Super Bowl Player Prop Picks

NFL Player Props for Super Bowl 58

Get ready to elevate your game with our staff's expert NFL player prop picks! If you are looking for NFL player props for Super Bowl 58, BetQL is your one-stop shop.

We have NFL player props for every week of the season from our team of experts. Find out who their favorite passing, receiving, rushing and anytime touchdown picks are for this upcoming week of NFL action. These NFL player prop picks are like your secret betting weapon, giving you the edge whether you're a seasoned bettor or just starting out.

All you have to do is sign up for a free account to see our expert's picks for this week, or you can subscribe to BetQL to get NFL prop picks from our computer model.

NFL Player Props: Passing

Here are some of our favorite NFL passing prop picks for this week.

Dan Karpuc: Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes To Win Super Bowl MVP (+140, FanDuel)

Since I believe the Chiefs are going to beat the Niners, this is actually my preferred bet to place since Mahomes will likely be the reason Kansas City wins, just like he was in his two previous two titles.

So far in these playoffs, Mahomes has completed 68% of his passes for 718 yards, four touchdowns and no interceptions and can win this award with another efficient performance. Last season against the Eagles, he went 21-for-27 for 182 yards, three touchdowns and no interceptions and took six carries for 44 yards.

In 2019 against these 49ers, he went 26-for-42 for 286 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions and took nine carries for 29 yards and another score. Therefore, it’s clear that he doesn’t need to be perfect or even put up huge numbers; if K.C. wins, it’d be shocking if he doesn’t win MVP barring an explosive performance from Isiah Pacheco on the ground or a crazy individual defensive performance that forced multiple turnovers or something.

Lucy Burdge: Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes Over 1.5 Passing TDs (-140, BetMGM)

Mahomes only threw one touchdown pass against the Ravens on Sunday, but he threw two against the Bills and I think he can do it again here. Mahomes has also done this on this very stage before in the Super Bowl last year when threw three touchdowns. I like over on the total of 47.5 points in this game and I see that hitting with the help of Mahomes going over on this passing touchdowns total.

Kate Constable: Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes Under 261.5 Pass Yards (-115, DraftKings)

Mahomes threw for fewer than 261.5 yards in 11 of his 19 games this season, including two of his three postseason games. The over hit by the hook in the wild-card round against the Dolphins, finishing with 262 yards. By his standards, Mahomes has had one of his quieter seasons throwing the ball, averaging 261.5 yards during the regular season, which was a career low. Only seven quarterbacks have surpassed this mark when facing San Francisco this season. The Niners are allowing 232.4 air yards per game, including the playoffs, and I like them to hold Mahomes to a similar mark.

Bryan Zarpentine: 49ers QB Brock Purdy Under 1.5 TD Passes (+105, DraftKings)

Admittedly, this could end up being a sucker’s bet if this game turns into a shootout. However, there is a lot of evidence pointing to Purdy being limited to one touchdown pass or less in the Super Bowl. For starters, he's had just one in each of his two playoff games, even with the 49ers scoring 34 points against the Lions. Likewise, Tua Tagovailoa, Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson were all held to exactly one touchdown pass against the Chiefs in the playoffs. Kansas City’s defense has been particularly stifling in the second half of games, further indicating Purdy will be limited in this game. With plus-odds, this bet is worth a shot.

NFL Player Props: Receiving

Here are some of our favorite NFL receiving prop picks for this week:

Dan Karpuc: Chiefs WR Rashee Rice Over 67.5 Receiving Yards (-110, FanDuel)

Rice failed to get over this number in back-to-back weeks, but I’m going right back to the well in this matchup. I highly doubt that Travis Kelce is going to go off against San Fran’s elite linebackers. Quietly, Rice has still remained a major part of K.C.’s passing attack in these playoffs, catching eight of 12 passes for 130 yards and a touchdown against the Dolphins; four of four targets for 47 yards in a brutally cold game against the Bills; and eight of nine targets for 46 yards against the Ravens. Patrick Mahomes clearly trusts Rice and the young wideout is a proven YAC (yards after catch) wizard who has been a slippery tackle all year long. That could mean trouble for a 49ers squad that had a lot of trouble corralling Lions playmakers in the NFC title game. I love Rice at this number and expect him to soar over it as Mahomes’ go-to option. 

