TOP 4th
NYY -210 O/U 9.5
BOT 4th
Blue Jays
TOR -210 O/U 9
BOT 2nd
CIN -260 O/U 9.5
Today, 12:10 AM
White Sox
CHW -200 O/U 9.5
Today, 12:10 AM
HOU -245 O/U 9
Today, 12:15 AM
ATL -125 O/U 9
NYM -130 O/U 8
Red Sox
BOS -125 O/U 10
TEX -110 O/U 9
COL -150 O/U 11.5
SF -165 O/U 9
PHI -150 O/U 8.5

MLB Picks for Today

MLB Picks for Today:

Nationals (+130) vs Phillies (-150)

The Philadelphia Phillies will be going for a four-game sweep of the Washington Nationals on Thursday. The Phils have gotten to within a game and a half of first place in the NL East and will try to keep it going against the struggling Nats. The Phillies are -150 road favorites in Thursday’s game while Washington’s moneyline is listed at +130.

Aaron Nola is scheduled to get the start for Philly on Thursday. Nola isn’t having his best season, although he’s 7-6 with a 4.30 ERA over 21 starts. He spent part of July on the IL but has come back strong in his three starts since returning, covering 20 innings while yielding seven runs on just 14 hits. The only caveat is that he tends to have his worst starts on the road, pitching to a 5.29 ERA in his 12 starts away from home this year.

But whether the Nats have a lineup that can take advantage of that remains to be seen. To their credit, Washington’s lineup has produced 14 runs over the first three games of the series despite losing each game. Even after losing a few key pieces at the trade deadline, the Nats are getting unexpected production from players like Carter Kieboom and Yadiel Hernandez. The problem is that Juan Soto has gone cold in recent days, taking away Washington’s best hitter.

On the mound, Joe Ross will get a chance to face the Phillies on Thursday. His 5-9 record in 2021 is a little misleading because Ross has pitched to a solid 4.00 ERA over his 18 starts. Unfortunately for Ross, after a brilliant month of June in which he pitched to a 1.95 ERA, he went on the IL for most of July. He conceded four earned runs on seven hits over 4.1 innings in his last start, making the Nationals a little less sure of what to expect from him moving forward.

To make things worse for Ross, he’ll be facing a Philadelphia lineup that must be operating with a ton of confidence right now. While they ended July on a down note, the Phils have already scored 36 runs over the first four days of August. Everything seems to be clicking into place for the Philadelphia lineup with Bryce Harper, J.T. Realmuto, and Jean Segura all heating up at the same time. The supporting cast is also contributing lately, giving the Phillies as much lineup depth as they’ve had all year.

Early indications are that the sharps are going along with the Phillies in this game. While the Nats haven’t been that bad swinging the bats lately, the sharps don’t believe that will continue against Nola, at least enough to keep pace with a red-hot Philadelphia lineup. At the trade deadline, the Nationals more or less told the league that they’re throwing in the towel in 2021. Meanwhile, the Phillies look like they’re finally ready to make their move in the NL East. Both the sharps and the betting public are buying into the Phillies right now with a majority of bettors from both parties putting down money on Philly to complete the sweep of Washington on Thursday.

Pick: Phillies -150

Astros (-255) vs Twins (+205)

There is a lopsided matchup on the MLB schedule for Thursday, as the Houston Astros are beginning a four-game series against the Minnesota Twins. The Astros have had a difficult week and just split a pair of games with the Dodgers. But they hope that inviting the Twins to Minute Maid Park can help to get them going. Naturally, Houston is a heavy favorite on Thursday with a moneyline of -255 compared to Minnesota’s moneyline of +205.

Framber Valdez will get his turn to start for the Astros on Thursday. The lefty was on the IL until late May but has quickly made up for lost time. In 12 starts, he’s already won seven games while pitching to a 3.01 ERA, taking another step forward. For what it’s worth, Valdez registered a modest 4.05 ERA over his six starts in July. However, he’s allowed two runs or less in nine of his 12 starts this year, so he almost always gives the potent Houston lineup a chance to win.

