College Football Best Bets for Today
College Football Best Bets:
Betting on college football can be extremely difficult because there are usually over 100 games in a weekend, games are played at the same time, and the rosters are constantly turning over. BetQL is here to try and help provide you with college football best bets so you can win more bets. Our college football best bet model analyzes dozens of data points for every game to provide you our 5-star ratings. Our star rating can help lead you not only to a college football winner, but a game that also has value.
Our college football best bets are shown on a 5-star scale that not only shows how confident our model is in the game, but also where you can get good betting value with the college football odds. College football can be difficult because the odds, lines, and spreads are always a bit inflated due to the difference in skill level week to week.
Our college football best bets are processed the second that the odds and spreads are released. On other sites you will have to wait until a handicapper finds the time to analyze all of the lines, but with BetQL our best bets are instant. Our model will identify winners every week of the college football season and even provides bowl game picks. Check out BetQL with a full subscription to get our best bets for every game and every bet type. If you aren't ready to subscribe you can still find the most updated college football lines, odds, and spreads every week right here.
BetQL's College Football Lines Analysis:
Memphis vs Cincinnati
Point Spread: Cincinnati (+6.5)
Odds: Cincinnati (-245), Memphis (+195)
The game of the week outside the power conferences features the no. 7 Cincinnati Bearcats hosting the Memphis Tigers. The Tigers beat Cincinnati twice last season, including in the AAC Championship Game, a win that sent Memphis to the Cotton Bowl. However, the Bearcats are potentially on their way to a major bowl game this season after starting the year 4-0. Cincinnati could even have a legit argument about a spot in the College Football Playoff if they can run the table.
This week’s college football lines list Cincinnati as a seven-point favorite at home. That line is primarily because of how the Bearcats have played defense this season. Cincy made a huge statement with last week’s 42-13 win over SMU. Keep in mind that SMU entered that game undefeated and is averaging over 37 points per game on the season. Yet, the Cincinnati defense got a handle on SMU’s potent rushing attack and Shane Buechele, who’s one of the most underrated quarterbacks in the country. The caveat with the Bearcats is their offense. Quarterback Desmond Ridder has been outstanding with his legs this season but is yet to take a step forward as a passer. Given Cincinnati’s strong defense, Ridder doesn’t have to do too much, although you never know when the Bearcats are going to find themselves in a shootout and need him to step up.
That shootout could easily come against Memphis, which is scoring nearly 39 points per game. Much like facing Buechele last week, the Cincinnati defense will face another top-notch quarterback this week in Brady White. The three-year starter has already racked up 17 passing touchdowns in four games. He helped lead the Tigers on an incredible comeback to beat Central Florida 50-49 two weeks ago, which should make Memphis confident that White can create some big plays against the Cincinnati defense and make this a competitive game.
LSU vs Auburn
Point Spread: LSU (-3)
Odds: LSU (-150), Auburn (+130)
Admittedly, there’s a little luster off this week’s all-Tiger battle between LSU and Auburn. Neither team enters the game ranked and neither team has played like a serious contender in the SEC West. That being said, this is still a rivalry game and there will be no lack of motivation, especially since the loser might have a hard time just finishing the season with a winning record. We should also be in for a close game with the college football spreads this week listing LSU as a three-point favorite on the road.
The Bayou Bengals appeared to finally hit their stride last week with a 52-24 win over South Carolina. Of course, offense hasn’t been LSU’s problem this season with the Tigers averaging 42 points per game. The caveat is that the status of quarterback Myles Brennan is a little up in the air after he sat out last week’s win over South Carolina due to an injury. Brennan racked up over 1,100 passing yards and 11 touchdown passes in three games, showing that he can fill Joe Burrow’s shoes. He’s back at practice, although LSU may have to stick with T.J. Finley, who connected on 17 of his 21 passes against South Carolina last week while allowing the LSU running game to finally get going.
At Auburn, there’s no question that Bo Nix is the starting quarterback. The problem is that Nix hasn’t played that well this season. Even in the team’s wins, Nix has been largely unimpressive. In the games Auburn has lost, Nix has been terrible, so the Tigers are counting on him to play better. Freshman running back Tank Bigsby has stepped up and helped to carry the Auburn offense. But if Nix can’t limit his mistakes and prove he can make accurate passes, the Tigers will have a tough time winning, which is why they are underdogs at home this week.
Texas vs Oklahoma State
Point Spread: Oklahoma State (-3.5)
Odds: Texas (+145), Oklahoma State (-170)
The no. 6 Oklahoma State Cowboys scored a big win last week, but they have another challenge this week when the Texas Longhorns come to town. The Cowboys are the only unbeaten team left in the Big 12. However, it might take an unbeaten conference champion to get a Big 12 team into the College Football Playoff, so the pressure is on the Cowboys to keep winning. The college football spreads this week list Oklahoma State as a 3.5-point favorite, although that likely means a close game.
