 Made Threes (Result: 5 Made Threes)
❌ Monday 2/7: Suns -6.5 at Bulls (Result: Suns Won By 3)
☑️ Friday 2/4: Thunder +7.5 at Blazers (Result: Thunder Won By 3)
❌ Thursday 2/3: Suns -4.5 at Hawks (Result: Hawks Won By 9)
❌ Wednesday 2/2: Joel Embiid Over 32.5 vs. Wizards (Result: 27)
☑️ Saturday 1/29: Joel Embiid Over 32.5 vs. Kings (Result: 36)
❌ Friday 1/28: Pistons +3.5 at Magic (Result: Pistons Lost By 16)
☑️ Thursday 1/27: Warriors -5.5 vs. Timberwolves (Result: Warriors Won By 9)
☑️ Wednesday 1/26: Hawks -7.5 vs. Kings (Result: Hawks Won By 17)
☑️ Tuesday 1/25: Nikola Jokic Over 8.5 Assists (Result: 9)
☑️ Monday 1/24: Knicks-Cavaliers Under 204 (Result: 188)
❌ Friday 1/21: Bucks -8.5 vs. Bulls (Result: Bucks Won By 4)
☑️ Thursday 1/20: Suns-Mavericks Under 216.5 (Result: 210)
❌ Wednesday 1/19: James Harden Over 10.5 Assists (Result: 9)
❌ Tuesday 1/18: Pistons +15.5 at Warriors (Result: Pistons Lost By 16)
❌ Monday 1/17: Trail Blazers-Magic Over 215 (Result: 186)
❌ Friday 1/14: Raptors ML & Grizzlies ML Parlay (Result: Raptors & Grizzlies Lost)
☑️ Thursday 1/13: Grizzlies -4.5 vs. Timberwolves (Result: Grizzlies Won By 8)
❌ Wednesday 1/12: Spurs -6 vs. Rockets (Result: Spurs Lost By 4)
☑️ Tuesday 1/11: Grizzlies +100 ML vs. Warriors (Result: Grizzlies Won)
☑️ Monday 1/10: Bucks-Hornets Under 237.5 (Result: 202)
☑️ Friday 1/7: Raptors -11.5 vs. Jazz (Result: Raptors Won By 14)
☑️ Thursday 1/6: Pistons-Grizzlies Under 220 (Result: 206)
☑️ Wednesday 1/5: Hornets -9.5 vs. Pistons (Result: Hornets Won By 29)
❌ Tuesday 1/4: LeBron James Over 48.5 P&R&A (Result: 41)
☑️ Monday 1/3: Hawks-Blazers Over 226 (Result: 267)
☑️ Tuesday 12/28: Nuggets-Warriors Under 217.5 (Result: 167)
☑️ Wednesday 12/22: Thunder +5.5 vs. Nuggets (Result: Thunder Won By 14)
☑️ Tuesday 12/21: Suns -6.5 vs. Lakers (Result: Suns Won By 18
☑️ Monday 12/20: Thunder +8.5 vs. Grizzlies (Result: Thunder Won By 3)
☑️ Friday 12/17: LaMelo Ball & Damian Lillard 6+ 3s Combined (Result: 9)
☑️ Thursday 12/16: Pistons +10 at Pacers (Result: Pistons Lost By 9)
❌ Wednesday 12/15: Dewayne Dedmon Over 0.5 3s (Result: 0)
☑️ Tuesday 12/14: Raptors +8.5 at Nets (Result: Raptors Lost By 2)
❌ Monday 12/13: Hawks -11.5 vs. Rockets (Result: Hawks Lost By 6)

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