Travis Kelce Drops Major Hint About 2024 Usage

When Will the Wheels Fall Off?

Travis Kelce recently reminded the media that despite entering his 11th NFL season, he doesn't plan on slowing down anytime soon. The Super Bowl Champ told reporters per NFL.com, "I'm gonna do it until the wheels fall off and hopefully that doesn't happen anytime soon. But I can definitely understand that it's (closer) toward the end of the road than it is the beginning of it."

Kelce understands that these next few seasons could be some of his last, especially with him turning 35 years old in October. He's still one of the best tight ends in the league, but is that enough to bet the over on his season-long player props? Let's take a look!

Comparing Kelce's Season-Long Props

Kelce may have won his third Super Bowl, and second straight, this past season, but his stats were down across the board in comparison to the 2022 season.

Heading into the 2023-24 campaign, Kelce's season-long props on DraftKings were as follows:

Over/Under 1124.5 regular season receiving yards: Both -110

Over/Under 9.5 regular season receiving TDs: Both -110

Kelce to have 15 receiving TDs in the Regular Season: +275

Kelce finished with 984 regular season receiving yards and only five receiving touchdowns, hitting the under on all three props. His numbers for this upcoming season have been posted at DraftKings and they look significantly different:

Over/Under 900.5 regular season receiving yards: over (+110), under (-135)

Over/Under 6.5 regular season receiving TDs: over (-115), under (-105)

Kelce to Score 10+ receiving TDs in the Regular Season: +350

Kelce has gone over his TD prop in five of his last seven seasons, however, those were his prime years. The Chiefs also have a much stronger receiving corps than last season, signing Marquise Brown and drafting Xavier Worthy in the first round. Rashee Rice is likely to miss some time with a suspension but will be productive upon return. While Kelce has been Patrick Mahomes' go-to receiver and security blanket, the number of targets the QB will have at his disposal will take some of the workload off Kelce.

History Tells a Story

The Pro Bowl tight end was extremely productive in last year's postseason. In four games, he finished with 355 yards and three touchdowns. If the Chiefs want to see similar numbers from their aging star, as they look to three-peat, it would be wise of Andy Reid to rely heavily on his younger receivers during the regular season. If that's the case, you can expect fewer yards and touchdowns from Kelce.

Kelce is also a player who has remained extremely healthy throughout his career. However, injuries held him out of two games last season, which is another sign of him beginning to slow down.

Lastly, looking at the final few years of former tight ends Rob Gronkowski's and Jason Witten's careers, their numbers saw a significant decline as well.

Gronk averaged just 712.5 yards and 6.5 touchdowns over his final two years, even with Tom Brady throwing him the ball. Witten didn't top more than 673 yards and five TDs in any of his final five seasons. This is yet another sign that Kelce is likely headed in a similar direction.

While Kelce certainly believes he's still capable of being his dominant self, I won't be betting the over on any of his season-long props at their current numbers.