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College Football Over Under Picks

BetQL's College Football Over Under Picks for This Week:

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Hawaii vs. UCLA

Total: Over 69.5 (-110) Under 69.5 (-110)
Time: August 28, 2021, 3:30 PM ET

Two teams from way out west will battle it out as one of the first matchups of the new college football season when Hawaii takes on UCLA. This “Week 0” match is sure to be a good one, despite what the odds may say right now. UCLA is predicted to roll Hawaii by 17 points, as oddsmakers are really starting to believe in Chip Kelly again apparently. When that is the case, you know that something bad is bound to happen. This is set to be a much tighter game than is advertised, and we have everything you need to place a more informed bet.

Hawaii

Team Total Over Under: 25.5
Over 25.5: (-115)
Under 25.5: (-113)
When it comes to Hawaii football, pretty much everyone who knows college football will think of the offense. However, it was the defensive side of the ball that was the star of the show last season under new head coach Todd Graham. It should only keep improving in its second year under him, and will be strong right out of the gate. Just about everyone on the defensive side of the ball is back, as the team didn’t lose many players to graduation or the draft.

The offense is what this team is known for, and it wasn’t exactly “bad” in 2020, it just wasn’t as sensational as we have been used to seeing on the islands. All the focus will be on this defense now. The defensive line is big and bulky, while the speed of the back eight should be able to close in on UCLA’s playmakers. There should be enough pressure on the Bruins backfield to cause them problems as well.

UCLA’s QB situation will be fine, but they will miss having Dorian Thompson-Robinson if he is not able to go. He has missed a few practices due to an undisclosed reason, and that will hurt his ability to be ready for Week 0.

UCLA

Team Total Over Under: 43.5
Over 43.5: (-110)
Under 43.5: (-118)

The good news for UCLA is that Thompson-Robinson is a veteran, and even if he does miss time, he has the experience to not miss that much of a step. The Bruins are also very deep at the position. The offense should bring back most of its players, and the receiving corp will be the best the school has put out onto the field in a long time. The rushing attack will try and dominate behind a veteran offensive line. But just like Hawaii, the defense is where the publicity and headlines should be going.

The Bruins defensive front should dominate a hot and cold Hawaii offensive line. It will force the Rainbow Warriors to pass more, which is not what that offense wants to do. If the secondary can build upon its amazing end to the 2020 season in which it was picking off everything in sight, they should have little problems. Especially if the pass rush does its job and gets pressure on the QB. The chances for turnovers will be there.

Nebraska vs. Illinois

Total: Over 55 (-110), Under 55 (-110)
Time: August 28, 2021, 1:00 PM ET

In a game that was originally supposed to be held overseas in Dublin, Ireland, the Nebraska Cornhuskers will take on the Illinois Fighting Illini at Memorial Stadium (the one in Champaign) to kick off the college football season. It would have been super awesome to see these two Big Ten foes duke it out over with the Irish, but alas, COVID has ruined just about every fun thing in our lives over the last 2 years. However, we do have sports back, and for that everyone should be thankful. Even if it is disappointing compared to what it was going to be.

Nebraska

Team Total Over Under: 30.5
Over 30.5: (-121)
Under 30.5: (-108)

Nebraska is a team that has had big expectations over the last couple years of their rebuild process under Scott Frost, but has ultimately disappointed. Even against these Illini, the Cornhuskers have struggled to get a win, so how would they expect to best Ohio State? The good news for Nebraska is that they get to face this Illinois defense to start up the season, which may allow them to gain some momentum. The rushing attack should be able to stampede over this poor Illini rush defense.

The Huskers have a very good RB corp to surround QB Adrian Martinez, who will have to adjust to having some new faces around him at the receiver positions. The offensive line shouldn’t have too much of a problem, even with it losing several players from last year to graduation. Illinois defense is just that poor, finishing dead last in the Big Ten in defense. They gave up 34.9 PPG last season, and it isn’t going to magically get that much better this season.

Illinois has improved on that side of the ball a bit, and there is some talent there, but the team is in the midst of a transformation under their new head coach. It will take time to get things fixed, and it won’t be in the first game of the season.

