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Here you will find all of BetQL's NBA best bets for tonight, our NBA best bet model analyzes data for every single game and every sing bet type, so no matter how you like to bet BetQL has you covered. We display our NBA best bets on a 5-star scale that not only show's our NBA model's confidence in the pick but also shows how much value is in the pick. Sometimes picking a winner can be easy but if you have to risk your whole bankroll to win $100 it can be a bit stressful. With BetQL we want to display best bets but we also want to make sure it is a smart value bet. Our NBA best bet model processes data the second the odds are released so you don't have to wait to find NBA bets for tonight. With BetQL you never have to wait for a so called expert to look at the lines and decide their picks for tonight, you can always find the most updated info and data with BetQL. You can use our NBA best bet model to make your picks or dive deeper into the public betting data or the expert picks to see which side you want to bet. If you aren't interested in betting against the spread and you are more of an over under or a moneyline bettor we have model picks for that too!
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Betting on the NBA can be fun but if you are new it can be a bit difficult to understand. If you are going to start betting for the first time for the NBA playoffs and need some help don't worry BetQL is here to explain it all for you. NBA betting lines are made up of three main components the point spread, the NBA odds, and the line. Below we will go into more details about each:
NBA odds are no different than any other statistical odds, it merely shows how likely the outcome you are betting. There can be different formats of NBA odds for example American odds, Fractional odds, or Decimal odds although these are different formats of NBA odds they all say the same thing. At the end of the day the NBA odds show how much money you will win if your bet wins. Teams or bets that are more likely to happen will have lower odds, while teams or bets that are not as likely to happen will have higher odds. If you are new to betting the NBA all you have to do is look at the number next to the team you want to bet. If your team has a positive number such as (+110) that means if you bet $100 and your team wins you will win $110. If the NBA odds show a negative number next to your team like (-200) that means you would need to bet $200 to win $100. If you are new to betting on this sport then you have to figure out the best balance between the risk, the value, and the NBA odds. Luckily BetQL is here to help since we analyze every game and every bet type to show you which side you should take to maximize your profit. With BetQL you can always ensure that we are balancing the value of the odds to our star ratings. We will rarely give a team that has (-500) odds five stars because there is not much value wagering $500 to only win $100. Not only is the strategy of betting the odds on favorite every game a very stressful strategy, but you also need to have a large bankroll to even try that. With BetQL our NBA best bet model looks to promote winners while also balancing value, so our tool is not only helpful to advanced bettors but also novice bettors who are looking to get their feet wet with betting and are still trying their best to understand the difference between NBA odds, lines, and spreads.
Betting NBA spreads or ATS (against the spread) for short is the most popular way to bet on NBA games and is also very simple to understand. An NBA spread also known as a point spread is how many points a team can either win or lose by to win a bet. For example, if the NBA spread is (-2) your team will need to win by at least three points to win the bet. If the team you bet on has a point spread of +4.5 it means the team can lose by four points and you can still cover. The reason NBA spreads exist is to create value on each side so bettors will be enticed to bet on both teams. When the best team in the league is playing the worst team in the league everyone knows the best team will win, but the real question is by how much. The point spread attempts to bridge that gap and gives points to the lesser team, or takes points away from the better team depending on which side you bet. Betting with point spreads not only makes the game more fair for bettors but it racks up the difficulty. Everyone can pick out a winner but can you pick out a winner when the NBA point spreads are involved. When you start betting the NBA against the spread you start to look at the game with new eyes. No longer do you start to track the teams that win, but you start keeping a closer eye on the teams that can cover the point spread. Whether you are betting the NBA against the spread or you are checking in on the latest NBA spreads BetQL has you covered. With BetQL you always know you are looking at the most updated NBA odds, lines, and spreads because if the spread changes at the sportsbook, it will update immediately on BetQL. Our model works once the odds, lines, and spreads have been released and once our best bet model can get a hold of the point spread it will run 10,000 simulations to figure out which side will cover the spread. Always know that if the NBA spread changes at the sportsbook you can be sure the point spread is updated at BetQL.