Dan Karpuc: Chiefs WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling Over 13.5 Longest Reception (-118, BetRivers)

He may not have the opportunities that Rashee Rice or Travis Kelce has from a volume perspective, but it’s clear that MVS is trusted by Patrick Mahomes and KC’s coaching staff. Over the last two games, he posted two catches for 62 yards and then two catches for 38 yards and had long receptions of exactly 32 yards in both. In the AFC Championship, he played 67 snaps (83%), which ranked right behind Rashee Rice (89%), so he should be on the field for most two-WR sets against a defense that is most susceptible on the outside. As he showed last week with an acrobatic, clutch catch, he’s the likely go-to target when Mahomes takes a shot downfield. In my opinion, this should be closer to 20.

Bryan Zarpentine: Chiefs WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling Over 18.5 Receiving Yards (-115, DraftKings)

On the heels of his big catch against the Ravens, MVS should have gained more trust from Patrick Mahomes. Obviously, he won’t become a frequent target, but he figures to get a few extra opportunities. Also, this number is so low that the big-play threat may only need one catch to get over 18.5 yards. Over the past two games, he has just four total catches, but three went for at least 30 yards. When the 49ers least suspect it, Mahomes will target MVS for a big play -- he just has to catch the ball.

Lucy Burdge: 49ers RB Christian McCaffrey Over 35.5 Receiving Yards (-120, BetMGM)

McCaffrey hit this over in seven games during the regular season and then he did it again in the NFC championship game against the Lions with 42 receiving yards on four receptions. And during the season, he was  targeted 16 times in the red zone, which was 21.3 percent of the 49ers’ 75 red-zone pass attempts. So I see him hitting this over again in the Super Bowl.

Kate Constable: Chiefs TE Travis Kelce Over 70.5 Receiving Yards (-110, FanDuel)

Since Week 15, the 49ers are allowing more receptions (7.2) and receiving yards (74) to opposing TEs than any other team. They are also giving up the fourth-most targets (9.0) and third-highest catch rate (80%) to the position. Enter Travis Kelce, who hauled in all 11 of his targets in the AFC championship, finishing with 116 yards and a TD. He’s averaging over 10 yards per reception in his three postseason games and has at least 71 yards in each game. After Sunday’s performance, Kelce now has an NFL-record 156 postseason receptions for 1,810 yards, which ranks second all-time. The man is a menace in the playoffs and I don’t plan on fading him in this spot.  

Nick Hennion, BetMGM: Chiefs TE Travis Kelce Longest Reception Over 20.5 Yards (-115, BetMGM)

Super Bowl LVIII against the Chiefs will mark the first occasion this season San Francisco faces a top-10 pass EPA per play side that targets their tight end more than 25% of the time. Plus, bettors have previously seen the 49ers defense struggle indoors against good tight ends, including Trey McBride (38-yard catch) and T.J. Hockenson (22-yarder). In their last five games against teams 10th or higher in tight end target share, the 49ers have allowed a majority of opposing tight ends to clear this number. 

Further, the 49ers deploy zone coverage at the fifth-highest rate in the NFL. That’s a big problem against Kelce, who leads the Chiefs in zone target share and has excelled against that scheme this season. Through eight games against teams at a rate under 40%, Kelce has cleared this number six times, including five straight games. Add in Patrick Mahomes sees his completion percentage against zone rise by 13% and I expect Kelce can break one against a vulnerable defense.

Kate Constable: 49ers TE George Kittle Longest Reception Over 20.5 Yards (-111, Caesars)

Kittle's longest reception has topped 20.5 yards in six of his last seven games and 10 of his last 12 this season. He’s also gone over this number in five straight postseason games and six of his last eight games. In the two games his didn’t hit this number, he finished with an 18-yard and 16-yard grab. The numbers speak for themselves. This line is only going to go up as the game approaches, so grab it now!