The Cowboys got a big boost last week with the return of quarterback Spencer Sanders from injury. Sanders looked good at times, connecting on 20 of his 29 passes. However, he also threw two interceptions, so he was far from perfect, especially since the OSU offense only scored 24 points. It’s also worth mentioning that Sanders is just a sophomore, so he’s not quite a polished quarterback at this stage, which is why the spread is a modest 3.5 points. Of course, running back Chuba Hubbard gives the Cowboys one of the best backs in the country and a player who’s a threat to take it the distance every time he touches the ball, especially against a porous Texas defense.
To be fair, the Longhorns had some defensive issues early in the season but appeared to turn the corner in a 27-16 win over Baylor last week. Both of Baylor’s touchdowns came late in the game when Texas had a big lead, so it was a huge step forward for Tom Herman’s defense. The Longhorns also have the most experienced quarterback in the Big 12 in Sam Ehlinger. Despite some ups and downs this season, Texas knows what Ehlinger can do when he’s at his best, which is why the spread for this game is just 3.5 points, as Ehlinger is more than capable of elevating the entire Texas team in a big game.
Ohio State vs Penn State
Point Spread: Ohio State (-12)
Odds: Ohio State (-450), Penn State (+350)
It might be the second week of the season, but this week’s game between the no. 3 Ohio State Buckeyes and no. 18 Penn State Nittany Lions could decide who wins the Big Ten East Division. Despite the game being played in Happy Valley, the Buckeyes are 12.5-point road favorites, according to this week’s college football odds. The double-digit spread is likely a reaction to Penn State losing last week’s season opener to Indiana. However, the Nittany Lions can put themselves in the driver’s seat for the Big Ten title if they bounce back quickly and win this week.
If you just looked at the numbers, it’d be shocking to learn that Penn State lost last week. They out-gained Indiana 488 to 211 in total yards and had the ball for more than 40 minutes. However, the Nittany Lions put themselves in a 17-7 hole at the half and finished the game with three turnovers that helped the Hoosiers stay in the game and force overtime. If Penn State is going to stay within striking distance against the Buckeyes, the pressure is on the shoulders of quarterback Sean Clifford, who threw two picks last week. The Nittany Lions have lost running backs Journey Brown and Noah Cain for the rest of the season, placing the burden on Clifford to step up.
As for Ohio State, they look like a team that should be favored by double digits against virtually any team in the country. The Buckeyes scored 52 points against Nebraska in their season opener with Justin Fields making a strong opening statement in his quest for the Heisman Trophy. The Ohio State defense also did a nice job of holding Nebraska to a solitary field goal after halftime in the 52-17 win. By all indications, the Buckeyes are ready for a trip to Penn State, which is why oddsmakers aren’t hesitating to make them a double-digit favorite.
North Carolina vs Virginia
Point Spread: North Carolina (-6.5)
Odds: North Carolina (-245), Virginia (+195)
Despite losing a couple of weeks ago, the season is far from over for the no. 15 North Carolina Tar Heels. Next up for Mack Brown’s team is a game against the Virginia Cavaliers in the oldest rivalry in the ACC and in the South. This week’s college football lines list the Tar Heels as 6.5-point favorites on the road against a struggling Virginia team.
On the heels of a disappointing loss to Florida State, UNC had no trouble bouncing back last week against NC State. The Tar Heels put away their in-state rivals with a balanced attack on offense that included Sam Howell throwing for over 250 yards and two North Carolina running backs rushing for over 100 yards. Meanwhile, the UNC defense forced four turnovers against the Wolfpack. With the win, the Tar Heels still have a chance to play their way into the ACC Championship Game if they can win the rest of their games.
However, for a team coming off a 27-point win over a ranked team, the 6.5-point spread against Virginia is surprisingly small. It’s also a little surprising since the Cavaliers have lost four in a row to fall to 1-4 at the midway point of the ACC schedule. However, Virginia hung in there against a ranked Miami team last week, only losing 19-14 on the road. The Cavs gave up a lot of yards against the Hurricanes, but they didn’t make it easy for Miami to get in the end zone. Also, Virginia was able to welcome back starting quarterback Brennan Armstrong last week after he sat out the team’s loss to Wake Forest. Armstrong has quietly become one of the better dual-threat quarterbacks in the ACC this season. Against an inconsistent North Carolina defense, he might be able to keep the Cavs in the game and give them a chance to knock off the Tar Heels.
College Football Betting Lines Explained
Betting on college football is one of the most exciting ways to bet on sports, but if you aren’t sure how college football odds, spreads, and betting lines work you can feel a bit lost. BetQL is here to not only help you understand how everything works, but to help you make the best college football bets! There are two main ways to bet on college football you can bet the moneyline or bet college football against the spread. Below you can read a more in depth explanation on each bet type.