NBA ATS Example:
The San Antonio Spurs are favored to win against the Sacramento Kings and the NBA point spread is set at +/- 5.5 this means that the Spurs are -6 and the Kings are +6. If you placed a bet on the Spurs against the spread it means that the Spurs have to win the game by 6 points or more to win your bet. At the end of the game take the Spurs' final score and subtract 5.5, if the Spurs still win that means you have covered your bet and can cash your ticket. If you bet the Kings that means the Kings can lose the game by 5 points or less because remember this spread was set at +5.5 for the Kings. At the end of the game you can add 5.5 points to the Kings final score and if they have more points than the Spurs that means your bet won!
Betting on the NBA is all about finding value in the odds, but it can be difficult to find value in the odds because they are always changing. BetQL always shows the most updated NBA odds, lines and spreads. We work closely with the sportsbooks to show by the minute updates. If a line moves you can ensure that BetQL has the most updated line. Finding value in your bets is easy with BetQL because our tool does all the heavy lifting for you. Our NBA best bet model creates its own point spread for each and every game and then compares it to the point spread once the line is released, the model does this with the odds as well, so if there is a big difference between our projected points spread or odds and the actual point spread / odds at the sportsbook then we will flag that game as it will be advantageous to bet.
Most sharp bettors will track NBA betting lines to see how often certain teams cover certain lines. For example the Philadelphia 76ers are a great basketball team and they win a lot of games, but they rarely cover large point spreads. The Sixers may ultimately win all of these games, but they don't cover the point spread. These types of trends are vital to being a successful NBA bettor and most people just don't have the time to watch all of these games and track the data. With BetQL our NBA best bet tool does all the heavy lifting for you by tracking lines, odds, spreads, and records.
The Atlanta Hawks and the Philadelphia 76ers will collide in the Eastern Conference Semifinals. Atlanta defeated the New York Knicks and Philadelphia defeated the Washington Wizards, both winning the series by 4-1 scores.
How do these teams arrive at the series?
The Hawks finished the regular season in fifth place of the Eastern Conference with a 41-31 record, though they were noticeably better when playing at home rather than playing on the road -- they posted a 25-11 mark at StateFarm Arena and a 16-20 figure when playing on the road. Atlanta didn’t have problems to dispatch the New York Knicks in the first round by a 4-1 score, though, and if we include the regular-season contests into the mix, then the Hawks have won eight of their last nine games. Playing against the 76ers is a completely different challenge compared to the Knicks, though, and Atlanta will prove their worth in this series.
The Sixers got off to an impressive start to the regular season and were dominant throughout the campaign, finishing in the first place of the Eastern Conference standings with a 49-23 record and looking dominant both at home (29-7) and away (20-16). Led by MVP-candidate Joel Embiid and Defensive Player of the Year candidate Ben Simmons, as well as the coaching of Doc Rivers in his first year with the franchise, the Sixers have built an impressive team on both ends of the court and also have lots of playoff experience to account for. They showed the makings of a contender in their first-round series against the Wizards, defeating them by a 4-1 margin and dominant in each one of those wins.
Who are the players to watch in this series?
The Hawks will rely on the contributions of Trae Young to pull the upset against the Sixers. Even though Clint Capela and John Collins provide an admirable frontcourt punch and Bogdan Bogdanovic contributes on the offensive end of the court, Young is the player to watch and the one that will carry the Hawks in this series. Dealing with the marking of Ben Simmons won’t be easy for Young, but he already dazzled in the series against the Knicks -- he averaged 29.2 points, 9.8 assists and 2.8 rebounds per game.
There’s uncertainty regarding the availability of Joel Embiid for this series, but the big man is the engine that keeps the Sixers going. Even though he barely played in Game 4 and missed Game 5 with injury, Embiid is expected to play some kind of part in the Eastern Conference Semifinals to continue his dominant run across the entire campaign. He averaged 29.3 points per game in his three full games during the first round of the playoffs.
Head-to-head record during the regular season
These two teams met three times during the regular season, with the Sixers edging the Hawks by a 2-1 lead. Atlanta won the first meeting by a 112-94 score, but Philadelphia won the final two contests 127-83 and 126-104, respectively.
The Milwaukee Bucks and the Brooklyn Nets will collide in the Eastern Conference Semifinals. The Bucks swept the Miami Heat in the first round, while the Nets needed five games to get past the Boston Celtics.
How these two teams arrive into the series?