Dan Karpuc: 49ers FB Kyle Juszczyk Over 0.5 Receptions (-145, DraftKings) & Over 2.5 Receiving Yards (-120, BetMGM)

After seeing multiple targets in four of his final five regular season games played, Juszczyk returned from an injury with two catches on three targets for 33 yards in the NFC Championship against the Lions. Playing 40 snaps (61%) in that contest, it was clear that there were a couple plays designed to get him the football in what was a very tough matchup for Christian McCaffrey. I am high on CMC this week, but Chiefs DC Steve Spagnuolo likes to blitz (32.7% blitz rate ranked seventh in regular season).

When game-planning to face this defense and make things easier on Brock Purdy, I expect Kyle Shanahan to get creative and call a few plays with Juszczyk as a safety net in the flat or even on a wheel route or route upfield as the primary option. Remember, all we need is for him to catch one pass for 3 yards in order to win both of these prop bets. With so much attention on McCaffrey and L’Jarius Sneed highlighting an elite Chiefs secondary, San Francisco will likely dial up some unexpected looks and I expect Juszcyk to be the beneficiary.

NFL Player Props: Rushing

Here are some of our favorite NFL rushing prop picks for this week:

Dan Karpuc: 49ers RB Christian McCaffrey Over 90.5 Rushing Yards (-110, BetMGM)

After taking 17 carries for 98 yards and two touchdowns against the Packers, CMC took 20 carries for 90 yards against the Lions with another two touchdowns in the NFC championship. Detroit had the best run defense in the entire NFL, making his performance even more impressive. Kansas City’s defense has stepped up down the stretch, but if there’s a run offense that’s matchup-proof, it’s this Niners group. Playing for all the marbles, I would be shocked if McCaffrey had fewer than 20 carries and, given his season-long efficiency and tendency to step up in big moments, I expect big things from McCaffrey when the lights are shining brightest.

Kate Constable: Chiefs RB Isiah Pacheco Over 69.5 Rushing Yards (-110, BetMGM) 

The Niners have given up a ton of yards on the ground over the last two weeks. They allowed 182 rushing yards to the Lions, including 93 to David Montgomery alone. In the divisional round against the Packers, San Fran gave up 136 rushing yards, 108 of which went to Aaron Jones. Since Week 15, the 49ers are allowing 5.1 yards per carry, which is the third-worst mark in the league. Pacheco has really come alive over the last few weeks, finishing with 68 yards on the ground last weekend and topping this number in his three games prior. If the Chiefs are up late in this game, Pacheco is going to find the ball in his hands to help him get over 69.5 rushing yards.

Nick Hennion, BetMGM: 49ers WR Deebo Samuel Over 15.5 Rushing Yards (-110, BetMGM) 

This is a great buy-low spot on Samuel, who rushed for only 7 yards against the Lions in the NFC championship. However, the Lions count themselves amongst the best run-stopping units in the league. Playoffs included, Detroit ranks sixth in rushing EPA per play allowed. 

Now Samuel faces a Chiefs team much worse in that category. Playoffs included, the Chiefs rank 28th in rush EPA per play allowed and 23rd in rush success rate allowed. Plus, Samuel excelled against the Chiefs when these sides met in Super Bowl LIV. Although he received only three carries, he notched 53 rushing yards. 

The key number here for Samuel is that he notches at least three rushing attempts against the Chiefs. In seven regular-season games in which he received at least three carries, he surpassed this number five times. Sample the eight regular-season games where he received two or fewer carries, and bettors will find he’s 8-0 to the under. Given the extra time to prepare and the Chiefs’ lackluster run defense, expect Samuel to receive ample usage and clear this low number.

Bryan Zarpentine: 49ers QB Brock Purdy Over 12.5 Rushing Yards (-120, DraftKings)

Purdy only topped this number four times during the regular season, but he’s had at least 14 rushing yards in both of San Francisco’s playoff games. That includes 48 yards in the NFC Championship. Two of the four times Purdy ran for over 12.5 yards during the regular season, the 49ers lost. The pattern here is that when San Francisco is losing, Purdy is more willing to use his legs. Plus, if Kansas City’s corners can keep up with San Francisco’s wide receivers, Purdy may have no choice but to use his legs more often.

