Karpuc’s Best NBA Bet For Thursday, February 3

Published NBA pick record: 20-11 (64.5%)

My biggest betting triumph of the season came last night, when I accurately predicted the Thunder to beat the Mavericks outright at +605 in BetQL’s daily Underdog Picks column. That came in direct contrast to my pick in yesterday’s version of this best bet article: Joel Embiid to score over 32.5 points vs. the Wizards. He only put up a measly 27, dropping my overall record on NBA published picks to 20-11 (64.5%) on the season. To see the full history with links to every past pick, scroll down to the bottom of this article. Onto today’s pick… 

The Pick: Suns -4.5 at Hawks

The Suns are the best team in the NBA right now. Not only do they have the best overall record at 41-9, but they’re riding a 10-game winning streak into this matchup against the Hawks in Atlanta. Phoenix has gone 18-4 SU and 14-8 ATS on the road this season as well, having won seven straight outright with six covers on the streak. The Hawks (24-26) have been on fire in their own right, having won and covered in seven consecutive games as well, but with Deandre Ayton back and Jae Crowder presumed back, the Suns will be close to full strength once again. 

Meanwhile, Trae Young will be a gametime decision for Atlanta and will undoubtedly be playing at less than 100% if he suits up, dealing with a sore right shoulder. Even if he plays, know that crafty veteran Chris Paul will be very aware of that ailment.

Not only that, but despite the fact that Phoenix has the best record in the league, both Devin Booker and Paul weren’t voted in as All-Star starters and should be named as reserves tonight. On the nationally-televised TNT broadcast, I fully expect both (especially Booker) to ball out and let fans know that they deserve more respect.

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Overall, I view these two teams in completely different classes despite their recent form and if Young is ultimately ruled out, getting Phoenix at this number is an absolute steal.

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Published NBA Picks: 2021-2022 Season (20-11, 64.5%)

❌ Wednesday 2/2: Joel Embiid Over 32.5 vs. Wizards (Result: 27)
☑️ Saturday 1/29: Joel Embiid Over 32.5 vs. Kings (Result: 36)
❌ Friday 1/28: Pistons +3.5 at Magic (Result: Pistons Lost By 16)
☑️ Thursday 1/27: Warriors -5.5 vs. Timberwolves (Result: Warriors Won By 9)
☑️ Wednesday 1/26: Hawks -7.5 vs. Kings (Result: Hawks Won By 17)
☑️ Tuesday 1/25: Nikola Jokic Over 8.5 Assists (Result: 9)
☑️ Monday 1/24: Knicks-Cavaliers Under 204 (Result: 188)
❌ Friday 1/21: Bucks -8.5 vs. Bulls (Result: Bucks Won By 4)
☑️ Thursday 1/20: Suns-Mavericks Under 216.5 (Result: 210)
❌ Wednesday 1/19: James Harden Over 10.5 Assists (Result: 9)
❌ Tuesday 1/18: Pistons +15.5 at Warriors (Result: Pistons Lost By 16)
❌ Monday 1/17: Trail Blazers-Magic Over 215 (Result: 186)
❌ Friday 1/14: Raptors ML & Grizzlies ML Parlay (Result: Raptors & Grizzlies Lost)
☑️ Thursday 1/13: Grizzlies -4.5 vs. Timberwolves (Result: Grizzlies Won By 8)
❌ Wednesday 1/12: Spurs -6 vs. Rockets (Result: Spurs Lost By 4)
☑️ Tuesday 1/11: Grizzlies +100 ML vs. Warriors (Result: Grizzlies Won)
☑️ Monday 1/10: Bucks-Hornets Under 237.5 (Result: 202)
☑️ Friday 1/7: Raptors -11.5 vs. Jazz (Result: Raptors Won By 14)
☑️ Thursday 1/6: Pistons-Grizzlies Under 220 (Result: 206)
☑️ Wednesday 1/5: Hornets -9.5 vs. Pistons (Result: Hornets Won By 29)
❌ Tuesday 1/4: LeBron James Over 48.5 P&R&A (Result: 41)
☑️ Monday 1/3: Hawks-Blazers Over 226 (Result: 267)
☑️ Tuesday 12/28: Nuggets-Warriors Under 217.5 (Result: 167)
☑️ Wednesday 12/22: Thunder +5.5 vs. Nuggets (Result: Thunder Won By 14)
☑️ Tuesday 12/21: Suns -6.5 vs. Lakers (Result: Suns Won By 18
☑️ Monday 12/20: Thunder +8.5 vs. Grizzlies (Result: Thunder Won By 3)
☑️ Friday 12/17: LaMelo Ball & Damian Lillard 6+ 3s Combined (Result: 9)
☑️ Thursday 12/16: Pistons +10 at Pacers (Result: Pistons Lost By 9)
❌ Wednesday 12/15: Dewayne Dedmon Over 0.5 3s (Result: 0)
☑️ Tuesday 12/14: Raptors +8.5 at Nets (Result: Raptors Lost By 2)
❌ Monday 12/13: Hawks -11.5 vs. Rockets (Result: Hawks Lost By 6)
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