MLB Picks for Today

MLB Picks for Today:

Astros (-140) vs Red Sox (+120)

Game 1 of the ALCS is scheduled for Friday between the Boston Red Sox and Houston Astros. These two teams met in the 2017 ALDS and the 2018 ALCS, so they are no strangers to one another. Once again, they are set to meet with a trip to the World Series on the line. In Friday’s series opener, the Astros are favored at home with a moneyline of -140 while Boston’s moneyline is set at +120.

The Astros will hand the ball to Framber Valdez in Game 1. The 27-year-old put together a solid season, going 11-6 with a 3.14 ERA over 22 starts after missing the first two months of the season. Valdez also comes with an excellent postseason track record, going 3-1 with a 1.88 ERA over four appearances last October. However, that was not the case during the ALDS when he gave up four runs on seven hits over 4.1 innings in his start against the White Sox. On the bright side, Valdez faced the Red Sox twice in early June, allowing just two runs on 10 hits over 14.1 innings.

Of course, the Boston lineup has heated up during the postseason. Outside of getting shut out in Game 1 of the ALDS, the Red Sox have scored at least six runs in their four other playoff games, including a 14-run outburst in Game 2 against the Rays. Rafael Devers has continued his hot hitting from the end of the regular season. Equally important, Xander Bogaerts has come alive after slumping late in the regular season. Enrique Hernandez, Kyle Schwarber, and J.D. Martinez are also swinging a hot bat with the Red Sox hitting 11 home runs over their five playoff games. 

Meanwhile, the Red Sox will also be sending a lefty to the mound in Game 1 with Chris Sale getting the start. Sale returned from Tommy John surgery late in the season but went 5-1 with a 3.16 ERA over his nine starts. He looked almost as good as he did before the surgery, striking out 52 batters over those 42.2 innings. However, Sale did not get off to a good start in the playoffs. He gave up five runs to the Rays in the first inning of Game 2, including a grand slam, ending his night early. 

Sale will now have to bounce back from that outing against one of the most potent lineups in baseball. The Astros ended the regular season red-hot and have continued that in the postseason. Houston scored 31 runs during the ALDS, averaging nearly eight runs per game. Yuli Gurriel is the only regular in Houston’s lineup that didn’t have a good series. The only surprise is that the Astros needed just four home runs to do that kind of damage, which is a testament to how well they were swinging the bats. 

Despite Houston’s lineup being red-hot at the moment, the sharps are leaning toward the Red Sox to win Game 1. Both starting pitchers had trouble during the ALDS, although Sale is getting the benefit of the doubt more than Valdez, which makes sense. Plus, with the way Boston’s lineup is rolling, the Astros don’t have that much of an advantage offensively, especially in a hitter-friendly park. With the Astros being slight favorites in this game, the value is with the Red Sox because this game could be more of a tossup than the odds suggest. While the public betting is favoring the Astros, the sharps recognize the value of taking the underdog when they have the better starting pitcher.

Pick: Red Sox +120

BetQL's MLB Picks

Betting on baseball is one of the hardest sports to be consistent and profitable, that is why BetQL is here to help. Above you will see BetQL's MLB picks for today totally for free. To get a feel for how BetQL works we are giving away a few of our MLB picks for free every single day. For each of our free games you will be able to see all of the available data we have on that game for each and every bet type. You can find MLB picks from a lot of difference sources but what you can't find anywhere other than BetQL is the data behind the pick. BetQL's model not only provides MLB picks for today but will explain why our model is picking that team. You can also find great value when you use BetQL's MLB picks because our star rating model factors in the value of an underdog. No matter the way you bet if you want to back favorites or fade the public BetQL has the data for you to be profitable betting baseball.

On BetQL you will even find free MLB picks everyday with our unlocked games and game previews. Although we keep a lot of our MLB picks for our subscribers we do want to give away a few free picks per day so you can see how our model really works. Every day we will select a few games and unlock them and provide everyone with our free MLB picks for today that we think have a good chance at hitting. Once the odds, lines, and spreads are released our picks model goes to work simulating the games and reviewing all the data. Once the simulations are complete you can see our free picks and free predictions. Our predictions include a full game score prediction, a first five innings prediction, and an analysis on the moneyline. If our MLB pick model notices a discrepancy in the line compared where our model would have placed the line then we will highlight the value in that pick. Check out our free picks above and once you hit a bet with one of those bet sure to subscribe to get our expert MLB picks every day.

MLB Expert Picks

Finding a winning baseball bet can be difficult and that is why many bettors try and search out MLB expert picks. Knowing who the professionals are betting on can be a huge advantage against the sportsbooks, but if you are taking advice from the people who make MLB expert picks you are betting mostly on one person’s opinion. With BetQL you can view sharp betting percentages which will show you as a whole how all the experts are betting rather than just one. It can also be difficult to find a consensus of expert picks to back and that is why BetQL is helpful. No longer do you need to search around from site to site to find out who the pros are backing, because BetQL takes all of the MLB expert picks and puts it in one easy place. If you don’t totally trust the experts you can also check out our public betting page to see who the consensus MLB picks are for every gameday.

Our MLB Expert Pick model provides you winning bets every day on a 5-star scale. With the 5-stars we are showing not only how confident our model is with the pick, but how much value is on that side. Winning bets is great, but if you are risking your entire bankroll to win a fraction it isn't nearly as fun. With our expert picks you will always know that our model feels good about the pick but also that there is some value on that side. Baseball is by far the hardest sport to bet with value because the odds are so stacked against the favorite so now more than ever BetQL can help you build your bankroll.

MLB Picks Against the Spread

Above you will see BetQL's MLB picks against the spread for today's slate of games. To get a feel for how BetQL works we are giving away a few of our MLB picks against the spread each and everyday. For each of our MLB picks against the spread you will be able to see all of the available data we have on that game. You will be able to see which side the pros are betting and which side the public is betting on. We know you can find MLB picks against the spread from a lot of difference sources but what you can't find anywhere other than BetQL is the data behind the pick. BetQL's model not only provides MLB picks against the spread for today but we will explain why our model is picking that team. You can also find great value when you use BetQL's MLB picks against the spread because our star rating model factors in the value of an underdog. No matter the way you bet if you want to back favorites or fade the public BetQL has the data for you to be profitable betting baseball spreads.

MLB Computer Picks

Depending on how well you have been betting lately you may want to switch it up from taking picks from the experts, and you may want to take some action from our MLB computer picks. The guys who make MLB expert picks are great but they are human and not perfect. Sometimes an expert may fall in love with a certain team or be biased about a certain pitcher, and you bets may suffer. With BetQL our model is powered by our computer picks which purely looks at data and have no emotion connected to the game.

The way our model works is that it runs 10,000 simulations of the game the second the odds, lines, and spreads are released. This means that you can get our MLB computer picks instantly and don't have to wait for an expert to sift through the data to find you a winner. Not only will we provide you with our expert pick but you can also get our score predictions as well. With our MLB picks model we provide you a full game score prediction, first five innings score prediction, and a pick for a full game based on a five star scale. No matter how you like to bet on baseball BetQL and our computer picks have you covered, because our model provides you with enough data to bet the game straight up, the moneyline, the over under. Start winning more baseball bets with BetQL and our MLB computer picks today!

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