NFL Player Props: Touchdowns

Here are some of our favorite anytime touchdown picks for this week:

Dan Karpuc: 49ers RB Christian McCaffrey Over 0.5 Rushing Touchdowns (-160, DraftKings)

I’m not going to overthink this one. McCaffrey is matchup-proof. He’s the best back in the sport. With two rushing touchdowns in each playoff game heading into the big one, I love getting in on this at what I deem a very valuable price. I’d be shocked if he doesn’t score at least once on the ground.

Dan Karpuc: Isiah Pacheco Anytime TD (-120, DraftKings)

Pacheco has scored in all three playoff games and is a mean, gritty runner, exactly someone who I love to target with an anytime touchdown prop. The Niners allowed 182 yards and three touchdowns on 29 carries (including one TD to both running backs David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs) in the NFC Championship game and since Pacheco gets the bulk of the snaps, carries and goal line work, this is a great spot to get right back on him.

Lucy Burdge: Chiefs TE Travis Kelce Anytime TD (-110, BetMGM)

Thinking like an NFL script writer, I am taking Travis Kelce to score an anytime touchdown because this is the Super Bowl and it’s just going to happen. Patrick Mahomes is going to target him quite a bit I think and one of those times he goes to him could very well be for a touchdown. Kelce has three touchdowns in the last two games, with two against the Bills, so I really like his chances of scoring at least one on the biggest stage, as he did in the Super Bowl last year.

Nick Hennion, BetMGM: 49ers WR Deebo Samuel Anytime TD (+175, BetMGM)

Christian McCaffrey’s scoring efficiency likely inflates a few 49ers prices, and Samuel is an intriguing option. After scoring only two touchdowns in his first six games, Samuel has exploded recently. Dating back to his return from injury in Week 10, the South Carolina product has managed 10 scores. 

Although he failed to score in the NFC championship against the Lions, he received 11 total touches. Now he faces a Chiefs team that allows a disproportionate number of touchdowns through the air but also struggles against the run. In terms of their touchdown record, the Chiefs have surrendered 22 of their 34 touchdowns through the air, 11 of which have gone to wide receivers. 

Lastly, Samuel has received ample opportunities inside the red zone. Amongst all 49ers pass catchers, Samuel is tied for first in targets inside the 20-yard line, per ftnfantasy.com. On the ground, he’s third in attempts inside the 20-yard line. 

For those reasons, back Samuel to score in Super Bowl LVIII and end his four-game scoreless streak. 

Bryan Zarpentine: Chiefs WR Rashee Rice 2+ TDs (+850, Caesars)

Understandably, Travis Kelce will get a lot of attention as a touchdown scorer in this game. But the 49ers will take extra precautions with him once the Chiefs get anywhere near the end zone. Also, don’t forget that Rice has had just two fewer targets than Kelce during the playoffs and led Kansas City in touchdowns during the regular season. With extra time to plan things out, look for Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs to use Kelce as a decoy and get the ball to Rice when want to take a shot at the end zone.

Brad Pinkerton: Chiefs TE Travis Kelce First TD Scorer (+600, BetRivers)

This will be my play for BetRivers' First TD Scorer Bet & Get (or Insurance, depending on which promo you have): Bet a certain minimum on a first-TD scorer and either get a profit boost, or get your stake back in bonus bets (up to a certain max) if your player doesn't score first but scores later in the game. CMC is the safer choice at +300, but I'm going with Kelce at double the odds because I'm confident he's getting into the end zone at some point on Super Bowl Sunday to at least trigger insurance.

Nick Hennion, BetMGM: Chiefs TE Travis Kelce First TD Scorer

I won’t fault anyone who wants to take Kelce's anytime touchdown at -110, but I’ll opt for the +300 shot rather than laying juice with Kelce. The newly crowned postseason receptions leader scored Kansas City’s first touchdown in both the divisional round and AFC championship. 

That represents a stark contrast from the regular season. In the five regular-season games Kelce scored a touchdown, he found the end zone first zero times. But Mahomes seems intent on getting him the ball during the postseason. Kelce has failed to score a touchdown only once in his last nine postseason games. In the eight games he found the end zone, Kelce scored Kansas City’s first touchdown five times. 

