MLB Best Bets for Today

MLB Best Bets for Today:

Indians (+100) vs White Sox (-120)

One day after clinching the AL Central for the first time since 2008, the Chicago White Sox are back on the field against the Cleveland Indians. The White Sox have the option of taking it easy over the rest of the regular season, which could explain why they are only modest -120 favorites on Friday while Cleveland’s moneyline is set at +100.

Another reason why the White Sox are only slight favorites on Friday is that Shane Bieber is starting for the Indians. Bieber has been on the IL since mid-June but is healthy enough to make a couple of starts late in the season. Before the injury, Bieber was 7-4 with a 3.28 ERA in a solid follow-up to his Cy Young campaign in 2020. For what it’s worth, Bieber made two rehab starts in the minors, allowing four runs while covering just six innings.

Obviously, the White Sox won’t be the easiest team to face in his return. However, he might be getting them at the right time with the White Sox scoring three runs or less in seven of their last 11 games. Chicago has almost backed into the AL Central title late in the year. Luis Robert and Jose Abreu have continued to produce while Chicago’s lineup contains plenty of power threats. However, there are several key players who are slumping at the moment. The White Sox could also look to give some starters extra rest now that they’ve clinched their postseason spot.

Of course, the White Sox won’t be resting Dylan Cease, who will get the start on Friday night. Cease has made 30 starts this year, going 12-7 with a 4.09 ERA, becoming a steady and reliable part of the rotation. He had been showing signs of slowing down late in the year until firing five scoreless innings against the Rangers in his last start. Despite a 7.11 ERA in September, Cease has struck out 24 in just 12.2 innings, so he still has the stuff to dominate.

As for the Indians, they looked great last weekend, scoring 11 runs on both Saturday and Sunday against the Yankees. But they’ve averaged just three runs per game in their three games since then. Jose Ramirez and Franmil Reyes are still producing, which has been the case all season. They’re also getting a lot of help from Yu Change and Andres Gimenez, who have both heated up over the past week. However, there remains a question of depth in Cleveland’s lineup when you get past Reyes and Ramirez.

Despite those questions about Cleveland’s offensive prowess, the BetQL model is backing the Indians to win on Friday. It’s fair to argue whether the White Sox have been playing with an edge recently, but they probably aren’t now that they’ve clinched the division. It’s also not far-fetched to envision Bieber pitching five or six strong innings in his return from the IL. The fact that the Indians are getting something from players in their lineup outside of Reyes and Ramirez is also a good sign, even if they aren’t exactly clicking right now. In fact, the BetQL model actually views the Indians as a -147 favorite in this game with a 60% chance of winning, which is why this is a five-star pick.

Pick: Indians +100

Rockies (+170) vs Giants (-200)

With their lead over the Dodgers down to one game, the San Francisco Giants have no margin for error as they begin a three-game series against the Colorado Rockies on Friday night. While the Rockies are an impressive 17 games over .500 at home this year, the Giants are still heavy road favorites with a moneyline of -200 while Colorado’s moneyline is set at +170.

Alex Wood will be on the mound for San Francisco on Friday. He’ll be making just his second start since returning from a brief stint on the IL. On the season, Wood is 10-4 with a 3.99 ERA over 24 starts. He also looked sharp last week against the Braves despite pitching just three innings, striking out four with the only base runner coming on a hit-by-pitch. The Giants will be glad to have him back before the playoffs but probably won’t try to push him beyond four or five innings, so there will be plenty of work for the San Francisco bullpen.

Plus, there is always plenty of work to do at Coors Field, where the Rockies are much better than they are on the road. Despite losing two of three at home to the Dodgers earlier this week, the Rox still scored 19 runs over those three games. Veterans Charlie Blackmon and C.J. Cron have kicked it into gear in recent days, making the Colorado lineup appear close to full strength. The likes of Sam Hilliard and Brendan Rodgers have also produced in September, giving the Rockies an impressive amount of depth in their lineup.

Meanwhile, there is something of a mystery surrounding Peter Lambert, who will get the start for the Rockies on Friday. The righty is just 24 but made 19 starts for Colorado two years ago, going 3-7 with a 7.25 ERA. He then underwent Tommy John surgery, keeping him out for all of 2020 and most of this season. After seven starts in the minors, covering just 16 innings, Lambert is ready to return to the big leagues.

Lambert’s reward after a long rehab is one of the best lineups in baseball. The Giants have scored at least six runs in 14 of their last 17 games. That’s a remarkable amount of production but comes as no surprise with most of the key figures in the San Francisco lineup in a groove lately. The Giants also have plenty of depth on their bench, making them good late in games when Gabe Kapler can play the matchups with pinch-hitters.

