NFL Expert Picks

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BetQL's NFL Picks Against the Spread

At BetQL, we pride ourselves on delivering comprehensive and up-to-the-minute NFL picks against the spread for every single game, every week. Our commitment doesn't just stop at providing NFL expert picks from our model; we go a step further. To empower our users with deeper insights, we furnish the pro betting percentage, a crucial metric that sheds light on which side the sharp bettors—those seasoned professionals who bet for a living—are favoring.

NFL Expert Picks

At BetQL, we understand the intricacies and unpredictability of the NFL landscape, which is why we've assembled a dual-pronged approach to our NFL expert picks.

First and foremost, our dedicated staff of NFL experts dives deep into the statistics, matchups, and evolving dynamics of the game, providing their seasoned insights and predictions. Along with our human expertise is our state-of-the-art computer model, which rigorously simulates every game 10,000 times, accounting for countless variables and scenarios. This meticulous process ensures our users receive the most robust and comprehensive NFL expert picks available. By combining the intuition and experience of our experts with the precision of our advanced simulations, BetQL strives to deliver unmatched value and accuracy to all NFL enthusiasts and bettors.

NFL Expert Picks Against the Spread

Our NFL expert picks against the spread stand as a testament to our commitment to helping bettors make informed decisions. Each week, as the excitement of the games beckons, our seasoned experts meticulously analyze a plethora of data, ensuring that every variable – from player form and team dynamics to historical trends and recent performances – is taken into consideration.

How does Betting Against the Spread Work?

Suppose the Dallas Cowboys are set to play a game against the Arizona Cardinals. The sportsbook lists the following point spread:

Dallas Cowboys -4.5
Arizona Cardinals +4.5

Here's what that means:

  • The Cowboys are the favorites to win the game, as indicated by the negative number (-4.5).
  • The Cardinals are the underdogs, as denoted by the positive number (+4.5).

If you bet on the Cowboys -4.5, for your bet to be successful, the Cowboys would need to win by more than 4.5 points (i.e., by 5 points or more). So if the final score is Cowboys 28, Cardinals 20, you would win your bet because the Cowboys won by 8 points, which is more than the 4.5 point spread.

On the other hand, if you bet on the Cardinals +4.5, there are two ways you could win:

  1. If the Cardinals win the game outright (regardless of the score difference).
  2. If the Cardinals lose but by 4 points or fewer.

Using the same score example: if the final score is Cowboys 24, Cardinals 21, then even though the Cardinals lost the game, they only lost by 3 points, which is less than the 4.5 point spread. So, if you bet on the Cardinals +4.5, you would win your bet.

In essence, the point spread levels the playing field in the eyes of bettors and provides a margin of victory that the favored team must exceed for spread bets on them to pay off.

What are NFL Sharp Picks?

NFL "sharp picks" refer to the selections made by "sharp" bettors, also known as "wise guys" or "professionals." These are individuals or groups who bet on sports, often in large amounts, based on deep research, analysis, and expertise. Their betting decisions are generally driven by value and data, rather than personal biases or emotions.

What Type of NFL Picks does BetQL Offer?

BetQL offers a wide array of NFL picks to cater to different betting preferences and strategies. Here are the types of NFL picks available at BetQL:

  • Moneyline Picks: These picks focus on the outright winner of the game. It doesn't matter how much a team wins by; all that matters is which team emerges victorious.
  • Over/Under Picks: Often referred to as totals, these picks are about the combined score of both teams in a game. Bettors choose whether the total score will be over or under a specified number set by the sportsbook.
  • Computer Picks: Derived from BetQL's advanced algorithms, these picks are generated after simulating the game multiple times. It factors in various variables and data points to produce a prediction.
  • 1st Half Picks: As the name suggests, these picks revolve around the outcome of the first half of the game. It can include who leads at halftime, the total score at halftime, and other related metrics.
  • Prop Picks: Proposition bets, or "prop bets", are wagers placed on individual players or specific events within a game. This can range from predicting a player's total rushing yards to the number of touchdowns a quarterback might throw.
  • Public Betting Picks: These picks give insight into where the majority of the public money is going. It's a way to gauge the consensus view of the betting public.

