English Premier League Model Bets

Premier League Predictions

The Premier League is back in action and BetQL is your one stop shop for all Premier League Predictions. Every match day we will have predictions right here on this page for our favorite Premier League games every week. Betting on the Premier League can be difficult so it makes sense why you would be looking for predictions on Premier League games, and BetQL is here to help. We will unlock a few games each match day so everyone can get a feel on how a BetQL subscription works. For the unlocked games you will see all the data we have on that game which includes our simulation data, game prediction, projected game data, expert betting data, public betting data, and most importantly our Premier League model's pick for that game.

Premier League Odds

To bet on the Premier League like a pro the first thing you need to know is how the Premier League odds work. Below we will go into depth about Premier League odds to explain how they work, give you an example, and then provide some tips to ensure you are always getting the best Premier League odds every time you bet.

How do Premier League Odds Work?

Premier League odds are the probability of a certain outcome in a Premier League match, as determined by a sportsbook. Odds are typically displayed in American odds format, where the favorite has a negative (-) sign next to their odds and the underdog has a positive (+) sign.

The most common type of Premier League odds are moneyline odds, which means you are simply betting which team will win the match. A moneyline bet is simply a bet on which team will win the match. The favorite has lower odds, and the underdog has higher odds. If you want to bet on the favorite you would have to bet more money to win the same amount if you were to bet less on the underdog.

Premier League odds can be complex, but understanding the basics is essential for any bettor who wants to be successful.

How to Read Premier League Odds Example:

Liverpool are playing Chelsea and Liverpool are the favorite, their odds might be -150. This means that a bettor would need to wager $150 to win $100 on Liverpool. Chelsea on the other hand, might have odds of +130. This means that a bettor would only need to wager $100 to win $130 on Chelsea.

How are Premier League Odds Created?

Premier League odds are created by sportsbooks using a variety of factors, including:

Team strength: Sportsbooks will consider the relative strength of the two teams playing, based on factors such as their recent record, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage.

Public betting: Sportsbooks will also consider how the public is betting on the game. If more people are betting on one team, the odds for that team will go down.

Sharp money: Sportsbooks will also pay attention to where the "sharp money" is going. Sharp bettors are professional bettors who are known to be very successful. If the sharp money is betting on one team, the odds for that team will go down.

Injuries: Sportsbooks will also take into account any injuries that may be affecting the teams involved. If a key player is injured, it could have a significant impact on the outcome of the game, and the sportsbook will adjust the odds accordingly.

Other factors: Sportsbooks may also consider other factors, such as the weather, the referee crew, and even the time of day the game is being played.

Once the sportsbook has considered all of these factors, they will set the odds in such a way that they are likely to make a profit, regardless of which team wins. This is known as the "vig" or "juice." The vig is typically around 10%, but it can be higher or lower depending on the sportsbook and the game.

Here is an example of how Premier League odds might be created:

Arsenal are playing Chelsea. Arsenal have a better record than Chelsea, and they are also playing at home. Based on this information, the sportsbook would likely make Arsenal the favorite.

The sportsbook would then need to decide how much of a favorite to make Arsenal. They would look at how the public is betting on the game, and they would also look at where the sharp money is going. If the public is heavily betting on Arsenal, the sportsbook would need to adjust the odds in order to make sure that they are not taking on too much risk.

The sportsbook would also need to consider any injuries that may be affecting the teams involved. For example, if Arsenal's best player is injured, the sportsbook would need to adjust the odds accordingly.

Once the sportsbook has considered all of these factors, they would set the odds for the game. For example, they might make Arsenal -150 favorites and Chelsea +130 underdogs. This means that a bettor would need to wager $150 on Arsenal to win $100, or they could wager $100 on Chelsea to win $130.

Premier League Spreads

BetQL's here to break the code and unlock the power of Premier League spreads. Forget just picking winners – spreads open a whole new dimension of betting, where finesse beats brute force and calculated risks reap sweet rewards.

How do Premier League Spreads Work?

Think of spreads as the equalizer, the yin to the yang in the Premier League betting universe. They level the playing field between powerhouse teams and scrappy underdogs, creating thrilling win conditions beyond just predicting who wins. How? By adding a handicap, a point buffer that throws open a whole new arena of possibilities.

How to Read Premier League Spreads Example:

Liverpool face off against the resilient Fulham. On paper, Liverpool are titans, but their odds are anemic. Enter the magic of spreads!

Instead of blindly siding with Liverpool, you can back them with a spread, say, -1.5. Now, to cash in, they need to dominate, securing a win by MORE than one goal. But hold on – Fulham aren't out of the picture! With a +1.5 spread, they become an enticing underdog bet. All they need to do is keep it close, losing by LESS than two goals, or even stealing the win outright!

How are Premier League Spreads Created?

Premier League spreads, those tantalizing point handicaps that level the playing field and spice up betting, don't magically appear on sportsbooks' screens. They're the result of meticulous calculations and market forces, a nuanced dance between statistics, human analysis, and a dash of risk. Let's dive into the fascinating world of spread creation:

Power Ratings: This is the bedrock of spread-making. Teams are assigned numerical ratings based on various factors like past performance, recent form, home-field advantage, player availability, and more. These ratings reflect their relative strength and predict their expected score in a neutral matchup.

Market Equilibrium: Imagine a perfect world where everyone thinks Liverpool will beat Fulham by exactly two goals. In this scenario, a -2 spread for Liverpool and a +2 spread for Fulham would attract equal bets on both sides, creating a balanced market.

Oddsmakers Adjust: But the world isn't perfect. Sportsbooks analyze betting trends, public perception, and potential biases to predict which side would attract more action. Based on this, they tweak the spreads slightly to incentivize equal betting on both sides and avoid taking on too much risk.

Finding the Sweet Spot: This is where the artistry comes in. Spreads need to be enticing enough to attract bets on both sides without being so lopsided that one side becomes a surefire loser. It's a delicate dance, constantly adjusted based on pre-game betting activity and in-game developments.

Premier League Moneylines

BetQL is here to unlock the secrets of Premier League moneylines and transform you from passive onlooker to a master. Forget confusing spreads and complex props – moneylines are where it all begins, the purest test of hockey prowess distilled into a simple question: who wins?

How do Premier League Moneylines Work?

Favorites: You'll see them with negative (-) signs next to their odds. The lower the number, the more the favorite is expected to win (and the smaller your payout). For example, a moneyline of -200 for Manchester City means you need to wager $200 to win $100.

Underdogs: These scrappy fighters come with positive (+) signs. The higher the number, the less likely they are to win, but the sweeter the reward if they do! A +300 underdog like Everton means a $100 bet nets you a cool $300 if they pull off the upset.

It's simple: choose the team you think will win, multiply your stake by their decimal odds, and voila! That's your potential payout. Remember, favorites pay less but offer a safer bet, while underdogs come with higher risks but potentially sky-high rewards.

Now, armed with this moneylines mastery, you're ready to conquer Premier League betting! BetQL's got your back with expert picks, insightful analysis, and the latest odds.