The Bucks couldn’t dominate the regular season as much as they did during the 2019-20 season, but they still looked like one of the best teams in the Eastern Conference even if they went through some rough patches at times. Milwaukee ended the regular season in third place of the Eastern Conference standings with a 46-26 record, but their biggest strength was their play at home since they posted a 30-12 record at Fiserv Forum, compared to a 26-10 mark when playing on the road. The Bucks also swept the Miami Heat in the first round of the postseason and were the only team in The Association that swept its opponent in the opening round of the playoffs.
The Nets were unable to earn the first seed of the Eastern Conference but ended just one game behind the top-seeded Philadelphia 76ers, which is a remarkable achievement considering they only added James Harden in a midseason trade with the Houston Rockets -- but also dealt with injury concerns of both Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving. That didn’t stop Brooklyn from posting a 48-24 record in the regular season, though they were far more dominant at home (28-8) rather than on the road (20-16). They also dispatched the Boston Celtics in the first round of the playoffs by a 4-1 score and looked completely in control throughout most of the series. However, it remains to be seen how they’ll adjust their schemes against the Bucks, as Milwaukee are one of the most physical defenses in the league.
Who are the players to watch in the series?
Undoubtedly, the player to watch for the Milwaukee Bucks is none other than Giannis Antetokounmpo. The two-time MVP winner looked unstoppable in the series against the Heat and should have a field day attacking the paint against Brooklyn, considering his two primary defenders would be Blake Griffin and DeAndre Jordan -- two players that will have a hard time dealing with Antetokounmpo’s athleticism and mobility. The star forward posted 23.5 points, 15.0 rebounds, 7.8 assists, and 1.8 steals per game in the first-round series against the Heat, posting three double-doubles and one triple-double. He is expected to be Milwaukee’s go-to player on both ends of the court in this series against other top Eastern Conference teams such as the Nets.
The Nets have one of the league’s most star-studded rosters with Kevin Durant, James Harden, and Kyrie Irving leading the way, and any of those three superstars could be the player to watch in this series -- either could takeover a specific game and carry the Nets to victory. However, Harden seems to be the one that should be watched closely. Durant will have to deal with Antetokounmpo on both ends of the court, while Irving will be extremely dependant on his scoring figures considering he is not the point guard anymore. Meanwhile, Harden will be the player that will orchestrate the offense on a nightly basis and will dictate the tempo, but he’s also capable of lighting up the scoreboard on any given night. Harden averaged 27.8 points. 10.6 assists and 7.2 rebounds per game during the first-round series against the Celtics.
Previous head-to-head record
The regular-season series between these two teams ended with a 2-1 lead for the Bucks. The Nets won the first meeting, but Milwaukee won the final two in very close contests. It’s worth noting all three games ended with six or fewer points separating both teams in the final score.
The Denver Nuggets will face the Phoenix Suns in the Western Conference Semifinals. The Nuggets eliminated the Portland Trail Blazers, while the Suns eliminated the reigning NBA champion, Los Angeles Lakers.
How do these two teams arrive at the series?
The Nuggets finished with the third-best record in the Western Conference during the regular season at 47-25 and looked impressive both at home (25-11) and on the road (22-14), so there’s no question they will be a tough matchup for any team in the playoffs. The Nuggets had probably one of the toughest assignments in the first round of the postseason but got past Damian Lillard and the Trail Blazers, quite a remarkable achievement considering they were without the services of star point guard Jamal Murray, out for the season with a knee injury, and without another capable scoring threat in Will Barton. The play of Nikola Jokic and Michael Porter -- particularly in the final two games of the series -- was key to seal the victory, and Denver should have a strong chance at moving into the finals based on how good they’ve looked all season long.
Speaking of “looking good throughout the season”, there’s no question the Suns have been one of the most surprising teams in the NBA throughout the 2020-21 campaign -- though their rise didn’t come out of nowhere if you followed what happened in the bubble last year. The Suns went 8-0 in the Disney bubble and barely missed the playoffs, but they carried that momentum into the 2020-21 regular season and finished with the second-best record in the Conference (51-21), aided by an impressive mark of 27-9 at PHX Arena and a solid 24-12 on the road. As if being one of the two teams in the league that won 50 games wasn’t enough, the Suns also defeated the reigning champions, the Lakers, 4-2 in the first round. Phoenix took advantage of the injury woes suffered by both LeBron James and Anthony Davis to make it to the Conference Semifinals for the first time in 11 years.
