MLB Picks Against the Spread
MLB Spreads Explained
An MLB spread is how many runs a team can either win or lose by to win a bet. For example if the MLB spread is -2 your team will need to win by at least three runs to win the bet. If the team you bet on has a spread of +1.5 it means the team can lose by one run and you can still cover. The reason MLB spreads exist is to create value on each side so bettors will be enticed to bet on either team. When the best team in the league is playing the worst team in the league everyone knows the best team will win, but the real question is by how much. The MLB spread attempts to bridge that gap and gives runs to the lesser team, or takes runs away from the better team depending on which side you bet. Whether you are betting baseball against the spread or you are checking in on the latest MLB spreads BetQL has you covered. If the MLB spread changes at the sportsbook you can be sure the spread is updated at BetQL.
MLB Picks Against the Spread
Above you will see BetQL's MLB picks against the spread for today's slate of games. To get a feel for how BetQL works we are giving away a few of our MLB picks against the spread each and everyday. For each of our MLB picks against the spread you will be able to see all of the available data we have on that game. You will be able to see which side the pros are betting and which side the public is betting on. We know you can find MLB picks against the spread from a lot of difference sources but what you can't find anywhere other than BetQL is the data behind the pick. BetQL's model not only provides MLB picks against the spread for today but we will explain why our model is picking that team. You can also find great value when you use BetQL's MLB picks against the spread because our star rating model factors in the value of an underdog. No matter the way you bet if you want to back favorites or fade the public BetQL has the data for you to be profitable betting baseball spreads.
MLB Run Line Odds Explained
Betting against the spread or ATS for short is the most popular way to bet on MLB games and is also very simple to understand. Betting against the spread for baseball is commonly referred to as betting against the Run Line (RL). In other popular sports the run line is called the spread but since baseball scoring is a bit different the rules and names are different as well. The team that is favored to win will be listed with a negative number (ie. -1.5) and that is the number they need to win the game by. MLB run lines are always listed as -1.5 for the favorite and +1.5 for the underdogs. This means that the favorite must win the game by 2 runs and the underdog can lose the game by a run or win the game outright for you to win a run line bet. Since MLB games cannot end in a tie, there is no situation where an MLB run line bet can “push”. If you need a refresher on how MLB lines work make sure you head over to that page where we have more in depth explanations
MLB Run Line Examples:
For example we will look at two different situations:
Example 1: The Red Sox are +105 vs. the Yankees who are -125 on the money line, their odds against the run line would be Boston +1.5 at -180 odds while the Yankees are -1.5 at +150 odds. The large difference in the run line odds are due to how close of a game this is projected to be via the money line odds.
Example 2: The Orioles are +220 vs. the Rays who are -270 on the line, their odds against the run line would be Baltimore +1.5 at +105 odds while Tampa Bay is -1.5 at -125 odds. The run line does not adjust to a higher number (ie: +/- 2.5), but instead will adjust the odds on the +/- 1.5 runs.
Betting against the spread for baseball can be tricky and you must find value in your MLB spreads in order to remain profitable over the long term. To do this, BetQL has created value models to help you find which games will provide the most profit no matter the bet type.