NFL Player Prop Picks

NFL Player Props

Get ready to elevate your game with our staff's expert NFL player prop picks! If you are looking for NFL player props BetQL is your one stop shop. We have NFL player props for every week of the season from our team of experts. Find out who their favorite passing, receiving, rushing and anytime touchdown picks are for this upcoming week of NFL action. These NFL player prop picks are like your secret betting weapon, giving you the edge whether you're a seasoned bettor or just starting out.

All you have to do is sign up for a free account to see our expert's picks for this week, or you can subscribe to BetQL to get NFL prop picks from our computer model.

Here are some of our favorite NFL passing prop picks for this week:

Kirk Cousins Over 276.5 yards (-115, BetMGM)
Pick From: Kate Constable

The Vikings have one of the best passing attacks in the league, led by Kirk Cousins. He leads the NFL in attempts (196), total yards (1075) and passing touchdowns (9). He also ranks in the top 8 in completion percentage (69.8%) and yards per attempt (7.8). The Panthers defense is actually decent against the pass, only giving up 577 yards this season, but it's allowing 7.1 yards per attempt. I also think that number is a bit skewed by Atlanta who is a run-first team and therefore only finished with 91 yards through the air. The Panthers' secondary is also dealing with injuries and will be extremely thin this weekend. Cousins has sailed over this number in each game this season, averaging 358.3 yards per game. The Vikings are searching for their first win and in order to do that, Cousins is going to have to continue to put up big numbers.

Russell Wilson Over 231.5 Yards (-115, DraftKings)
Pick From: Brian Hunt

This is my favorite NFL player prop of the week. The Bears haven't put up a fight yet this season, and although the Broncos got completely embarrassed last week there is still a real football team in there deep down.

Wilson has passed for over 300 yards in his last two games. I understand that a lot of those yards were thanks to garbage time, but anytime the Bears are on defense it is basically garbage time.

All three of the Bear's opposing QBs have gone over this line, even Blaine Gabbert was able to compile 31 passing yards on three passes. I know the Broncos aren't a great team, but they should be able to find success through the air in this game

Here are some of our favorite NFL receiving prop picks for this week:

Courtland Sutton Over 54.5 Yards (-115, DraftKings)

Pick From: Brian Hunt

Courtland Sutton has been Russell Wilson's favorite target by far this season. With 17 receptions on the year he has 8 more than the next receiver on the Broncos. Now Sutton may have some padded stats in garbage time this season, but the Broncos are facing the worst secondary in the NFL this week.

The Bears are been abysmal when it comes to limiting receivers this year and big name wide outs have had career days when they play against Chicago. Mike Evans was able to haul in 171 yards including a 70 yard reception, and the Chiefs had 10 different receivers record a reception last week.

The Broncos may not be a good team, but they are nowhere near as bad as the Bears. Russell Wilson's 23 total targets to Sutton on the year points to him getting the ball early and often this weekend in Chicago

Amari Cooper Over 4.5 Receptions (-120, BetMGM)
Pick From: Dan Karpuc

Baltimore has allowed an NFL-high 29.67 targets and 19.67 receptions per game to opposing wide receivers and Cooper is clearly the go-to playmaker in Cleveland's offense now that Nick Chubb is injured. Cooper has seen seven, 10 and eight targets in the three games so far and crushed it in Weeks 2 and 3, racking up seven catches in both with 90 and 116 receiving yards. He's in a great spot against a defense that funnels targets to opposing wideouts this week and I expect another big performance from him.

Justin Fields Over 58.5 yards (-110, DraftKings)
Pick From: Kate Constable

All Justin Fields has talked about over the last two weeks is wanting to get back to playing his brand of football, which means scrambling and taking off down field. He'll have plenty of opportunities to do this against the Broncos defense that ranks dead last overall and in rush defense. Fields has only gone over this number once this season, but topped 58.5 rushing yards in nine of his final 10 games a year ago. Plus, with the Bears passing game clearly not working, I think we see Fields approach this game with a nothing-to-lose attitude.

Bucs RB Rachaad White Under 52.5 Rushing Yards (-115, BetMGM)

Pick From: Brian Hunt

The Bucs offensive line has been a mess this season, which makes White's job all that much harder to hit the over on this NFL prop pick. So far this season Rachaad White is averaging 15 carries per game, with an average of 3.1 yards per carry. These numbers are a bit skewed though because in Week 2, White had 73 rushing yards against the lowly Chicago Bears.