Given the 49ers surrendered a disproportionate number of scores through the air – 23 of their 36 opposing scores, to be exact – I’ll back Kelce rather than teammate Isiah Pacheco.

Kate Constable: 49ers WR Brandon Aiyuk First TD Scorer (+850, DraftKings)

The 49ers have scored the game’s first touchdown 13 times this season, which is the league’s second-highest rate (Chiefs are third). Of those 13 TDs, eight of them have been receiving touchdowns.

Kansas City’s defense has only allowed opponents to get on the board first in five games, all of which came via passing TDs. Based on these numbers, I looked at which of San Francisco's receivers have the most first touchdowns this year. Brandon Aiyuk leads the charge with three, while Deebo Samuel and George Kittle only have one apiece.

Despite being a RB, Christian McCaffrey is also certainly capable of hauling in a catch for the first TD, but with his odds sitting at +340 and Aiyuk’s at +850, I’d rather take the value with the latter.

What are NFL Player Props?

NFL player props are bets on the performance of individual players in a single game or over the course of a season. They can be on a variety of statistics, such as passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, touchdowns, interceptions, and tackles.

NFL player props are a popular way to add excitement to your NFL betting experience. They can also be a good way to make money if you can identify players who are poised to have big games.

However, it is important to remember that NFL player props are more volatile than other types of bets, such as moneyline and point spread bets. This is because they are based on the performance of individual players, which can be difficult to predict.

Types of NFL Prop Picks

There are many different types of NFL prop picks, but they can generally be divided into three categories: player props, team props, and game props.

Player props are bets on the performance of individual players in a single game or over the course of a season. They can be on a variety of statistics, such as passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, touchdowns, interceptions, and tackles.

Team props are bets on the performance of an entire team in a single game or over the course of a season. They can be on a variety of statistics, such as total points scored, total yards gained, and turnovers committed.

Game props are bets on events that happen during the course of a game, such as the first team to score, the longest field goal made, and whether or not there will be overtime.

Here are some examples of each type of NFL prop pick:

Player props:

• Patrick Mahomes over 255 passing yards
• Saquon Barkley over 80 rushing yards
• Tyreek Hill over 100 receiving yards
• Travis Kelce over 1 touchdown
• Aaron Rodgers under 1 interception
• Devin White over 10 tackles

Team props:

• Buccaneers over 25.5 points scored
• Bills under 350 total yards gained
• Chiefs with more turnovers than the Broncos
• Bengals win by at least 7 points
• Packers and Vikings game goes overtime

Game props:

• Buccaneers to score the first touchdown
• Longest field goal made is over 50 yards
• There will be overtime

NFL prop picks can be a fun and exciting way to bet on the NFL. They can also be a good way to make money if you can identify players and teams that are poised to have big games.

What are NFL Passing Props?

NFL passing props are bets on the performance of a quarterback in a single game or over the course of a season. They can be on a variety of statistics, such as passing yards, passing touchdowns, and interceptions.

Some examples of NFL passing props include:

• Patrick Mahomes over 255 passing yards
• Josh Allen over 1.5 passing touchdowns
• Aaron Rodgers under 1 interception

What are NFL Rushing Props?

NFL rushing props are bets on the performance of a running back in a single game or over the course of a season. They can be on a variety of statistics, such as rushing yards, rushing touchdowns, and longest rush.

Some examples of NFL rushing props include:

• Saquon Barkley over 80 rushing yards
• Dalvin Cook over 1 rushing touchdown
• Nick Chubb with a longest rush of over 30 yards

What are NFL Receiving Props?

NFL receiving props are bets on the performance of a wide receiver or tight end in a single game or over the course of a season. They can be on a variety of statistics, such as receiving yards, receiving touchdowns, and longest reception.

Some examples of NFL receiving props include:

• Tyreek Hill over 100 receiving yards
• Travis Kelce over 1 receiving touchdown
• Justin Jefferson with a longest reception of over 50 yards

What is an Anytime Touchdown Prop Pick?

