MLB Run Line Picks

If you are looking to get in on some action on the MLB tonight then check out our MLB run line picks. Our model not only picks moneylines and over unders, but it also simulates MLB run line winners.

MLB Run Line Explained

The MLB run line is a type of point spread used in baseball betting. It is similar to the point spread used in other sports, but with a few key differences. The run line is used to even up the odds between two teams that are not evenly matched. The favorite team is given a certain number of runs to start the game, and the underdog team is given the same number of runs to start the game. If the favorite team wins by more than the run line, the bettors on the favorite team win their bets. If the underdog team wins by more than the run line, or if the game is tied, the bettors on the underdog team win their bets.

In baseball, the run line is usually set at 1.5 runs, which means that the favorite team must win by at least 2 runs to cover the run line, while the underdog team must lose by no more than 1 run to cover the run line.

Yet runlines can be set at other numbers depending on the matchup. The favorite team is always the team that is -1.5 on the run line, and the underdog team is always the team that is +1.5 on the run line.

The run line is a popular way to bet on baseball because it gives bettors a chance to bet on the favorite team without having to worry about the team winning by a large margin. The run line also gives bettors a chance to bet on the underdog team without having to worry about the team losing by a large margin.

If you are thinking about betting on baseball, the run line is a good option to consider. The run line gives you a chance to bet on your favorite team or your underdog team, and it gives you a chance to win your bet even if the game is close.
MLB Run Line Examples:
For example we will look at two different situations:
Example 1: The Red Sox are +105 vs. the Yankees who are -125 on the money line, their odds against the run line would be Boston +1.5 at -180 odds while the Yankees are -1.5 at +150 odds. The large difference in the run line odds are due to how close of a game this is projected to be via the money line odds.
Example 2: The Orioles are +220 vs. the Rays who are -270 on the line, their odds against the run line would be Baltimore +1.5 at +105 odds while Tampa Bay is -1.5 at -125 odds. The run line does not adjust to a higher number (ie: +/- 2.5), but instead will adjust the odds on the +/- 1.5 runs.
Betting against the spread for baseball can be tricky and you must find value in your MLB spreads in order to remain profitable over the long term. To do this, BetQL has created value models to help you find which games will provide the most profit no matter the bet type.

How are BetQL's MLB Run Line Picks Performing?

Here is the performance for our MLB Run Line picks so far this season after the month of April. This run line pick data is based off when our model picks the following team against the run line. The profit is based off if you were to follow our run line picks for that team every game when we pick them

Tampa Bay Rays
The BetQL model has been highly successful in predicting run line outcomes for the Tampa Bay Rays this season. With 11 run line wins and only 3 run line losses, the model has an impressive winning percentage of 79%. Additionally, the model has been profitable, with a profit of $625.

Texas Rangers
When the BetQL run line pick model predicts that the Texas Rangers will win the game against the run line, it has been successful in 10 instances and has suffered 7 losses. This results in a winning percentage of 58%. Although this win percentage may not be as high as some other teams, the model has still managed to be profitable, with a profit of $272. This profit number isn't that bad so early in the season

Minnesota Twins
When the BetQL run line pick model predicts that the Minnesota Twins will win the game against the run line, it has been successful in 10 instances and has suffered 7 losses, giving it a winning percentage of 59%. Additionally, the model has been profitable, with a profit of $261.

Looking for more Baseball Bets?

Our data-driven picks can help you improve your chances of winning your baseball bets today. Whether you prefer to bet on totals or props, we have the picks for you!

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MLB Run Line Picks