Red Sox (-120) vs Yankees (+100)
The highlight of MLB’s Friday schedule is a rivalry game between the New York Yankees and the Boston Red Sox. The Red Sox rallied to win Thursday’s series opener 5-4 in 10 innings and a favored to win Friday’s game with a moneyline of -120. Meanwhile, the Yankees have a moneyline of +100, as they try to get back on track.
It’s a little surprising to see the Yankees listed as underdogs with Gerrit Cole scheduled to make the start. Overall, Cole has had another outstanding year, going 10-4 with a 2.63 ERA. But there’s no denying that he went through a rough patch during the end of June and early July. However, it looks like he’s come out of the other side and is back to dealing. Cole threw a three-hit shutout against the Astros right before the all-star break and then pitched six strong innings against the Red Sox last weekend while allowing just one run and striking out 11. That should be enough to think that he’s back on track.
Of course, Boston’s lineup isn’t easy to face, even for some of the best pitchers in baseball. The Red Sox have scored 25 runs over their last three games, catching fire after a sluggish start coming out of the break. While Xander Bogaerts and Rafael Devers are still trying to get going, J.D. Martinez has been raking lately, hitting .421 over his last five games. Enrique Hernandez has also stepped up his efforts since the break, helping the Red Sox compensate for Bogaerts and Devers being a little sluggish at the moment.
Meanwhile, lefty Eduardo Rodriguez will make the start for Boston. It’s been a rough season for Rodriguez, who had to sit out the 2020 campaign after suffering COVID complications. In 18 starts, he’s managed to go 7-5 despite a 5.19 ERA. However, he appears to have turned a corner in July, posting a 2.16 ERA over his first three starts. That includes a start against the Yankees last weekend in which Rodriguez gave up just two hits over 5.2 innings.
Scoring runs consistently continues to be an issue for the Bronx Bombers. While they’ve had a few good games this week, Luke Voit, Geo Ursehela, Miguel Andujar, and Aaron Judge are all on the IL right now. That’s a huge chunk of the team’s lineup that’s missing. The silver lining is that Gleyber Torres is finally starting to hit while Gary Sanchez and Rougned Odor are also becoming regular contributors. But with the injuries the Yankees are dealing with right now, not to mention Giancarlo Stanton and DJ LeMahieu looking sluggish coming out of the break, you never know what the Yankees are going to produce offensively on a given night.
Despite concerns about the New York lineup, the BetQL model favors the Yankees in Friday’s game. While oddsmakers have them as slight underdogs, our model has them as slight favorites and projects the Yankees to have a 55% chance of winning, making this a five-star pick. While there are concerns about the Yankees, it’s not every day that a team is an underdog with Cole on the mound. After his last two starts, Cole seems to have figured some things out, giving the Yanks a huge advantage in Friday’s game. Granted, there are no guarantees in this rivalry. But with Cole on the mound, the Yankees have too much value as an underdog to ignore.
Pick: Yankees +100
Dodgers (-290) vs Rockies (+235)
Things don’t get much more lopsided than Friday’s game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Colorado Rockies. The Dodgers are -290 favorites at home while the Rockies have a moneyline of +235. Then again, the Rox stole a game from LA last Sunday, so nothing is guaranteed.
Part of the reason Colorado is such a huge underdog is that Chi Chi Gonzalez is scheduled to get the start. The righty is 3-6 with a 5.99 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP this season. A bad season for Gonzalez got even worse last weekend when he allowed seven runs on nine hits against the Dodgers over just four innings of work.
Needless to say, the Dodgers will be hoping to replicate those results on Friday night. On the other hand, the LA offense has been held in check this week, scoring a modest 15 runs over four games against the Giants while losing three of four at home against their California rivals. Cody Bellinger is hitless in his last six games while Mookie Betts could be headed to the IL with a hip injury. That’s left it up to Max Muncy, Justin Turner, Chris Taylor, and AJ Pollock to carry the Los Angeles lineup on their own.
The Dodgers are hoping to get a lift from David Price, who has spent most of the season in the bullpen but will make his sixth start of the season on Friday. Price has been more effective as a starter, posting a 2.03 ERA over his five starts. The only issue is that he’s still getting stretched out since being forced into the rotation. He made it through just four innings in his last start, although he allowed just one run on two hits against the Rockies.
