Karpuc: My Favorite Bet On Thursday’s NBA Slate
This bet is standing out to me for many reasons
Dan Karpuc - Jan 27, 2022, 2:19pm ESTThe Pick: Warriors -5.5 vs. Timberwolves
Under Steve Kerr, the Warriors have gone 114-77 (59.7%) ATS avenging a loss to an opponent that scored 100+ points against them. That’s a mouthful, but Golden State lost to the T-Wolves in Minnesota by the score of 119-99 back on January 16th. That’s one of the reasons why the model is recommending this pick and why I’m also on board with it.
Stephen Curry and company are coming off a dominant 130-92 victory over the Mavericks on Tuesday night and were clicking on all cylinders in that one, despite the fact that Draymond Green was out. In that blowout win, Golden State shot 53.3% from the field, held Dallas to 35.2% and the Warriors outrebounded the Mavs 58-to-38. Additionally, Golden State amassed 31 assists and moved the basketball effectively all night long against what was the NBA’s top defense in January.
Although Green is an essential part of Golden State’s eventual playoff aspirations, last game proved they can still be dangerous without him. What’s scary is that Klay Thompson hasn’t flashed his potential, Green is injured, James Wiseman hasn’t played yet this season and Stephen Curry has been in a shooting slump over the last month or so. With that being said, Golden State is 35-13 overall and are in 2nd place in the Western Conference. Watch Andrew Wiggins in this contest; he’s squaring off against his former team.
Golden State has gone 22-4 SU and 16-8 ATS at home this season while Minnesota has gone 0-5 ATS in their last five road games. For all of those reasons, I absolutely love the Warriors to cover the spread in this spot.
