NFL Model Bets for Today

The Most Updated NFL Point Spreads

If you are here for NFL point spreads you came to the right place because at BetQL we have the most updated point spreads directly from the sportsbooks. If the point spread moves at all at the sportsbook you can be sure that we have the most updated line on this page. Having the most updated NFL point spread is crucial to being a successful football bettor. There is nothing worse that doing research for a game, coming to check the NFL point spreads for Sunday afternoon, heading to your sportsbook to place a bet and then seeing the point spread actually moved earlier that morning.

Whether you want to check for the most updated spreads and lines, or you want to know which way BetQL's model is picking don't worry we have your covered! Never get caught up by a website that is posting images of spreads from earlier in the week again, make sure you are looking at live NFL point spreads at BetQL!

NFL Point Spreads Explained

The most common way to bet on the NFL, and college football for that matter, is betting Against The Spread (ATS). So, what is betting ATS? For every game, there will be a point spread. The point spread will be shown next to each team and will always be inverse numbers of each other. For example you may see (-6) next to one team and (+6) next to the other. These numbers are the point spread and they will be inverse numbers every single time. The team that is favored will be listed with a negative number (ie. -6) and that is the number they need to win the game by. In this example the favorite must win by 6 or more points to “cover” the spread and win the bet. If they win the game by exactly 6-points the bet is considered a “push” or “no-bet”. The team with the positive number is called the underdog and next to their team will the same point spread number as the favorite, but positive. This number is the maximum their team can lose by. In this example the underdog can lose by 6 points or less to be considered a win. If the team loses by exactly 6 then the bet is considered a “push” or “no-bet”.

You may be wondering why NFL point spreads exist and the answer to that is to make it fair / more approachable to bet each side. The sportsbook aim is to get as many people to bet on the favorite as they have people betting the underdog. This is because they will make money no matter who wins if both sides are equal. Everyone has a good idea who is going to win the game straight up or "on the moneyline" but the point spread is added to even the game out and make things a bit more fair. No one thinks the Rams will lose to the Jaguars outright but when the Jaguars are given a 7.5 point head start things become a lot more fair.

NFL Point Spread Example: Green Bay Packers (-7) vs. Chicago Bears (+7)
(Packers Must Win By More Than 7 Points) Chicago Bears +7 (Bears Can’t Lose By More Than 7 Points)

The Green Bay Packers are playing the Chicago Bears in Chicago at Soldier Field, and the NFL point spread is set at 7 with the Packers favored. The Bears (+7) can lose the game by up to 7 points and still cover. The Packers (-7) must win the game by at least 8 points to cover the point spread, as a 7-point win would be a push and you just get your bet refunded. So, let’s say the Bears with their new starter Justin Fields beat Aaron Rodgers and the Packers 24 to 21. In this scenario, the Bears (+7) actually won 31 to 14 against the Packers (-7). That’s because if you are going by the point spread, you add 7 to the final score for the Bears, and take away 7 points for the Packers. Whoever came out on top after that calculation, was the winner of the bet. In this case, all Bears backers win and everyone who bet the Packers takes the loss.

NFL Odds Explained

When some one mentions NFL odds they are talking about the statistical probability that a team is likely to win the game. When betting on the NFL the odds will always be listed next to the point spread, the over under, or whatever line you are betting. For example if you are betting on an over under your sportsbook will show, Over (-110), Under (-120) these numbers are the odds and they signify how likely that bet is to win. The NFL odds will always be in parenthesis (-110) next to the bet type!

The format of NFL odds you will most likely see on your sportsbook is called American Odds, which works in values of 100. When you see (-110) that means you have to wager $110 to win $100. If you see (-250) that means you will have to wager $250 to win $100. American odds are easiest to understand when you are betting in multiples of 100. On the other side if you see a positive number that team is the underdog so if a team is (+110) it means if you place a $100 wager on that team and they will you will get $110.

We know betting against the spread can be a bit confusing and learning about NFL odds and point spreads isn't exactly easy so we wrote out some examples for you below

NFL Odds Example: Chicago Bears (+7, -110) vs. Green Bay Packers (-7, -110)

This NFL odds example should be fairly simple to understand once you know what the numbers mean. In this instance, both odds are listed as -110. This simply means is that in order to win $100, you must bet $110 dollars on either side. The amounts do not have to be this small or large either, as it would mean the same thing with any amount. An $11 wager would win you $10, while an $1,100 dollar wager would win you $1,000, and so on. This extra price you have to pay is called “vig” or “juice” on a line. Think of it like a tax you are having to pay the books to place your bet.

There are times when you will see a “plus-money” odds with a spread bet, however, that is very rare. If you do see one, it will simply have a “+” instead of a “-“ in front of the number. Let’s say the number is +160. What this means is that if you bet $100 on this line, you would win $160. So, you are not having to pay a tax at all, and instead, you are getting a much higher payout. Lines like these are always on a bet that is more unlikely to win, so you will have to be okay with the risk that involves being in the unfavorable situation. The larger the odds, the bigger the underdog, and the more you can win by betting them if they win.

Luckily for all of us, BetQL is here to tell us if there is any value in the lines that get released each week. If a team is favored by a -500 mark, you have to bet $500 to win $100, which means that is a huge favorite and a big risk if they lose. BetQL will let you know

NFL Lines Explained:

Lines are very easy to figure out. When someone says “What’s the line?”, they are basically just asking you what the spread is. In the examples from above, you’d just say that the spread is 7 with Green Bay favored, and the odds are -110 both ways. When you go to the sportsbook, you’ll see a whole bunch of numbers that will probably be confusing or overwhelming to the novice sports bettor. Betting the NFL can also be heartbreaking, but by knowing what the line is, you’ll be able to make a more informed bet. Don’t go into a sportsbook unprepared and without knowing what certain dialogue means. BetQL is here to help you bet on these lines and make smarter bets that win.

Want More Picks?

BetQL has picks for all different sports and bet types, so no matter how you want to win tonight, we have you covered. This time of year we recommend you check out our basketball picks. It is playoff time and we have all different types of NBA best bets to ensure you have a winning night. Check out all of our different NBA picks, such as our moneyline picks, over under picks, and NBA computer picks. Take advantage of the sportsbooks during the NBA playoffs with BetQL!

MLB is back and we have all the data and picks you need to have a great year betting on baseball. Check out the MLB best bets for today from our model. Find out which way both the MLB experts are picking for every game and take a look at some MLB over under picks to have a winning night.

We also have all the sportsbook offers and promotions that you need to have a positive year betting on the MLB.

What are we Betting on Right Now?

Want to keep up to date with what everyone at BetQL is betting on right now? It is playoff time so you know we are stepping up our NBA articles. Check out below what we are betting on

As always you can find the NBA picks for today from our BetQL team and our NBA prop picks for tonight here. Don’t waste your time researching basketball bets for the playoffs when we have already done all the work for you!

For all our baseball fans out there check out our MLB prop bets for today some of the best value you can get betting on baseball comes from prop bets, so tail our experts tonight!