An anytime touchdown prop pick is a bet on a specific player to score a touchdown during any point of the game. These props are primarily focused on offensive players.

For example, you could bet on Justin Jefferson to score an anytime touchdown in the Vikings vs. Packers game. If Jefferson catches a pass in the end zone or runs the ball into the end zone, your bet wins. If Jefferson does not score a touchdown, your bet loses.

Anytime touchdown props are a popular way to bet on the NFL because they offer the potential to win big at relatively low odds. For example, you might be able to bet on Jefferson to score an anytime touchdown at +150 odds. This means that if you bet $100 and Jefferson scores a touchdown, you would win $150.

How do Anytime Touchdowns Work for Quarterbacks?

An anytime touchdown for a quarterback means that the quarterback must cross the goal line with the ball in their hands, either as a runner or a pass-catcher. It does not include passing touchdowns, where the receiver is credited with the score.

Quarterbacks who are known for their rushing ability, such as Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, and Jalen Hurts, are more likely to score anytime touchdowns than quarterbacks who are primarily passers. However, even pocket passers like Kirk Cousins and Dak Prescott have been known to score rushing touchdowns from time to time.

Anytime touchdown props for quarterbacks are typically offered at plus-money odds, meaning that you would win more money than you bet if your pick hits. However, it is important to note that these bets are also relatively risky, as quarterbacks are not as likely to score touchdowns as other offensive players, such as running backs and wide receivers.

Tips for Betting NFL Player Props

• Do your research. This is essential for any type of betting, but it is especially important for player props, as they are based on the individual performance of players. Look at historical data, recent trends, and the matchup to get a better understanding of what to expect from each player.
• Consider the game script. If a team is trailing early, they may be forced to throw the ball more often, which could benefit pass-catchers and quarterbacks. If a team is leading big, they may run the ball more often, which could benefit running backs.
• Be aware of injuries. If a key player is injured, it could impact the performance of other players on the team. For example, if a starting wide receiver is injured, it could mean more targets for the other receivers and tight ends.
• Shop around for the best odds. Different sportsbooks will offer different odds on the same prop bets. It is important to compare the odds at different sportsbooks before placing a bet to get the best possible value.
• Focus on a few players. Don't try to bet on every player prop that is available. Instead, focus on a few players that you have a good understanding of and that you believe have a good chance of meeting or exceeding their prop number.
• Don't be afraid to fade the public. If a lot of people are betting on a particular player prop, it could be a sign that the odds are not favorable. Consider betting on the opposite side of the public to get better value.
• Bankroll management is key. Don't bet more than you can afford to lose. Set a budget for yourself and stick to it.

Tips for Betting NFL Passing Props:

• Look for quarterbacks who are playing in high-scoring games. Quarterbacks are more likely to hit their passing props in games where a lot of points are scored.
• Consider the quarterback's offensive weapons. Quarterbacks with good receivers and tight ends are more likely to hit their passing props.
• Be aware of injuries and suspensions. If a quarterback's top receiver is out with an injury, it is less likely that the quarterback will hit their passing prop.
• Don't bet on every game. Be selective with your bets and only bet on games where you have a good understanding of the matchup and the players involved.

Tips for Betting NFL Receiving Props:

• Look for receivers who are playing in high-scoring games. Receivers are more likely to hit their receiving props in games where a lot of points are scored.
• Consider the receiver's role in the offense. Receivers who are heavily involved in their team's passing game are more likely to hit their receiving props.
• Be aware of injuries and suspensions. If a receiver's quarterback is out with an injury, it is less likely that the receiver will hit their receiving prop.
• Don't bet on every game. Be selective with your bets and only bet on games where you have a good understanding of the matchup and the players involved.

Tips for Betting NFL Rushing Props:

• Look for running backs who are playing against weak run defenses. Running backs are more likely to hit their rushing props against teams with poor run defenses.
• Consider the running back's matchup against their opposing linebacker. If a running back is matched up against a good linebacker, it is less likely that they will hit their rushing prop.
• Consider the running back's role in the offense. Running backs who are heavily involved in their team's rushing game are more likely to hit their rushing props.
• Look for running backs who are due for a breakout game. If a running back has been underperforming in recent weeks, but they have a good matchup, they may be due for a breakout game.
• Be aware of the game script. If a team is winning big, they may run the ball more often in the second half, which could limit the running back's opportunities.

