Both of these teams have been solid against the spread, but I think the Thunder have a clear edge in this spot, especially since the Grizzlies will still be without the injured Ja Morant. OKC has covered in eight of their last 10 road games and will have the best player on the floor: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. Fresh off of nailing a buzzer-beating 3-pointer to win OKC’s last game, SGA is averaging 21.6 points, 4.6 rebounds and 4.9 assists. Oklahoma City won’t consistently win games this year, but they’re a scrappy, young bunch who will continue to play hard when they’re given playing time. Remember, all of these guys are trying to convince the coaching staff and front office that they should be included in future plans.
I'm going back to the well (at least) one more time to see if the Rockets have another cover in them. Houston has covered in 10 of its last 13 games, while the Bulls have failed to cover in three straight. Sharps and the BetQL Model are also on the Rockets here, and it's worth noting that BetQL hits around 55% of its Bulls spread bets all-time (and over 57% on first-half spread bets).
The Bulls are 13-15 on the O/U and Rockets are 15-15 on the O/U so I think the under looks great in this game. The Bulls have also hit the under in three of their last five games, so I love the ⭐⭐⭐⭐ value BetQL sees in the under in this matchup.
Ball was held to just nine points on 2-of-12 shooting against the Suns this weekend, but still came through with 10 boards and seven assists. Over his last 11 games, Ball has gone over this total for rebounds and assists nine times. Just in case this could be the start of a shooting slump, especially against a Jazz team that's seventh in points allowed per game, take the prop on the assists and rebounds from Ball.
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