Illinois

Team Total Over Under: 23.5
Over 23.5: (-120)
Under 23.5: (-109)

One of the biggest reasons for optimism for the Fighting Illini this upcoming season is new head coach Bret Bielema and defensive coordinator Ryan Walters. With Lovie Smith departed, fans finally have a breath of fresh air within the team. The two should be able to get the lackluster pass rush going, and get some pressure in the Nebraska backfield after a few of their key lineman left after graduation. It will still be quite a challenge with a new scheme and players, but the talent is finally there, and it will be about implementing a new scheme.

Nebraska has good talent on its offense, but as stated before, there are a ton of new faces that Martinez has to work with in the passing game. For a QB that already lacks consistency, it will be hard to find for a bit until the players get adjusted with each other in the Nebraska offense. The biggest strength for the Illinois defense is its linebacking corp, and along with a new defensive line, could cause problems for an unfamiliar offense.

Illinois has some incoming receiving transfers that will improve the passing attack and do some damage to the Huskers secondary. Nebraska gave up 29.4 PPG last season, and can be had by an experienced offense. The running game should be decent enough to keep the pace of play moving.

UConn vs. Fresno State

Total: Over 62.5 (-110) Under 62.5 (-110)
Time: August 28, 2021, 2:00 PM ET

Fresno State fans are going to be back in Bulldog Stadium for the first time in nearly 2 years when the Bulldogs open the 2021 season versus UConn. The oddsmakers project that they will have a lot to be cheering for in their first game back too. The opening betting line has Fresno State as a 27.5-point favorite against the visiting Connecticut Huskies. Yeah, it isn’t projected to be pretty for the Huskies, who have not been good for quite some time.

The opening line comes from DraftKings Sportsbook, who have released all of their “Week 0” and Week 1 college football lines. This match has one of the highest totals of this week, as the oddsmakers expect points in bunches. Four of those five games will be played between FBS teams, and are featured on the betting line in what is sure to be a fantastic and exciting opening week. It has been far too long since the season ended, and we as fans are ready to get back into football.

The Huskies will be well rested when they face the Bulldogs in Week 0, which will be one of their only advantages in this game. They have had a year off from football after they opted out of the 2020 season due to the COVID-19 pandemic. They haven’t gotten a chance to do much of anything this spring either, but one thing they actually have going for them is the running attack. It should be able to gain boatloads of yards in this game to keep Huskies in the game.

Even though Fresno State will be returning most of its players from last season on defense, they were horrendous last year against the run. The linebacking corp will be under pressure all game as the the poor defensive front might not be able to hold up. Kevin Mensah is a good, quick running back for UConn that should be able to get his. The offensive line was very young and very bad in 2019, but they have had a ton of time to work together and should be improved.

The defense should at least be a bit better than it was in 2019. Boise State transfer Tyson Maeva will bring some serious power and athleticism to the linebacking corp, and can help fix the problem the defense has had against the run. However, the offense is what’s really interesting.

Head coach Kalen DeBoer will be back after a rocky first season in 2019, but it wasn’t the fault of his offense. Washington transfer Jake Haener absolutely crushed defenses, turning into a 300-yard machine late down the stretch. He shouldn’t have any problems with this UConn defense, which can be pretty hit and miss in the secondary. The Huskies are even worse against the run, where veteran tailback Ronnie Rivers will thrive and tear up that poor D. Fresno state has a deep backfield, so they should have no problem against UConn in the running game.

UTEP vs. New Mexico State

Total: Over 56.5 (-110) Under 56.5 (-110)
Time: August 28, 2021, 9:30 PM ET

Once again, “Week 0” does not disappoint in the college football season. There are some truly great matchups that will be kicking off the 2021 college football season, and BetQL is here to help you make smarter, more informed bets on all of them. So make sure to subscribe to get all of the model’s best plays before Week 0 begins! The late game during the first week is UTEP vs. New Mexico State, a game that will be closer than the oddsmakers think it will be. There are many reasons for this, so let’s outline the strengths and weaknesses of these teams to determine what might be the best bet to make on this game.

UTEP’s rushing attack should just barely be good enough to control this game. It’s not great by any means, but it is facing a team that will make it look great.