This Sunday the Bucs will be facing a New Orleans Saints team that has been proficient at limiting runners. Only one running back has gone over this 52.5 number this season and that was Derek Henry with 63 yards in Week 2.

Tampa Bay also ranks 27th in the league with an average of 15.7 first downs per game. If the Bucs have trouble putting White in positive running situations there is no way he comes close to this number.

Khalil Herbert Over 40.5 Yards (-114, FanDuel)
Pick From: Dan Karpuc

The Broncos just allowed 70 points to the Dolphins and have gotten repeatedly gashed on the ground game after game. In fact, Denver ranks dead last in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game (165.67) and rushing touchdowns per game (2.33) to the running back position. While Herbert has racked up 27, 35 and then 31 rushing yards in Chicago's first three games, he has out-snapped teammate Roschon Johnson 32-to-22 and then 28-to-23 over the last two weeks and I think this is a spot where the Bears need to establish the run to open up the play-action aspect of their offense to make life easier for Justin Fields. I expect a productive outing for both Herbert and Johnson, but like Herbert's upside slightly more.

D'Andre Swift Over 62.5 Yards (-114, FanDuel)

Pick From: Brian Hunt

With Kenneth Gainwell returning from injury against the Bucs last week, the Eagles showed their hand that D'Andre Swift is now the leading rusher for the season. Swift took a majority of the carries and collected 130 rushing yards against a very stout Tampa Bay rush defense. Swift's elusive ability makes him a good bet to go over 63.5 rushing yards, as he is liable to crack off a big run at any moment.

Washington has done a sub-par job at stopping the run this year, allowing 62 rushing yards to James Connor and 98 yards to James Cook.

I believe the Eagles commitment to the run and their stout offensive line will help Swift easily get the 64 yards we need to cash this NFL player prop.

Brian Robinson Jr. Under 53.5 Yards (-115, DraftKings)
Pick From: Dan Karpuc

Like Conner, Robinson has a brutal matchup and his offense will likely be leaning more than usual on the pass. Also like Conner, Robinson has gotten over this number three straight times, but now faces a buzzsaw Eagles run defense that has allowed just 42.67 rushing yards per contest. Keep in mind that Robinson was out-snapped by fellow RB Antonio Gibson 33-to-20 last week and if I was going to target a Commanders back this week, it'd be Gibson for his receiving upside.

James Conner Under 53.5 Yards (-120, BetMGM)
Pick From: Dan Karpuc

The 49ers have allowed an NFL-low 37.0 rushing yards per game to opposing running backs this season and this is going to be a pass-happy game script for the Cardinals offense, who will be playing from behind. Conner played 64% of snaps and will get the lion's share of touches in this Arizona backfield, but I don't trust that this offense will be able to open up enough holes for him to get over this number, even though he's accomplished the feat in three consecutive games to start the year. If you're going to back Conner, I would look in the receiving markets.

Jalen Hurts Anytime Touchdown (-120, DraftKings)

Pick From: Brian Hunt

This pick feels a little bit like it's cheating but with the odds sitting at (-120) it would almost be foolish not to bet. As we all know if the Eagles have the ball within 3 yards of the goal line we are getting the "Tush-Push". The infamous play that can not be stopped.

Hurts has 3 rushing touchdowns in the past two games against the Bucs and Vikings. Last season against Washington he had 1 rushing touchdown in their two games.

There may be better value out there for an anytime touchdown scorer, but non of those picks are automatic locks if the ball is close to the goal line. I also feel like the Eagles enjoy running this play the more hate it gets, and this week the "Tush-Push" has been a hot topic of conversation. I would not be surprised at all if the Eagles attempt to ensure Hurts gets a rushing touchdown in this game

What are NFL Player Props?

NFL player props are bets on the performance of individual players in a single game or over the course of a season. They can be on a variety of statistics, such as passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, touchdowns, interceptions, and tackles.

NFL player props are a popular way to add excitement to your NFL betting experience. They can also be a good way to make money if you can identify players who are poised to have big games.

However, it is important to remember that NFL player props are more volatile than other types of bets, such as moneyline and point spread bets. This is because they are based on the performance of individual players, which can be difficult to predict.

Types of NFL Prop Picks

There are many different types of NFL prop picks, but they can generally be divided into three categories: player props, team props, and game props.

Player props are bets on the performance of individual players in a single game or over the course of a season. They can be on a variety of statistics, such as passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, touchdowns, interceptions, and tackles.

Team props are bets on the performance of an entire team in a single game or over the course of a season. They can be on a variety of statistics, such as total points scored, total yards gained, and turnovers committed.

