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The Pistons might be the worst team in the NBA from an overall talent perspective, but they’ve recently stepped up against some of the league’s most talented teams on the road. In fact, Detroit has covered their last three games as a double-digit road underdog (against the Suns, Lakers and Clippers). To make things look even better for them, this will be Indiana’s second game of a back-to-back after the Pacers lost to a Bucks team that was without both Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton last night. Cade Cunningham and Co. are playing hard for coach Dwane Casey and are one of my favorite bets on the board today.
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Everything is pointing to the under here. The 76ers are 10-17 O/U and have gone over the total only four times in their last 15 games (2-7 O/U in the last nine). Plus, they're just 4-12 O/U as underdogs this season. Meanwhile, the Nets, who will be missing James Harden, have skewed toward the under at home this season (5-9 O/U).
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The Rockets failed to cover the spread as the underdog last night and I think they’ll make that two in a row here playing in the second game of a back-to-back against the more-rested Knicks. The BetQL model agrees with me, projecting the Knicks as six-point favorites tonight.
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The Wizards have been a mess since their 10-3 start. They've lost three straight, including both of their games on this road trip. They're also 4-12 ATS on the road, and even though the Suns are just 7-7 ATS at home, Phoenix is 12-2 SU at home.
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