Burdge: What I'm Betting On This Weekend

Here are three of the bets that I love tonight for the NBA and this weekend in the NFL. BetQL subscribers can see all of our best bets with star ratings for every game. Take advantage of BetQL's 3-day free trial and see all of today's best bets, plus what the model is projecting for this week's football games! Start your free trial today!

Celtics -4.5 vs. Nuggets (-110, DraftKings)
The Celtics and Nuggets are both 8-3, but the Celtics have covered the spread in two of their last three games, while the Nuggets have failed to cover in their last two games. Over the last two years, the Celtics are 14-4 ATS versus teams outrebounding opponents by 3.0 or more per game, and 22-11 ATS when the total is at least 220. With all that in mind, I see the Celtics covering tonight against the Nuggets.

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Buccaneers -3 vs. Seahawks (-115, FanDuel)
The Buccaneers got a much-needed win over the Rams in Week 9 and I think they’ll cover this spread against the Seahawks in Germany to gain some midseason momentum. A trend in their favor is that, over the last three years, the team is 11-3 ATS in the second half of the season against teams completing at least 64 percent of their passes. Another trend is that Tom Brady is 1-0 as a divorcee, and I see him going to 2-0 in this new era of his life and covering this spread against the Seahawks.

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Vikings ML vs. Bills (+165, Caesars)
Bills QB Josh Allen’s status is uncertain heading into this game and I wouldn’t overlook the Vikings (7-1) to get the win over the Bills (6-2). The Bills just lost to the Jets, so the confidence level might be pretty low and now they're facing a Vikings team that has won their last six games. The Vikings are also 8-6 in their 14 meetings with the Bills, so I like the Vikings to get the win as underdogs here. 

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