Obviously, the Giants look like a safe bet in this game, as they’re on the verge of winning their 100th game of the season. San Francisco has a lot on the line in this game whereas the Rockies are just playing out the season and aren’t sure what they’ll get from their starting pitcher. On the other hand, the Rockies are 17 games over .500 at home this year, which always makes them an intriguing pick as a home underdog.

BetQL's MLB Best Bets

Here you will find BetQL's MLB best bets for every game, every night. Our MLB model analyzes each and every game the second the odds, lines, and spreads are released to provide a best bet on a five star scale. The model aims to not only show you which side is the best bets but how much value is on that bet. We aim to provide bettors with winners, but winners that provide value. No one who is betting on the MLB wants to wager $500 to win $100, not only is nerve racking but it is a risky betting strategy in baseball. At any minute a reliver could ruin a perfect start for one of the best pitchers in the game. Our MLB best bet model is geared to provide high quality picks, high value picks, and to do both of those things quickly. Since BetQL's MLB best bets are created the second the lines are released there is no more waiting to see who the MLB best bets for today are, with BetQL you know the second the sportsbook releases the line, we have a best bet for you. You can use our best bets to make your own bets, or you can dive deeper into our data to craft a winner on your own. At BetQL we not only provide bettors with best bets for every game every day, we have the consensus picks and the expert picks as well. If you have a good gut feeling about a game and you want to use BetQL's data to back up your intuition you can check out to see if the public is on your side and if the experts are on the other. If you are just trying to have a bit of fun today and want to wager a few dollars feel free to use our best bets above to get in on the action.

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BetQL's MLB Moneyline Picks

If you are looking for an MLB moneyline winner today BetQL has you covered. On this page you will find our moneyline picks for every game every day. The second the sportsbook release the odds, lines, and spreads our moneyline model goes to work to create picks for you on our five star scale. Our MLB moneyline model not only aims to give out a straight up winner, but also attempts to balance the value of the pick. With BetQL we don't want to recommend that you pick (-400) teams on the moneyline each and everyday, because not only will that be stressful it requires a huge bankroll to be successful. The goal of our moneyline picks is to help provide bettors with winners, but also the data that formulates that pick. You can see our model creates a moneyline for every game and depending where the sportsbook places the moneyline will impact how many stars the pick will be. If the sportsbook places a moneyline and it is very far off from where our model places it then we will recommend placing a wager on that game. At BetQL we want users to be able to use the data we have provided to craft their own picks, but also help newer bettors understand how betting on the MLB works and build their bankrolls. Whether you are betting on MLB moneylines by following our star ratings or you are using our historical moneyline data to formulate your own picks, we are here to make sure you win more this baseball season.

MLB Lines Explained

When some one is talking about MLB lines they are most likely asking about either the odds or the spread. As sports betting becomes more popular some phrases become interchangeable and that is what is happening when people talk about "the line". Most likely the MLB line actually refers to the spread which is how many runs a team can win or lose by depending on which side you are betting. Sports like baseball have a set spread of 1.5 runs, so it doesn't make a ton of sense to call the spread the line. Betting on baseball is predominantly a moneyline sport by default so if someone asks "what is the line of that game" they are probably asking what the MLB odds are, which tells you how much you can win betting each team.

If you are here looking for MLB lines then look no further because here at BetQL we not only have every line for every bet type, but they are all live. We work closely with the sportsbooks to ensure that if the line moves on their end it is shown immediately on our site. A lot of other places you have to wonder if the MLB lines you are looking at are updated and current, but with BetQL you can always be sure you are looking at the most updated odds, lines, and spreads. No matter how you like to bet, moneyline, against the spread, or over under BetQL has you covered.

MLB Odds Explained

MLB odds are no different than any other statistical odds, they show how likely the bet is to win. There are different formats of odds such as American odds, fractional odds, and decimal odds and although they are different formats they all show how statistically likely the outcome will be. BetQL's MLB odds default to show as American and with that type of format you must know that any team with a positive number next to them is the underdog and the team with negative odds is the favorite. For example if your team is (+120) to win that means if you bet $100 on that team you would stand to win $120. If you team is (-200) you would need to bet $200 to win $100. If you are here to check the latest MLB odds then BetQL has you covered because our odds are the latest odds from the sportsbook. If the MLB odds updated at the sportsbook you can be sure they are updated on BetQL. If you are new to betting the MLB then you have to figure out the best balance between the risk, the value, and the MLB odds. Luckily BetQL is here to help since we analyze every game and every bet type to show you which side you should take to maximize your profit.

