Top 3 Reasons To Bet Jags OLB Josh Allen For DPOY

At 25-1, Allen sits in the top 10 on the DPOY odds board

Allen Eyes DPOY Award After Breakout Season

The past year was a good one for Jaguars outside linebacker Josh Allen. He set a franchise record with 17.5 sacks, earning his second Pro Bowl selection. Additionally, he achieved career highs in his fifth NFL season, with 17 tackles for loss and 33 quarterback hits. A few months later, he secured his future in Jacksonville by signing a massive five-year, $150 million contract extension.

Allen has no plans of slowing down in 2024, telling reporters at the Jags minicamp that his goal is to win Defensive Player of the Year this season. DraftKings currently has him priced at 25-1 behind the likes of T.J. Watt (+550), Micah Parsons (+550), and last year's winner Myles Garrett (+750), to name a few.

With the potential at hand, I've outlined the top three reasons Allen could be considered a strong candidate to bring home the award.

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Top 3 Reasons Allen Could Win DPOY

3. Year-Over-Year Improvements: Allen played in all 17 games during both the 2022 and 2023 seasons, showing significant year-over-year improvement. His total tackles increased from 57 to 66, solo tackles from 35 to 43, and sacks surged from 7.0 to 17.5. Nine of the last 10 DPOY winners have recorded at least 11 sacks, so as long as Allen produces similar numbers this season, he should put himself in a great position to win.

2. Recent Winners Trend: Pass-rushers have taken home DPOY quite a few times over the last decade. In fact, 12 of the last 13 winners have all been pass-rushers, including four straight. Myles Garrett won last year, following Nick Bosa, T.J. Watt and Aaron Donald. With that trend, it's no surprise that this year's odds board is stacked with players in that position. Sauce Gardner is the first non-pass rusher at +6000 on DraftKings!

1. Value: Public bettors looking to jump into the DPOY market this early in the year are likely targeting names at the top of the board. They see popular, high-profile players like Micah Parsons, Aidan Hutchinson, and Nick Bosa and want to jump in on the action. While those players have shorter odds for a reason, there isn't value in taking them two months before the season starts. Allen is coming off his first real breakout season, so we're still getting a solid price as I think he's a bit undervalued in the market. Assuming he picks up right where he left off last season, his odds will likely shrink as the year goes on.

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