Tips for Betting Anytime Touchdown Props:

• Do your research. This is the most important tip for any type of sports betting, but it is especially important for anytime touchdown props, as there are a lot of factors that can affect a player's chances of scoring a touchdown. Look at the player's recent stats, as well as the stats of their team's offense and defense. Consider the matchup and the weather conditions.
• Understand the line. Make sure you understand what the line means and how it is set. For example, if the line for a player's anytime touchdown prop is -120, it means that you would have to bet $120 to win $100. If the line is +120, it means that you would win $120 for every $100 you bet.
• Shop around for the best odds. Different sportsbooks will offer different odds on the same anytime touchdown prop. It is important to shop around and compare the odds before placing your bet.
• Look for players who are heavily involved in their team's offense. Running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends who are heavily involved in their team's offense are more likely to score touchdowns.
• Consider the matchup. Players are more likely to score touchdowns against weaker defenses.
• Look for players who have a history of scoring touchdowns. Some players are simply more natural scorers than others.

Tips for Betting Longest Reception / Rush Props:

• Look for players who are known for big plays. Some players are simply more likely to make big plays than others. For example, DeAndre Hopkins is known for making big plays downfield, and Derrick Henry is known for breaking off long runs.
• Consider the team's game plan. If a team is known for throwing the ball deep or running the ball a lot, that will increase the chances of a long reception or rush.
• Bet on multiple players. If you are unsure which player will have the longest reception or rush, you can bet on multiple players to increase your chances of winning.

Strategies for Betting NFL Player Props:

• Focus on props with high odds. The higher the odds, the more potential profit there is to be made. However, it is important to remember that high odds also mean that the prop is more difficult to predict.
• Look for props with value. Value is when the odds are better than the actual probability of the outcome happening. For example, if a prop bet is offering odds of +200 on a player to score a touchdown, but the actual probability of that player scoring a touchdown is 30%, then that prop bet has value.
• Target props that are correlated. Correlated props are props that are likely to happen together. For example, if a team is favored to win a game, then their quarterback is also likely to have a good game. Therefore, betting on a prop bet for the quarterback to throw over 250 yards would be a correlated bet.

NFL Player Prop Predictions

At BetQL, we offer two types of NFL player prop predicions

Expert picks: Our team of expert sports bettors provides hand-picked player prop picks for their favorite NFL games each week. These picks are based on the experts' deep knowledge of the NFL and their analysis of the latest data and trends.

Model projections: Our proprietary NFL player prop model generates projections for every player prop available at major sportsbooks. With a BetQL subscription you can see our model's player prop prediction, our star rating for each bet type, and which sportsbook has the best line.

If you are looking for the best possible NFL player prop picks, we recommend subscribing to BetQL. Our subscribers have access to both our expert picks and our model projections. This gives them the best possible chance of winning their player prop bets.

What Should You Look for in a Sportsbook when Betting NFL Props?

1. Reputation and Trustworthiness: Look for sportsbooks with a solid reputation for fairness, transparency, and timely payouts. You can research reviews and check for licenses and certifications.
2. Variety of Props: Find sportsbooks that offer a wide range of NFL prop bets, including player props, team props, and game props. The more options, the better.
3. Competitive Odds: Compare the odds offered by different sportsbooks. Even a small difference in odds can have a significant impact on your potential winnings.
4. User-Friendly Interface: A user-friendly website or mobile app can enhance your betting experience. Look for platforms that are easy to navigate and place bets on.
5. Bonuses and Promotions: Some sportsbooks offer attractive bonuses and promotions for NFL betting. These can include deposit bonuses, free bets, or cashback offers. Be sure to read the terms and conditions.

Who has the best NFL Prop Picks?

Obviously it is BetQL! BetQL offers the best NFL prop picks because we have a team of experts who are dedicated to providing our users with the most accurate and informed picks possible. Our experts have years of experience in the NFL and they use a variety of factors to make their picks, including historical data, recent trends, and the matchup.