Best Sportsbooks to Bet the NFL Against the Spread

  1. DraftKings Sportsbook: A leader in the industry, DraftKings provides competitive odds and a user-friendly interface, combined with regular promotions and a substantial sign-up bonus.
  2. FanDuel Sportsbook: Another giant in the world of sports betting, FanDuel offers a clean betting interface, enticing promotions, and a variety of betting options.
  3. BetMGM: With a longstanding reputation in the gambling world, BetMGM brings a robust sportsbook with competitive odds and a wide array of betting markets.
  4. PointsBet: Unique in offering "points betting" where your wins (or losses) aren't fixed but vary based on the outcome, it also provides traditional fixed-odds betting and typically has a great range of NFL markets.
  5. Unibet: A well-established European bookmaker expanding its presence in the US, Unibet offers a sleek platform and a wide range of NFL betting options.

What are Strategies for Betting the NFL Against the Spread?

Betting against the spread (ATS) is one of the most common ways to wager on NFL games. Here are some strategies that bettors often employ when betting ATS:

  1. Research & Analysis: Before placing any bet, it's crucial to do your homework. This means reviewing stats, checking team rankings, looking at recent form, and understanding player matchups.
  2. Home vs. Away: Consider the home-field advantage. Some teams perform markedly better at home than on the road. Conversely, some teams may be notorious for performing well as away underdogs.
  3. Injury Reports: Always check the injury reports before placing a bet. An injury to a key player can significantly impact a team's chances of covering the spread.
  4. Public Perception: Often, the public will heavily favor a popular team, which can skew the spread. This situation can provide value for bettors who see the potential in betting on the less-popular team.
  5. Recent Form: A team's recent performances can give insights into their current form and morale. A team on a winning streak might be more likely to continue that momentum.

NFL Betting Resources from BetQL

At BetQL, we're more than just another sports betting platform – we're your comprehensive guide to mastering the intricate world of NFL betting. To that end, we've developed an extensive array of NFL Betting Resources tailored to meet the diverse needs of bettors, both novice and seasoned.

  • Underdog Picks: Everyone loves a good underdog story. At BetQL, we sift through data to identify potential underdog teams poised to defy the odds and offer unexpected value to bettors.
  • NFL DFS Picks: The realm of Daily Fantasy Sports is rapidly evolving, and with it comes the need for on-point DFS selections. Our team provides well-researched DFS picks to optimize your lineups and give you the competitive edge.
  • NFL Line Movement: In the fluid world of NFL betting, line movements can be pivotal. BetQL tracks these fluctuations in real-time, ensuring you're always aware of the latest shifts and what they signify for your betting strategies.
  • Thursday Night Football Picks: The anticipation of Thursday Night Football brings with it unique challenges and opportunities. Our experts dedicate specialized focus to these matchups, offering tailored picks to maximize your Thursday night betting success.
  • NFL Parlay Picks: Parlays can be a bettor's best friend, multiplying potential winnings. But they require precision. At BetQL, we craft carefully considered parlay picks, melding data analysis with intuition to create selections that enhance your parlay prospects.

MLB Prop Picks: We update our prop picks every day with new pitching props, hitting props, and base running props. We even have NRFI and YRFI picks for those who want to get even more specific.

MLB Computer Picks: Check out the MLB computer picks from our model to get more betting insights for the MLB playoffs .

MLB Line Movement: See all the latest line movement for every game during the playoffs. No matter the bet type we have the line movement tracker you need to get the best value on your bets.

MLB Over Under Picks: Find out which way our model is picking the total for every game this playoff season. Get more data, more insights, and winning picks from our MLB over under picks

With these resources and more, BetQL is dedicated to ensuring that every bet you place is grounded in knowledge, strategy, and the unmatched expertise of our team. Take control of your NFL betting journey with BetQL's unparalleled resources at your fingertips.

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