Game props are bets on events that happen during the course of a game, such as the first team to score, the longest field goal made, and whether or not there will be overtime.

Here are some examples of each type of NFL prop pick:

Player props:

• Patrick Mahomes over 255 passing yards
• Saquon Barkley over 80 rushing yards
• Tyreek Hill over 100 receiving yards
• Travis Kelce over 1 touchdown
• Aaron Rodgers under 1 interception
• Devin White over 10 tackles

Team props:

• Buccaneers over 25.5 points scored
• Bills under 350 total yards gained
• Chiefs with more turnovers than the Broncos
• Bengals win by at least 7 points
• Packers and Vikings game goes overtime

Game props:

• Buccaneers to score the first touchdown
• Longest field goal made is over 50 yards
• There will be overtime

NFL prop picks can be a fun and exciting way to bet on the NFL. They can also be a good way to make money if you can identify players and teams that are poised to have big games.

What are NFL Passing Props?

NFL passing props are bets on the performance of a quarterback in a single game or over the course of a season. They can be on a variety of statistics, such as passing yards, passing touchdowns, and interceptions.

Some examples of NFL passing props include:

• Patrick Mahomes over 255 passing yards
• Josh Allen over 1.5 passing touchdowns
• Aaron Rodgers under 1 interception

What are NFL Rushing Props?

NFL rushing props are bets on the performance of a running back in a single game or over the course of a season. They can be on a variety of statistics, such as rushing yards, rushing touchdowns, and longest rush.

Some examples of NFL rushing props include:

• Saquon Barkley over 80 rushing yards
• Dalvin Cook over 1 rushing touchdown
• Nick Chubb with a longest rush of over 30 yards

What are NFL Receiving Props?

NFL receiving props are bets on the performance of a wide receiver or tight end in a single game or over the course of a season. They can be on a variety of statistics, such as receiving yards, receiving touchdowns, and longest reception.

Some examples of NFL receiving props include:

• Tyreek Hill over 100 receiving yards
• Travis Kelce over 1 receiving touchdown
• Justin Jefferson with a longest reception of over 50 yards

What is an Anytime Touchdown Prop Pick?

An anytime touchdown prop pick is a bet on a specific player to score a touchdown during any point of the game. These props are primarily focused on offensive players.

For example, you could bet on Justin Jefferson to score an anytime touchdown in the Vikings vs. Packers game. If Jefferson catches a pass in the end zone or runs the ball into the end zone, your bet wins. If Jefferson does not score a touchdown, your bet loses.

Anytime touchdown props are a popular way to bet on the NFL because they offer the potential to win big at relatively low odds. For example, you might be able to bet on Jefferson to score an anytime touchdown at +150 odds. This means that if you bet $100 and Jefferson scores a touchdown, you would win $150.

How do Anytime Touchdowns Work for Quarterbacks?

An anytime touchdown for a quarterback means that the quarterback must cross the goal line with the ball in their hands, either as a runner or a pass-catcher. It does not include passing touchdowns, where the receiver is credited with the score.

Quarterbacks who are known for their rushing ability, such as Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, and Jalen Hurts, are more likely to score anytime touchdowns than quarterbacks who are primarily passers. However, even pocket passers like Kirk Cousins and Dak Prescott have been known to score rushing touchdowns from time to time.

Anytime touchdown props for quarterbacks are typically offered at plus-money odds, meaning that you would win more money than you bet if your pick hits. However, it is important to note that these bets are also relatively risky, as quarterbacks are not as likely to score touchdowns as other offensive players, such as running backs and wide receivers.

Tips for Betting NFL Player Props

• Do your research. This is essential for any type of betting, but it is especially important for player props, as they are based on the individual performance of players. Look at historical data, recent trends, and the matchup to get a better understanding of what to expect from each player.
• Consider the game script. If a team is trailing early, they may be forced to throw the ball more often, which could benefit pass-catchers and quarterbacks. If a team is leading big, they may run the ball more often, which could benefit running backs.
• Be aware of injuries. If a key player is injured, it could impact the performance of other players on the team. For example, if a starting wide receiver is injured, it could mean more targets for the other receivers and tight ends.
• Shop around for the best odds. Different sportsbooks will offer different odds on the same prop bets. It is important to compare the odds at different sportsbooks before placing a bet to get the best possible value.
• Focus on a few players. Don't try to bet on every player prop that is available. Instead, focus on a few players that you have a good understanding of and that you believe have a good chance of meeting or exceeding their prop number.
• Don't be afraid to fade the public. If a lot of people are betting on a particular player prop, it could be a sign that the odds are not favorable. Consider betting on the opposite side of the public to get better value.
• Bankroll management is key. Don't bet more than you can afford to lose. Set a budget for yourself and stick to it.