Speaking of the Rox, they’ve been notoriously terrible on the road this season. To their credit, they played six straight road games right before the all-star break and averaged four runs per game during that stretch. However, C.J. Cron and Trevor Story have struggled coming out of the break, taking away two key pieces of the Colorado lineup. Even with Ryan McMahon and Charlie Blackmon heating up, lineup depth is an issue for the Rockies.
As always, a game with such lopsided odds creates a difficult decision for bettors. It would be easy to pick the Dodgers to win, but they offer little value. Meanwhile, a Colorado win would mean a huge payoff for those brave enough to bet on the Rockies. But with Gonzalez going up against the LA lineup, is there enough to justify taking that chance?
Here you will find BetQL's MLB best bets for every game, every night. Our MLB model analyzes each and every game the second the odds, lines, and spreads are released to provide a best bet on a five star scale. The model aims to not only show you which side is the best bets but how much value is on that bet. We aim to provide bettors with winners, but winners that provide value. No one who is betting on the MLB wants to wager $500 to win $100, not only is nerve racking but it is a risky betting strategy in baseball. At any minute a reliver could ruin a perfect start for one of the best pitchers in the game. Our MLB best bet model is geared to provide high quality picks, high value picks, and to do both of those things quickly. Since BetQL's MLB best bets are created the second the lines are released there is no more waiting to see who the MLB best bets for today are, with BetQL you know the second the sportsbook releases the line, we have a best bet for you. You can use our best bets to make your own bets, or you can dive deeper into our data to craft a winner on your own. At BetQL we not only provide bettors with best bets for every game every day, we have the consensus picks and the expert picks as well. If you have a good gut feeling about a game and you want to use BetQL's data to back up your intuition you can check out to see if the public is on your side and if the experts are on the other. If you are just trying to have a bit of fun today and want to wager a few dollars feel free to use our best bets above to get in on the action.
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If you are looking for an MLB moneyline winner today BetQL has you covered. On this page you will find our moneyline picks for every game every day. The second the sportsbook release the odds, lines, and spreads our moneyline model goes to work to create picks for you on our five star scale. Our MLB moneyline model not only aims to give out a straight up winner, but also attempts to balance the value of the pick. With BetQL we don't want to recommend that you pick (-400) teams on the moneyline each and everyday, because not only will that be stressful it requires a huge bankroll to be successful. The goal of our moneyline picks is to help provide bettors with winners, but also the data that formulates that pick. You can see our model creates a moneyline for every game and depending where the sportsbook places the moneyline will impact how many stars the pick will be. If the sportsbook places a moneyline and it is very far off from where our model places it then we will recommend placing a wager on that game. At BetQL we want users to be able to use the data we have provided to craft their own picks, but also help newer bettors understand how betting on the MLB works and build their bankrolls. Whether you are betting on MLB moneylines by following our star ratings or you are using our historical moneyline data to formulate your own picks, we are here to make sure you win more this baseball season.
When some one is talking about MLB lines they are most likely asking about either the odds or the spread. As sports betting becomes more popular some phrases become interchangeable and that is what is happening when people talk about "the line". Most likely the MLB line actually refers to the spread which is how many runs a team can win or lose by depending on which side you are betting. Sports like baseball have a set spread of 1.5 runs, so it doesn't make a ton of sense to call the spread the line. Betting on baseball is predominantly a moneyline sport by default so if someone asks "what is the line of that game" they are probably asking what the MLB odds are, which tells you how much you can win betting each team.
If you are here looking for MLB lines then look no further because here at BetQL we not only have every line for every bet type, but they are all live. We work closely with the sportsbooks to ensure that if the line moves on their end it is shown immediately on our site. A lot of other places you have to wonder if the MLB lines you are looking at are updated and current, but with BetQL you can always be sure you are looking at the most updated odds, lines, and spreads. No matter how you like to bet, moneyline, against the spread, or over under BetQL has you covered.
MLB odds are no different than any other statistical odds, they show how likely the bet is to win. There are different formats of odds such as American odds, fractional odds, and decimal odds and although they are different formats they all show how statistically likely the outcome will be. BetQL's MLB odds default to show as American and with that type of format you must know that any team with a positive number next to them is the underdog and the team with negative odds is the favorite. For example if your team is (+120) to win that means if you bet $100 on that team you would stand to win $120. If you team is (-200) you would need to bet $200 to win $100. If you are here to check the latest MLB odds then BetQL has you covered because our odds are the latest odds from the sportsbook. If the MLB odds updated at the sportsbook you can be sure they are updated on BetQL. If you are new to betting the MLB then you have to figure out the best balance between the risk, the value, and the MLB odds. Luckily BetQL is here to help since we analyze every game and every bet type to show you which side you should take to maximize your profit.