New Mexico State’s defense was an absolute disaster in 2019. The team didn’t play in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic, but that won’t change how bad that team was on that side of the ball. In it’s modified spring season, the defense struggled once again, allowing over 5 yards per carry and five TDs in just two games. Deion Hankins isn’t Adrian Peterson, but he is a solid running back for UTEP that should be able to get his against this NMSU D. UTEP has a good RB corp and a veteran offensive line that will be out for blood.

The passing attack for UTEP won’t be as effective, but it should be just good enough to compliment the running attack. Once the NMSU defense starts to key on to the running game, the veteran receivers should be able to do work against them

UTEP’s rushing attack should just barely be good enough to control this game. It’s not great by any means, but it is facing a team that will make it look great.

New Mexico State’s defense was an absolute disaster in 2019. The team didn’t play in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic, but that won’t change how bad that team was on that side of the ball. In it’s modified spring season, the defense struggled once again, allowing over 5 yards per carry and five TDs in just two games. Deion Hankins isn’t Adrian Peterson, but he is a solid running back for UTEP that should be able to get his against this NMSU D. UTEP has a good RB corp and a veteran offensive line that will be out for blood.

The passing attack for UTEP won’t be as effective, but it should be just good enough to compliment the running attack. Once the NMSU defense starts to key on to the running game, the veteran receivers should be able to do work against them

NMSU has the experience from the Spring games, but they looked terrible against FCS teams. That doesn’t inspire much confidence in a team that was giving up 36 PPG in 2019. UTEP has the better roster and should be able to put up big points on NMSU. Neither team should completely dominate the other, but defense will probably be optional for both sides. I expect a higher scoring affair.

Don’t forget to subscribe to BetQL to get all the analysis for this game and every single game of the 2021 college football season!

During the college football season, there is no better place to come to for weekly picks than BetQL. Whether you are a spread, money line, or total bettor, BetQL has you covered. Every week during the season, including Week 1, we will unlock 3-4 games to let you experience what we have to offer first hand. You will learn how we work and everything we have to offer for each game, including all the data and analytics that we use to make our pick. For each of the free picks that we offer during Week 1, you will be able to see our projected score, which side our college football model is projecting, all the public betting info and percentages, and which side the sharps are on for each of these games. We also will have entire previews written by our college football experts giving away their picks and thoughts on each game. All of that information will be available to you no matter how you bet, so make sure to check out BetQL every week after that for all the information you need to make smarter and more informed bets on college football.

College Football Over Under Picks Explained

Betting on the over under total is very tough in college because games are much more unpredictable with these young athletes out on the field. Even the most talented players have poor games and stretches throughout their college career, which makes it that much harder to predict the final score of each game. Have no fear though, because BetQL is here to get you all the best possible picks for the total each and every game, each and every week. We rank each of our bets on a scale of 1 to 5 Stars, with 5 Stars being the most profitable bets each week. Our computer model is able to identify trends and player statistics to see who is performing up to par, and who is slumping. We use real time data and analysis to predict each score, so picking the over under total has never been easier. When there is a large discrepancy between our model projection and the actual line, we give the bet a 5 Star rating so you know you’re making a smart bet. Each pick will include analysis on how the model projected its bet, as well as where the model would have the game lined. You also get the picks faster, because our model begins working on them as soon as the line opens. With BetQL, there is no more worrying about which games to bet on during the college football season. We even adapt in-game, so you can find the best value while the ball is in the air. We have you covered for every game, from the first kickoff of the season until the last second ticks off the clock in the College Football Championship. No other sport betting service can get you the picks faster and with a higher winning percentage than BetQL, meaning we will keep you ahead of the bookmakers all season long. If you want to start making the most informed college football picks and getting the best closing line value around, then subscribe to BetQL and start beating the books.

College Football Totals Betting Explained

As stated above, betting the over under is one of the hardest things to do in a college football game because of the incredible amount of unpredictability involved in the sport. However, betting over unders is a pretty straightforward way of betting that doesn’t require much information to understand how it works. The total is a very common way for sports bettors to wager on a game, and you will see below why even the most inexperienced sports gambler will have an easy time understanding the basics of total betting. We have compiled an example that explains how betting the total works, as well as explaining the odds that are associated with making a total bet on the over under. Check it out below.

