NBA Staff Picks For Monday, Feb. 7
Find out which bets we’re targeting for today's NBA slate
Brad Pinkerton - Feb 7, 2022, 1:01pm ESTOdds in this article are subject to change. Check the latest NBA betting lines here: Latest NBA Odds | Latest Over/Under | Expert NBA picks
Dan Karpuc: Suns-Bulls Over 228
If the last five Bulls games are any indication, this is going to be a back-and-forth shootout. The total has gone over in five consecutive Chicago contests and the average total was a whopping 240.8 in that span. Three of the last four Suns games have also gone over the total (238.5 average total). Both of these offenses have been clicking lately; over the last five, the Bulls rank fifth in Offensive Rating and put up 121.2 points per game, while the Suns rank eighth in Offensive Rating and posted 116.0 points per contest. The Bulls have been abysmal defensively over the last handful of games as well, ranking third-worst in Defensive Rating while allowing 121.2 points per game to their opponents while letting them shoot 42.4% from 3, highest percentage in the league. The star power will be fun to watch in this one, as DeMar DeRozan, Nikola Vucevic and (maybe) Zach LaVine take on Chris Paul, Devin Booker, DeAndre Ayton and Co. I love the over here.
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Dan's Bonus Pick: Booker Over 2.5 Made 3s
As we’ve seen many times, Booker has the upside to go off any time he steps on the court and this season, he’s been extra aggressive from beyond the arc. His 7.5 three-point attempts per 36 minutes is the highest volume mark of his career and since the Bulls have allowed an NBA-worst 42.4% 3-point rate over their last five games, the data suggests that he could be in store for a huge night in this spot. I’m not a huge 3-point prop bettor, but I’ll make an exception for a situation like this. These picks could be a nice same-game parlay to explore, too.
Lucy Burdge: Bulls +8 vs. Suns
The Bulls are 28-20 ATS this season, 15-8 ATS at home and 2-2 ATS as the home underdog. And they’ve covered the spread in three of their last four games, two of which were at home. The Suns also failed to cover the spread as the favorite in their last game on the road, so I love the Bulls to cover this spread as the home underdog here.
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Lucy's Bonus Pick: Heat-Wizards Over 207.5
The Wizards are averaging 106.9 points per game and the Heat are averaging 108.7 per game, so the over looks promising here. And the Heat are 32-20 on the O/U this season, while the Wizards are 13-11 O/U at home. Plus, the Heat are 19-15 O/U as the favorite, so I see this total soaring over 209 tonight.
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Matt Horner: Suns -8 at Bulls
My Bulls are in a bad spot right now, and tonight they have to take on the 42-10 Phoenix Suns. Chicago will most likely be without Zach LaVine (back) again, and also Coby White because either he's still injured or about to be traded. Either way, it leaves the Bulls even more short-handed than they already were without Lonzo Ball, Alex Caruso, Patrick Williams and Derrick Jones Jr. Not to mention this is Chicago’s fourth game in five days, so the players they do have are sure to be gassed. Phoenix should roll here, despite DeMar DeRozan's best effort. Keep an eye on the statuses of LaVine and White, as it could give you a better number later.
Nick Ashooh: Chris Paul over 16.5 R+A (+100) at Bulls
CP3 has gone over this total in three of his last five games, and is averaging 12.5 assists per game alone over his last 10. Hopefully you can shop around and find it at the best plus money value possible, which makes it even better. That high assist average for Paul gives you a little cushion if his rebounding numbers aren’t as high, but he racks up a ton of assists to cover you, which makes these player combos so attractive at plus-money. For example, Paul had 19 assists against the Spurs just a few days ago.
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