MLB Moneylines Explained

MLB moneylines are the exact same thing as the odds, because baseball unlike other sports defaults to moneyline as its main form of betting. With other popular sports like basketball and football the main form of betting is against the spread, so if someone is asking for the odds they mean the odds against the spread. You can bet MLB games against the spread, but when some one asks for the odds of any given game they are most likely asking what the moneyline odds are for that game. As we have explained above the moneyline odds are a statistical value that shows how likely the sportsbook think each team will win the game. In most cases one team is given a negative number, which means they are the favorite, or more likely to win the game. While the other team will have a positive number, which means they are the underdog, or more likely to lose the game. The positive and negative numbers are more commonly known as American odds, and show how much you need to bet on the favorite to win $100, or if you are betting the underdog, how much you will win if you bet $100 on the underdog.

Betting moneylines is a great way for a more novice bettor to understand the ins and outs because all you are picking is who you think will win the game. Betting baseball can be tough for new bettors because there is so much you can wager on, but with moneyline betting you are purely picking which team you think will win the game. The learning curve comes with understanding moneyline odds, how much you should wager, and how much you will win. If you are just getting started with betting the MLB we couldn't recommend starting with moneyline picks first. Once you have gotten your feet wet you can upgrade and start betting over unders or against the spread.

MLB Best Bets for 2021

Well, the stretch run of the MLB season has finally arrived. In about three weeks, we’ll have all of the questions about what 10 teams will make the playoffs answered and be preparing for an exciting postseason. At this point in the season, we more or less know everything we know about teams aside from how they’ll react in a pressure-packed environment. But in terms of betting, we know what teams have been providing the most value all season, so let’s take a look at the best bets in baseball heading down the stretch.

San Francisco Giants
Winning Percentage: 65%
Units: +33.8

When all is said and done, the Giants will end up being the biggest surprise of the 2021 season. However, they’ve also been the best team during the regular season almost from start to finish. They endured a little bit of a slump in late August and early September, but San Francisco has come out of that stretch and gotten hot again, continuing to hold off the Dodgers in the NL West. If the Giants can keep it going for three more weeks, they’ll win the division crown and force Los Angeles to play in a one-game Wild Card playoff.

More importantly, because it took oddsmakers so long to come around on the Giants, they’ve been the most valuable bet in the majors this year. Frankly, there are still some skeptics, especially with a couple of key starters and a few important role players on the IL. But San Francisco’s contingent of aging stars from Brandon Crawford to Brandon Belt to Buster Posey has continued to produce all season. The addition of Kris Bryant late in the season and the overall depth on San Francisco’s roster has continued to make the Giants a great team to bet on and a serious threat in the postseason.

Tampa Bay Rays
Winning Percentage: 62%
Units: +24.1

Even with so many changes during this past offseason, the Rays have been undoubtedly the best team in the American League during the regular season. They lost Charlie Morton in free agency, traded away Blake Snell, and saw Tyler Glasnow succumb to injury. All of that has made the Rays far less appealing on paper. Yet, because they continue to win games, they remain one of the most valuable teams for bettors. Once again, Tampa has compiled a solid bullpen and received strong performances from a batch of young starters.

At the same time, it’s been hard to find a more potent lineup over the past month. The midseason trade for Nelson Cruz is starting to pay huge dividends for the Rays. The power provided by Brandon Lowe, Mike Zunino, and Austin Meadows has also been a big help. There’s also no discounting the impact that Tampa’s youngsters have made. Randy Arozarena has continued to show his incredible talent while Wander Franco has been a revelation. The only caveat is that Franco has gone to the IL and is at least questionable to return by the end of the regular season.

Seattle Mariners
Winning Percentage: 55%
Units: +26.3

Deep into September, the Mariners are still holding on and oddsmakers still aren’t quite sure how. Seattle has been outscored by more than 50 runs this season and should be more than 10 games under .500. However, they are actually 11 games over .500 and very much within striking distance of a Wild Card spot. On paper, it makes no sense whatsoever, which is why oddsmakers have consistently undervalued them this season. But the Mariners have done the little things that don’t show up in the box score and have found a way to win close games, making them one of the best value picks in the majors.

Offensively, Ty France is the only regular in Seattle’s lineup with an OPS of .800, and even he’s barely over that mark. But Mitch Haniger and Kyle Seager have both provided over 30 home runs while Abraham Toro has provided a nice spark in the second half. The rotation has been just good enough with Chris Flexen and Yusei Kikuchi being steady all year while Marco Gonzales and Tyler Anderson have made an impact late in the year. The Mariners have also found just enough from their bullpen this year to pull out close wins without producing much offense, enabling them to win as underdogs when all of the analytics are going against them.