College Football Over Under Example: Notre Dame vs. Clemson (O56,-110) (U56, -110)

Betting the total in a college football game is hard when it comes to picking a winner, but not hard to understand how it works. As you can see above, the total for this game between Notre Dame and Clemson is set at 56. This simply means that the total score between both teams when combined is projected to be 56 points. Betting the over for this game would imply that you believe the total amount of points scored during the game will be higher than 56. If the game lands on exactly 56 points scored, the bet pushes and you get the money back that you wagered on the game. A bet on the under would imply that you believe the total score of the game will be under 56 points. The bet would also push should the number land on 56. So, as you can see, it’s pretty simple to understand. You are just betting if the total amount of points scored in the game is higher or lower than the number listed.

Now for the second part, the actual odds you have to pay to make the bet. This is fairly simple to understand once you know what the numbers mean. In this instance, both spreads are listed as -110. What this simply means is that in order to win $100, you must bet $110 dollars. The amounts do not have to be this small or large either, as it would mean the same thing with any amount. An $11 wager would win you $10, while an $1100 dollar wager would win you $1000, and so on. This extra price you have to pay is called “vigor” or “juice” on a line. Think of it like a tax you are having to pay the books to place your bet.

There are times when you will occasionally see a “plus-money” line with a spread bet, however, that is very rare. If you do see one, it will simply have a “+” instead of a “-“ in front of the number. Let’s say the number is +160. What this means is that if you bet $100 on this line, you would win $160. So you are not having to pay a tax at all, and instead, you are getting a much higher payout. Lines like these are always on a bet that is more unlikely to win, so you will have to be okay with the risk that involves being in the unfavorable situation.

Expert College Football Over Under Picks:

At BetQL, we know that sports bettors want the most options possible at their disposal before they place their hard-earned money on a college football game. Not only do we have our computer models picks on each game every week, but we have a team of experts working throughout the season to help you make your bets. This is a team of real people who work each week to crunch the numbers and do their own research to find you the best value on certain games. But that’s not where the options stop with BetQL. We have all the betting data you need from the sports books to figure out where the money is going, from public money percentage to sharp money. This lets you see where the big bets are being placed, and which side the sharp bettors are on.

One of the best ways, and most profitable ways, to bet the over under total is by looking at the sharp action. These numbers will tell you where all the huge tickets are going on a game, compared to where the small wagers are being placed. For example, one team may have a huge number of tickets on them compiling of 90% of the total bets placed on that game for that type of wager, while the other team only has 10%. However, that 10% team may have over 70% of the total money bet on the game, meaning that the bets placed on that team are very large amounts of money. This lets you separate the more inexperienced bettors from the big cats that are placing massive amounts of money on bets every single night. These gamblers are usually sharp bettors, people that gamble for a living and have inside sources that help them win bets. We have this data via our BetQL model that tells us the Sharp %, making sure you know where the pros are betting each and every game.

College Football Over Under Lines

One of the best things about BetQL is the lightning-fast speeds in which we are able to get our picks and projections out to our clients. As soon as the sportsbooks release their numbers on a game, we instantly update our database with the current number and pick based off of that number. This way, you get closing line value immediately, and are able to make a smart bet as soon as the number is released. The best part about it is that we always update our pick based on the current number that is listed at the books, so no matter what, you will always be getting the best value for your bet where ever the line is set at. Picking college football totals is one of the hardest tasks for any handicapper, but that task becomes much easier with computer models like BetQL. The computer simply is much faster sorting through all the data and analytics, able to do research in a fraction of the time it would take a human. This is how we are able to get you the information instantly, and continue to update that information the second a line moves.

When Do Our College Football Over Under Picks Come Out?

As stated above, there is no-one that is quicker to get their picks out than BetQL. We want to be sure that you get the best of the number and secure that closing line value before it is stripped away. Our picks go live the instant the odds come out, so you won’t have to wait on the experts to sort through all the research and data. Our computer does that in seconds after each game is played, so it is already able to make a pick as soon as the lines come out on which way the data is telling you to bet. BetQL is a faster way to make smarter and more informed bets.

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