Tips for Betting NFL Passing Props:

• Look for quarterbacks who are playing in high-scoring games. Quarterbacks are more likely to hit their passing props in games where a lot of points are scored.
• Consider the quarterback's offensive weapons. Quarterbacks with good receivers and tight ends are more likely to hit their passing props.
• Be aware of injuries and suspensions. If a quarterback's top receiver is out with an injury, it is less likely that the quarterback will hit their passing prop.
• Don't bet on every game. Be selective with your bets and only bet on games where you have a good understanding of the matchup and the players involved.

Tips for Betting NFL Receiving Props:

• Look for receivers who are playing in high-scoring games. Receivers are more likely to hit their receiving props in games where a lot of points are scored.
• Consider the receiver's role in the offense. Receivers who are heavily involved in their team's passing game are more likely to hit their receiving props.
• Be aware of injuries and suspensions. If a receiver's quarterback is out with an injury, it is less likely that the receiver will hit their receiving prop.
• Don't bet on every game. Be selective with your bets and only bet on games where you have a good understanding of the matchup and the players involved.

Tips for Betting NFL Rushing Props:

• Look for running backs who are playing against weak run defenses. Running backs are more likely to hit their rushing props against teams with poor run defenses.
• Consider the running back's matchup against their opposing linebacker. If a running back is matched up against a good linebacker, it is less likely that they will hit their rushing prop.
• Consider the running back's role in the offense. Running backs who are heavily involved in their team's rushing game are more likely to hit their rushing props.
• Look for running backs who are due for a breakout game. If a running back has been underperforming in recent weeks, but they have a good matchup, they may be due for a breakout game.
• Be aware of the game script. If a team is winning big, they may run the ball more often in the second half, which could limit the running back's opportunities.

Tips for Betting Anytime Touchdown Props:

• Do your research. This is the most important tip for any type of sports betting, but it is especially important for anytime touchdown props, as there are a lot of factors that can affect a player's chances of scoring a touchdown. Look at the player's recent stats, as well as the stats of their team's offense and defense. Consider the matchup and the weather conditions.
• Understand the line. Make sure you understand what the line means and how it is set. For example, if the line for a player's anytime touchdown prop is -120, it means that you would have to bet $120 to win $100. If the line is +120, it means that you would win $120 for every $100 you bet.
• Shop around for the best odds. Different sportsbooks will offer different odds on the same anytime touchdown prop. It is important to shop around and compare the odds before placing your bet.
• Look for players who are heavily involved in their team's offense. Running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends who are heavily involved in their team's offense are more likely to score touchdowns.
• Consider the matchup. Players are more likely to score touchdowns against weaker defenses.
• Look for players who have a history of scoring touchdowns. Some players are simply more natural scorers than others.

What Should You Look for in a Sportsbook when Betting NFL Props?

1. Reputation and Trustworthiness: Look for sportsbooks with a solid reputation for fairness, transparency, and timely payouts. You can research reviews and check for licenses and certifications.
2. Variety of Props: Find sportsbooks that offer a wide range of NFL prop bets, including player props, team props, and game props. The more options, the better.
3. Competitive Odds: Compare the odds offered by different sportsbooks. Even a small difference in odds can have a significant impact on your potential winnings.
4. User-Friendly Interface: A user-friendly website or mobile app can enhance your betting experience. Look for platforms that are easy to navigate and place bets on.
5. Bonuses and Promotions: Some sportsbooks offer attractive bonuses and promotions for NFL betting. These can include deposit bonuses, free bets, or cashback offers. Be sure to read the terms and conditions.

Who has the best NFL Prop Picks?

Obviously it is BetQL! BetQL offers the best NFL prop picks because we have a team of experts who are dedicated to providing our users with the most accurate and informed picks possible. Our experts have years of experience in the NFL and they use a variety of factors to make their picks, including historical data, recent trends, and the matchup.

In addition to our team of experts, we also offer NFL prop picks from our computer model, which analyzes a massive dataset of historical data and simulations to predict the outcome of every game and player performance. Our computer model is one of the most advanced in the industry and it has a proven track record of success.

When you combine our team of experts with our computer model, you get the most comprehensive and accurate NFL prop picks available. That's why BetQL is the best place to go for all of your NFL prop betting needs.