Karpuc: My Favorite Bet On Friday’s NBA Slate
This bet is standing out to me for many reasons
Dan Karpuc - Jan 20, 2022, 11:58pm EST
The Pick: Bucks -8.5 vs. Bulls
Point guard Jrue Holiday is now back for the Bucks, which means I’m going to start backing them again. Milwaukee has gone 24-10 with him and just 4-9 without him on the court this season. Out of those 24 victories, 15 of them were by double digits.
Lonzo Ball (knee) and Zach LaVine (knee) will both miss this game for Chicago, as will Patrick Williams, Derrick Jones Jr., Javonte Green and Jordan Bell. The Bucks will only be without Brook Lopez, who has missed most of the season.
With their depleted roster, the Bulls will likely start DeMar DeRozan, Nikola Vucevic, Coby White, Ayo Dosunmu and Alfonso McKinnie while Alex Caruso, Malcolm Hill, Matt Thomas, Troy Brown and Tony Bradley come off the bench. Chicago’s bench already averages just 24.4 points on the road this season, the second-lowest mark in the NBA, but they’re even more shorthanded now.
Meanwhile, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Khris Middleton, Holiday, Bobby Portis and Grayson Allen will likely get the starting nod for the Bucks while George Hill, Pat Connaughton, Donte DiVencenzo and Wesley Matthews will come off the pine. As a whole, Milwaukee has a noticeable edge on paper.
BetQL is projecting an 11-point Milwaukee win and under Mike Budenholzer, the Bucks have gone an incredible 40-13 ATS versus Central Division opponents. These two factors make me even more confident.
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