In addition to our team of experts, we also offer NFL prop picks from our computer model, which analyzes a massive dataset of historical data and simulations to predict the outcome of every game and player performance. Our computer model is one of the most advanced in the industry and it has a proven track record of success.

When you combine our team of experts with our computer model, you get the most comprehensive and accurate NFL prop picks available. That's why BetQL is the best place to go for all of your NFL prop betting needs.

Prop Bet Frequently Asked Questions

When do NFL Props Come Out?

NFL props typically come out 48-72 hours before the start of a game. However, the exact time that they are released can vary depending on the sportsbook. For example, some sportsbooks may release their props on Tuesday for the upcoming Sunday games, while others may wait until Wednesday or Thursday.

It is also important to note that not all props are released at the same time. For example, player props may be released earlier than team props. Additionally, some sportsbooks may release props for certain games earlier than others.

Can you Parlay NFL Player Props?

Yes, you can parlay NFL player props. A parlay is a bet on two or more outcomes. In order to win a parlay, all of the outcomes must be correct.

To parlay NFL player props, simply select the props that you want to include in your parlay and enter the amount of money that you want to bet. The odds for the parlay will be calculated by multiplying the odds for each individual prop.

For example, if you parlay a player to throw over 250 yards (+200) with a player to score a touchdown (+150), the odds for the parlay would be +300. This means that if you bet $100 on the parlay and it wins, you would win $300.

What is a Same Game Parlay?

A same game parlay is a parlay bet on multiple events from the same game. For example, you could place a same game parlay on the moneyline, over/under, and a player prop from the same NFL game.

Same game parlays are becoming increasingly popular among sports bettors, as they offer the potential to win big payouts on a single bet. However, it is important to note that same game parlays are also very risky, as all of the legs of the parlay must win in order for the bet to be successful.

Can you Live Bet Player Props?

Yes, you can live bet player props. Live betting is betting on a game while it is in progress. This allows bettors to react to the game as it unfolds and place bets based on what they are seeing.

To live bet player props, simply go to your favorite sportsbook and look for the live betting section. From there, you can browse the available props and place bets on the ones that you like.

What is an Alt Line?

An alt line in terms of NFL props is an alternate line to the standard line offered by a sportsbook. For example, the standard line for a player prop for passing yards might be 250.5 over/under. An alt line for this prop might be 275.5 over/under.

Alt lines are offered by sportsbooks to give bettors more options and to adjust the odds based on the demand for a particular prop. If a lot of bettors are betting on a player to go over 250.5 passing yards, the sportsbook may offer an alt line of 275.5 over/under to get some more action on the under.

Alt lines can be a good way for bettors to find value. If you think a player is going to go over their standard line, you can bet on the alt line to get better odds. However, it is important to be aware of the risks involved in betting on alt lines. The odds are adjusted for a reason, and the sportsbook is not going to offer an alt line that they think is going to lose them money

How does Bankroll Management Work?

Bankroll management with props is the process of managing your bankroll to ensure that you can continue to bet on props over the long term. This is important because props can be very risky, and it is easy to lose money quickly if you are not careful.

Let's say you have a bankroll of $1000 and you decide to bet on NFL player props. You decide to bet 2% of your bankroll on each bet. This means that you would bet $20 on each bet.

Can Betting on Player Props be Profitable?

Yes, betting on NFL player props can be profitable, but it is important to be realistic and understand the risks involved. There is no guaranteed way to win when betting on player props, but following our tips above will increase your chances of profitability

Need More Prop Picks:

• NFL Props from our Model: Check out the player prop picks from our model, you will need a BetQL subscription to see these picks, but you can check out our stat projections, star ratings, and the best odds for each prop bet
• MLB Prop Bets: Check out the baseball prop picks from our team of experts. You can find the best hitting props like home run bets, RBIs, and total bases. We also have pitching prop picks and base running props so you have have a winning night.
• NBA Player Prop Picks: Find the best player prop picks from our team of experts and start cashing more bets. You can find the best points, rebounds, three pointer, and assist bets for the top players on tonight's slate.