College Football Betting Odds Explained
For every college football game there are odds that show how likely a team is to win the game which corresponds to how much you can win by betting that side. The larger the odds the bigger the underdog, thus the more you can win betting that team. Negative numbers mean a team is favored and the smaller the number the bigger favorite they are which means there is less value on betting that team. The way that college football odds work is the number next to the team is how much you can win if you were to place a $100 bet on that team. This is easy to understand for underdogs but if you are betting a favorite who is listed at (-110) that means you would need to bet $110 to win $100. College football odds matter the most when you are betting games straight up, or as it is also known against the moneyline. For games where you are betting the spread the odds will always be (-110) on each side, because the college football spread is making the game even in a sense. When you are betting straight up you need to make sure the college football odds make sense for you to bet. If a team is the heavy favorite then the odds will be stacked against them and you may be betting $500 to only win $50. BetQL can always help you find value with the odds because it is an important part of our college football best bet model. Our model takes the odds into account and will not recommend you risk most of your bankroll to only win a fraction. If you want to read a more real world example of how college football odds work take a look at our example below:
College Football Odds Example:
Once again Alabama is playing Clemson in the National Championship game and the sportsbooks have set the college football odds at Bama (-110), Clemson (+100). Alabama had a great regular season and cruised through the playoffs so their odds put them as the favorite, while Clemson had a good year but the books feel they are the underdog. Since Clemson has had Bama’s number the past few years you place a $200 bet on Clemson to win the game. If Clemson wins the game you would profit $200 and get your original $200 back that you put down for the bet. If you were to bet $200 on Alabama and they were to win the game you would get $180 in profit plus the $200 you put down to place the bet.
College Football Spreads Explained
If you want to bet college football games against the spread you will need to have a good understanding of how college football spreads work. The spread also known as the point spread is the number of points a team can either win or lose by and you will still win your bet.
Sportsbooks understand that one team is more likely to win so they provide a point spread to make the game more fair, and attempt to get bets on each side of the game. When Alabama plays a game against a non-power five school everyone knows they will win the game but the real question is by how much. The spread is also listed next to the college football odds so they go hand in hand, and together they are the college football line. Similar to how odds work there will be a positive number listed next to one team they are the underdog, and a negative number next to the favorite. If you see a -6.5 spread next to a team it means they must win the game by a full 7 points to cover the college football spread. If a team has a +6.5 next to their name it means they can not lose by more than 6.5 points or you will not win your bet.
Simply put a college football spread is imaginary points that are given to one team or subtracted from the other team depending on which side you bet. The easiest way to figure out if your team covered the spread is to wait until the end of the game and if you bet the favorite you subtract the spread from the final score, and if the favorite still would win the game without those points then your bet covered the spread and you have won. If you bet the underdog wait until the end of the game, take their final score, and add the points from the spread. If the underdog now wins the game with the spread added to their final score then your bet has covered the spread and you have won.
The way that college football spreads work is that the numbers will always be inverse one another, so if the favorite is -10, then the underdog is +10. There is no way that one team will have more points on the spread than the other, so it is always easy to figure out if the underdog covered or if the favorite scored enough points to survive and win the bet.
With BetQL you can always be sure you are looking at the most updated college football spreads, because we work with the sportsbooks so when they are released on their end they are shown right here. If a spread moves at all during the day or before kickoff you can rest assured it is updated on this page.
College Football Spreads Example:
The Ohio State Buckeyes are playing the Indiana Hoosiers in a regular season matchup. Similar to every other year, everyone knows that Ohio State will win this game, so the sportsbooks set the spread at +/-16 points. The reason the sportsbooks have a point spread is to attempt to make it fair on both sides, so bettors will be inclined to bet both teams. For this specific example let's say the final score is Ohio State 40 - Indiana 10. If you bet on Ohio State against the spread (-16) you would take the real final score and subtract 16 from Ohio State's score. Now the final score would be Ohio State 26 - Indiana 10, which means Ohio State has covered the spread and a bet on the favorite would win. If you bet on Indiana against the spread (+16) you take the real final score and add 16 points to Indiana's score. Now the final score for Indiana bettors is Ohio State 40 - Indiana 26, since Indiana still loses this game that means the Hoosiers did not cover the spread, and Indiana bets did not win.
College Football Lines Explained
When someone asks "what is the line on that game?" they usually are asking what is the spread, but they can also be referring to the odds. Depending on how they most often bet will really clue you in on if they are referring to a college football line as the spread or the odds. It is easiest to say that the college football lines are the combination of both the spread and the odds, so if you are asked for a line you can just tell them what the point spread is and the moneyline odds. With BetQL you will always find the most updated college football lines because when the sportsbooks release their spreads & odds we immediately have them on the site. If the lines move at all during the day or right before kickoff you can rest assured that the college football lines are updated right here as well. If you want to see the line movement, where the line opened to where it sits at that current moment take a look at our college football line movement page. This page can help you understand if there is value in your pick, or maybe it isn't advantageous to bet that line because it has moved too much, too quickly.
What's the best bet in the #3 Ohio State-#18 Penn State Week 9 game?