College Basketball Consensus Picks
College Basketball Consensus Picks for Today
Here you will find our consensus picks for the day for each day of the NCAA tournament. BetQL works closely with sportsbooks to get the public betting data that can help you make better bets.
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BetQL's College Basketball Consensus Picks
If you are looking for college basketball consensus picks for this March you have come to the right place. BetQL has public betting data for every game and every bet type this year. Betting on college basketball can be hard but using our public betting data can be an easy way to get back at the books. With BetQL you are able to see the consensus picks by looking at the percentage of public money that is on a team, and the percentage of public tickets on that side as well. For every game you can see the public betting data for each team head to head so you can use that data to craft your own pick. To find the public betting data all you have to do is click into the game you are interested in from our games table and you will see the public betting bar graph that shows the percent of money and the percent of tickets. If you are new to BetQL and don't have a game in mind that you want to find more information on you can sort the public betting percentage column to see the overview data for all the games on the college basketball slate today.
Checking the consensus picks is helpful through the season but can be crucial for conference tournaments and the big dance in March, because during those times a large influx of novice bettors will start to place wagers on these games they know very little about. Everyday you will find the public betting data for our free games of the day on this page. If you are interested is seeing the public betting percentages for every game on the slate check out our pricing page to sign up for a BetQL college basketball subscription where you can get our public betting data, expert picks, and more for every game!
College Basketball Public Betting Explained
Historically one of the most popular betting strategies is betting against the consensus picks for the day. The above data on this page comes from the largest online sportsbooks in the world and shows which side their regular customers are betting. With BetQL's public betting data you not only get to see which side the public has bet the most tickets on, but also how much public money is going to that team. Sharp bettors always want to know which team is the consensus pick because it helps them understand which team may be over bet, which helps them identify an inflated line. The public is usually not that savvy at betting and picks overwhelming favorites that they hear the big media networks and their friends talk about. Once a large group of public bettors run to bet the big favorite it will inflate the line which means the underdog will now be more favorable to bet since they will be getting more points against the spread. This is why you hear so many sharps reference the consensus picks or ask which side the public is on for a certain game. When your main betting strategy is to see which side the consensus picks are on and you immediately bet the other side that is called "fading the public" and you can learn more about that below
Fading the Public Consensus for College Basketball
As we mentioned above when a sharp bettor looks at the college basketball public betting data and decides to pick the other side of the public that is called "fading the public" and it is historically one of the most popular betting strategies. Although our data has shown that betting against the public for college basketball games has been somewhat profitable over the years it may not be the best strategy. We recommend that you fade the public on a case by case basis. If you have a good gut feeling about an underdog and the huge favorite is the consensus pick then it may be a good idea to fade the public and bet the underdog. The logic behind fading the public is that most sports bettors lose and that they don't really know what they are doing when it comes to picking winners. New bettors overwhelmingly pick favorites and don't understand when they should bet an underdog. Once you start to track the public betting trends you will see that the top college basketball teams in the nation are the big consensus picks, and although they may win a lot of games they don't always cover. We don't recommend looking at the consensus picks for today and immediately betting the other side because fading the public is a betting strategy that should be used sparingly in the right situations. If you want to know how to use BetQL's college basketball public picks like a pro take a look at the section below
How to Use BetQL's Consensus Picks
Here at BetQL we look at the college basketball consensus picks right before tip off as a part of our betting research. We like to wait until tip off to get as much public betting as possible before we place a bet. The more data the better when it comes to consensus picks so we can see exactly how many public tickets and how much public money is coming in on each team. Not only is it helpful to see as much public betting data as possible, but if you are looking to fade the public you can make sure you get the best line available. If the public is piling on the big favorite in a game then the line will start to move in the underdog's favor. Once all the data is in and we see a clear consensus pick we take a look at the spread, we want to make sure we are picking an underdog that is getting a fair amount of points. If you are looking at a game where the spread is only a few points then that game is really a toss up and the public betting data will not help you much. We want to make sure we are getting as many points as possible and we want to see at least 70% of the public on the favorite. If we are getting at least 6 points and the public is all over the favorite then we will feel comfortable placing a bet on the underdog. We also recommend you do more research than just looking to see which side is the consensus pick. Public betting data is a helpful and it is a good way to confirm your gut feeling, but it can be misleading if you are blindly just betting against the public. Although the public isn't all that great at betting, every dog has its day, and sometimes a pick is just so obvious you have to back the consensus play
As March Madness is fast approaching we recommend using our college basketball public betting data not only to pick a winner in the early rounds but to fill out your bracket. Everyone knows the firsts two rounds are filled with upsets and we even know which matchups are the most susceptible to upsets. We recommend that when the seeding is finally done you take a look at the public betting for the 5 vs 12 , 6 vs 11, and 4 vs 13 matchups to see which side is the college basketball consensus pick. It may be a bit skewed since even novice bettors know this is where the upsets usually happen, but if you see one of these 4,5,or 6 seeds are getting a ton of public money it may be a great opportunity to fade the public.
College Basketball Public Betting Trends
Tracking trends is a crucial part of being a successful sports bettor, but when it comes to tracking public betting trends for college basketball it can be nearly impossible to find all that data in one place. Luckily BetQL has you covered and is here to provide you with the data and insights for you to start making smarter bets. On BetQL you will find college basketball public betting data that you can’t find anywhere else, because with a BetQL subscription you can always look back to see our historical data which shows which side the public was on for every game this season. If you want to track your own trends you can look through a team's schedule to find out how often they cover the spread when they are either the consensus pick or when the public is on the side of their opponent. No one else the historical public betting data that BetQL has so find out if you favorite teams to bet on are popular with novice bettors or if they are still under the radar as we get closer to March.
Top College Basketball Consensus Picks for This Season
This season may have been a bit of an odd season, but the most popular teams with the public are anything but odd. Looking back at our historical public betting data the usual suspects at the top of the polls have been the most bet for the public bettors this season.
Gonzaga has been the overwhelming most public pick this year and that shouldn't be too much of a surprise. The Zags are undefeated this season and have been giant favorites in nearly every game they have played. Playing in the West Coast Conference is another reason why Gonzaga has been the top consensus pick this year in college basketball. With little real competition in their conference Gonzaga has been a public favorite for the entire season. It will be interesting to see as we get into March Madness if the public still makes the Zags a big consensus pick since they will be playing a higher level of competition. Gonzaga's real test this season was against Iowa where they came away with a win, but surprisingly the public did not back the Zags in that matchup and made a great example for bettors to learn how to fade the public.
Baylor has been the other college basketball team that has been a consensus pick week in and week out, and again it is for good reason. The Bears have only dropped one game this season against Kansas and other than that they have had some pretty smooth sailing beating up on teams in the Big 12. Unlike Gonzaga, Baylor has faced some stiff conference opponents this year but has been able to beat them all fairly easily. Currently Baylor has the second best Championship odds behind Gonzaga and we have a feeling this team will continue to be a public favorite late into the tournament. The Bears are the best shooting team in college basketball and teams that live and die by the three are always public betting favorites.
Michigan became a popular consensus pick as we got deeper and deeper into the regular season. The Wolverines dominated the Big 10 this season with a 20-3 overall record this season including a 13-1 record at home. Michigan has big wins against Illinois, Iowa, and Ohio State this season and they are hot entering the NCAA Tournament. Public bettors have made some good money off the Wolverines this year as they are 17-6 against the spread and will look to continue to improve on that record.
Keep an eye on these three consensus picks as the tournament tips off. Remember that consensus picks are a great part of your overall betting research, but don't blindly fade every big public favorite you see out there.