MLB moneylines are the exact same thing as the odds, because baseball unlike other sports defaults to moneyline as its main form of betting. With other popular sports like basketball and football the main form of betting is against the spread, so if someone is asking for the odds they mean the odds against the spread. You can bet MLB games against the spread, but when some one asks for the odds of any given game they are most likely asking what the moneyline odds are for that game. As we have explained above the moneyline odds are a statistical value that shows how likely the sportsbook think each team will win the game. In most cases one team is given a negative number, which means they are the favorite, or more likely to win the game. While the other team will have a positive number, which means they are the underdog, or more likely to lose the game. The positive and negative numbers are more commonly known as American odds, and show how much you need to bet on the favorite to win $100, or if you are betting the underdog, how much you will win if you bet $100 on the underdog.
Betting moneylines is a great way for a more novice bettor to understand the ins and outs because all you are picking is who you think will win the game. Betting baseball can be tough for new bettors because there is so much you can wager on, but with moneyline betting you are purely picking which team you think will win the game. The learning curve comes with understanding moneyline odds, how much you should wager, and how much you will win. If you are just getting started with betting the MLB we couldn't recommend starting with moneyline picks first. Once you have gotten your feet wet you can upgrade and start betting over unders or against the spread.
The all-star break has come and gone and now it’s time for things to start getting serious in MLB. This is the time of year when trade talk and speculation tend to dominate the headlines perhaps a little more than the games themselves. However, the time right before the trade craziness happens is the ideal time for bettors because we have the most information about each team possible before any of the rosters undergo serious changes. That’s why it’s important to take a look at the teams that are excelling the most not necessarily in the standings but when it comes to betting.
San Francisco Giants
Winning Percentage: 63%
What more is there to say about the Giants? They began the season as an afterthought and have turned out to be one of the best teams in baseball. They continue to lead the majors in wins and continue to barely hold off the Dodgers atop the NL West standings. It’s safe to say that the Giants are not a fluke. They may not be the most talented team in the league, but there’s no arguing with the results more than 90 games into the season.
Of course, San Francisco’s problem is that they’ve relied on a lot of overachieving veterans this season. There are questions about those veterans maintaining that level all season, not to mention those veterans staying healthy. At the moment, Brandon Belt, Buster Posey, and Evan Longoria are all on the IL, so the San Francisco lineup is somewhat limited. On the bright side, the Giants have been led by their excellent pitching all seasons and there is no sign of that changing.
Winning Percentage: 53%
The Mariners continue to be the perfect example of a team that’s better than the sum of its parts. Seattle is also a good example of lopsided losses only counting as one loss while close wins still count for a full win. The Mariners have a run-differential of -51 right now. Yet, they are six games over .500 and just six games behind the Astros in the AL West. When they lose, it can be ugly, but the Mariners have found a way to win more times than not this season.
There’s even speculation that the Mariners could be buyers at the trade deadline. Mitch Haniger has received some internal help from his teammates over the past month with Ty France and J.P. Crawford coming along. Meanwhile, Chris Flexen and Logan Gilbert have been dealing on the mound, giving the Mariners two excellent starters to help complement a bullpen that has quietly become one of the best in baseball. The Seattle bullpen has helped the Mariners to win close games, which is why they remain on the periphery of the playoff picture.
Tampa Bay Rays
Winning Percentage: 59%
It’s not always clear how the Rays put together such successful campaigns, but one way or another, they find a way. Tampa has endured plenty of ups and downs this season, but July has been a good month for the Rays, who are once again pushing to take over first place in the AL East from the Red Sox. Since they don’t have a lot of star players, oddsmakers sometimes underestimate Tampa, which is why they often become a favorable bet.
Even if the Rays aren’t big players at the trade deadline, they still have a chance to get better moving forward. Rookie shortstop Taylor Wells has made a positive impression while top prospect Wander Franco also has a chance to get better during the second half of the season while settling into life in the majors. The Rays are also giving another top prospect Vidal Brujan a chance to show his stuff in the majors. Much like Tampa got a huge boost from Randy Arozarena last year, talent coming up from the minors could be key to a big second half from the Rays in 2021.
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