Of course, the Minnesota lineup is no pushover despite losing some pieces via trades in July. Over their last eight games, the Twins have averaged 4.9 runs per game. Jorge Polanco and Luis Arraez are both red-hot at the moment, taking ownership over the Minnesota lineup. Andrelton Simmons has also come on strong lately while the Twins wait for Max Kepler and Miguel Sano to get going again.

The problem for the Twins is they also traded multiple starters at the deadline, which means rookie Griffin Jax will start on Thursday. In his three starts and four relief appearances this year, Jax has produced a 6.41 ERA. But that ERA is a little misleading if you’ve seen his last two starts. Over his last nine innings, Jax has conceded just two runs on three hits, having his way with both the White Sox and Cardinals.

The obvious caveat is that Jax has never faced a lineup like the one the Astros have. The Dodgers managed to slow down Houston’s lineup a little, but this is still the same lineup that averaged 8.4 runs per game during the last five days of July. Over their last five games, the Astros have hit 11 home runs by eight different players. Michael Brantley is scorching-hot at the moment while Aledmys Diaz is filling in nicely for Alex Bregman, hitting three of those 11 home runs. Kyle Tucker is also someone to watch given the way he’s swung the bat in recent days.

Naturally, most people will flock to pick the Astros to win this game. But with such lopsided moneylines, there is little financial upside to picking Houston to win. The question to ask is whether Jax has a chance to keep the Astros under wraps and give the Minnesota lineup a fighting chance to score enough runs against Valdez and the Houston bullpen to pull off an upset.

BetQL's MLB Picks

Betting on baseball is one of the hardest sports to be consistent and profitable, that is why BetQL is here to help. Above you will see BetQL's MLB picks for today totally for free. To get a feel for how BetQL works we are giving away a few of our MLB picks for free every single day. For each of our free games you will be able to see all of the available data we have on that game for each and every bet type. You can find MLB picks from a lot of difference sources but what you can't find anywhere other than BetQL is the data behind the pick. BetQL's model not only provides MLB picks for today but will explain why our model is picking that team. You can also find great value when you use BetQL's MLB picks because our star rating model factors in the value of an underdog. No matter the way you bet if you want to back favorites or fade the public BetQL has the data for you to be profitable betting baseball.

On BetQL you will even find free MLB picks everyday with our unlocked games and game previews. Although we keep a lot of our MLB picks for our subscribers we do want to give away a few free picks per day so you can see how our model really works. Every day we will select a few games and unlock them and provide everyone with our free MLB picks for today that we think have a good chance at hitting. Once the odds, lines, and spreads are released our picks model goes to work simulating the games and reviewing all the data. Once the simulations are complete you can see our free picks and free predictions. Our predictions include a full game score prediction, a first five innings prediction, and an analysis on the moneyline. If our MLB pick model notices a discrepancy in the line compared where our model would have placed the line then we will highlight the value in that pick. Check out our free picks above and once you hit a bet with one of those bet sure to subscribe to get our expert MLB picks every day.

MLB Expert Picks

Finding a winning baseball bet can be difficult and that is why many bettors try and search out MLB expert picks. Knowing who the professionals are betting on can be a huge advantage against the sportsbooks, but if you are taking advice from the people who make MLB expert picks you are betting mostly on one person’s opinion. With BetQL you can view sharp betting percentages which will show you as a whole how all the experts are betting rather than just one. It can also be difficult to find a consensus of expert picks to back and that is why BetQL is helpful. No longer do you need to search around from site to site to find out who the pros are backing, because BetQL takes all of the MLB expert picks and puts it in one easy place. If you don’t totally trust the experts you can also check out our public betting page to see who the consensus MLB picks are for every gameday.

Our MLB Expert Pick model provides you winning bets every day on a 5-star scale. With the 5-stars we are showing not only how confident our model is with the pick, but how much value is on that side. Winning bets is great, but if you are risking your entire bankroll to win a fraction it isn't nearly as fun. With our expert picks you will always know that our model feels good about the pick but also that there is some value on that side. Baseball is by far the hardest sport to bet with value because the odds are so stacked against the favorite so now more than ever BetQL can help you build your bankroll.