Who are the players to watch in the series?
The Nuggets have to rely on their MVP candidate, Nikola Jokic. Even though the Serbian big man will have a tough battle dealing with DeAndre Ayton on both ends of the court, Jokic has already proven he can carry the team deep into the playoffs but seems to have taken his play to a whole new level in 2020-21. He averaged 33.0 points, 10.5 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game in the first-round series against the Blazers, scoring at least 30 points in five of those six games.
The Suns, on the other hand, will probably rely on the scoring contributions of Devin Booker (29.7 points per game in the series against the Lakers) and the defensive play of Ayton (10.7 rebounds, 0.7 blocks per game in the previous round), but their player to watch will be Chris Paul. The veteran point guard is key for the team’s success and needs to be at his best to carry Phoenix into the next round, especially considering he’ll be going up against a rookie in Facundo Campazzo. Paul was limited by a shoulder injury in the first-round series against the Lakers, though, and his health will also be worth monitoring.
What’s the regular-season H2H record between both franchises?
The regular-season H2H record between the Suns and the Nuggets ended with a 2-1 lead for the Nuggets, as they won the final two head-to-head meetings. It’s worth noting both of Denver’s wins came through overtime.
Clippers vs Jazz - Series Preview
The Utah Jazz will face the Los Angeles Clippers in the Western Conference Semifinals. The Jazz eliminated the Memphis Grizzlies in the first round, while the Clippers had to play seven games to get past the Dallas Mavericks in the opening stage of the postseason.
How do these two teams arrive at the series?
The Jazz was the best team in The Association during the 2021-22 regular season and finished in first place of the Western Conference standings with a 52-20 record, being one of just two teams that recorded at least 50 victories and the only franchise to record under 20.5 defeats. Despite not getting a lot of praise from both media and fans, Utah cruised its way through the regular season and also looked very strong in the playoffs. While the Jazz started their postseason run with a loss to the Memphis Grizzlies, they quickly turned things around and won four games in a row to secure a spot in the Conference’s semifinals. Utah will undoubtedly rely on their home record to win this series, as the Jazz posted an elite 31-5 mark when playing at Vivint Smart Home Arena.
The Clippers looked very good during the regular season, but they always left the sensation that they were not playing at their full potential. Whether it was on the defensive end on the court or on offense, Los Angeles found a way to end the regular season as a top-seeded team (4th, 47-25) but they never looked as dominant as one would’ve imagined it based on their star-studded roster, headlined by both Kawhi Leonard and Paul George. Los Angeles also struggled more than what they would’ve liked it in the first round of the playoffs, and they had to wait until the fourth quarter of Game 7 in their series against the Dallas Mavericks to have some sort of breathing room. Based on that, it’s fair to say the Clippers aren’t the odds-on favorites to begin the series.
Who are the players to watch?
When it comes to the Jazz, their chances of a deep playoff run live and die by what Donovan Mitchell can do on the offensive end of the court. The star guard missed the first game of the series against the Grizzlies due to an injury and Utah lost, but the team looked much better when he was healthy and should be the one to watch for the first-seeded franchise in the Western Conference. Mitchell averaged 28.5 points per game during the first round against the Grizzlies, and he also scored 26.4 points per game during the regular season.
The Clippers have two superstar players in Kawhi Leonard and Paul George, but there’s no question Leonard will be the one that should carry a bigger chunk of the scoring load for Los Angeles. The star forward, who has been named the NBA Finals MVP twice already in his career, delivered video-game-like numbers in the first-round series against the Mavericks, averaging 32.1 points, 7.9 rebounds, 4.6 assists and 2.3 steals per game. He also averaged 24.8 points, 6.5 rebounds, 5.2 assists and 1.6 steals per game in the regular season.
What happened when both teams met during the regular season?
The Jazz won the regular-season series by a 2-1 score, though the Clippers won the final meeting between these two franchises. It’s worth noting two of these three games was decided by six or fewer points.
What is the best bet in Game 4 between the Nets and Bucks?
What is the best bet in Game 4 between the Suns and Nuggets?
Which team in a 2-1 deficit has a better chance of coming back to win their playoff series?