MLB Picks Against the Spread

Above you will see BetQL's MLB picks against the spread for today's slate of games. To get a feel for how BetQL works we are giving away a few of our MLB picks against the spread each and everyday. For each of our MLB picks against the spread you will be able to see all of the available data we have on that game. You will be able to see which side the pros are betting and which side the public is betting on. We know you can find MLB picks against the spread from a lot of difference sources but what you can't find anywhere other than BetQL is the data behind the pick. BetQL's model not only provides MLB picks against the spread for today but we will explain why our model is picking that team. You can also find great value when you use BetQL's MLB picks against the spread because our star rating model factors in the value of an underdog. No matter the way you bet if you want to back favorites or fade the public BetQL has the data for you to be profitable betting baseball spreads.

MLB Computer Picks

Depending on how well you have been betting lately you may want to switch it up from taking picks from the experts, and you may want to take some action from our MLB computer picks. The guys who make MLB expert picks are great but they are human and not perfect. Sometimes an expert may fall in love with a certain team or be biased about a certain pitcher, and you bets may suffer. With BetQL our model is powered by our computer picks which purely looks at data and have no emotion connected to the game.

The way our model works is that it runs 10,000 simulations of the game the second the odds, lines, and spreads are released. This means that you can get our MLB computer picks instantly and don't have to wait for an expert to sift through the data to find you a winner. Not only will we provide you with our expert pick but you can also get our score predictions as well. With our MLB picks model we provide you a full game score prediction, first five innings score prediction, and a pick for a full game based on a five star scale. No matter how you like to bet on baseball BetQL and our computer picks have you covered, because our model provides you with enough data to bet the game straight up, the moneyline, the over under. Start winning more baseball bets with BetQL and our MLB computer picks today!

The Best MLB Picks for the 2021 Season

With two months left in the MLB season, we’ve reached the point in the season when every team has played over 100 games. We have more than enough data on all 30 teams to know what every team is all about. What teams are best in what situations and what teams struggle in certain situations. Of course, some of that could change a little after all of the movement during the trade deadline. But we shouldn’t see any drastic changes down the stretch. For example, we have a strong understanding of what teams are just a little bit better than usual against either right-handed or left-handed starters, which can make a big difference for bettors when putting down money on a game.

Right/Lefty Splits

San Francisco Giants

The Giants have been one of the best teams in baseball all season, in part because of their ability to mash against right-handed pitchers, who they face far more often than left-handed starters. Needless to say, left-handed hitters like Brandon Crawford and Brandon Belt having resurgent seasons has been the biggest catalyst in San Francisco’s success against righties. When we say success, we mean a .648 winning percentage against righties compared to a modest .625 winning percentage overall. However, San Francisco’s left-handed heavy outfield with players like Mike Yastrzemski, Alex Dickerson, and Steven Duggar has also been a big factor in the Giants giving righties headaches. Somehow, the addition of Kris Bryant at the trade deadline isn’t likely to make things any easier.

Milwaukee Brewers
After looking a little sluggish over the first month or two of the season, the Brewers have seized complete control of the NL Central. One of the team’s biggest keys has been its success against right-handed starters. Overall, the Brew Crew has a .590 winning percentage but a .614 winning percentage against right-handed starters. This makes sense when you remember that former MVP Christian Yelich is anchoring the lineup. But Avisail Garcia, Kolten Wong, Omar Narvaez, Travis Shaw, and Daniel Vogelbach also give Milwaukee a healthy contingent of left-handed hitters. Meanwhile, Luis Urias and Willy Adames have both been far more productive against righties than lefties, which further explains why the Brewers are one of the three best teams to bet on when facing a right-handed starter.

Seattle Mariners

When it comes to facing lefties, nobody does it better than the Mariners. On the season, Seattle has a .533 winning percentage, but that bumps up to .579 when they face a lefty. To be fair, Seattle’s rotation gives them a chance to win virtually every game they play. However, the Seattle lineup is particularly lethal against southpaws. It starts with Mitch Haniger, who is the team’s only hitter with an OPS over .800 on the season. Naturally, he’s even better against lefties. The likes of Ty France, Kyle Seager, Tom Murphy, and Dylan Moore are also better when facing lefties. Finally, catcher Luis Torrens has come on strong lately and is at his best when facing lefties. He’s hit seven of his 12 homers this year against lefties and has an OPS over .900 against them whereas his overall OPS is just .750. 

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