Check Out Our Favorite NFL Futures Bets for 2023

Our Favorite NFL Futures Bets for 2023

With the 2023 NFL season on the horizon, it's a great time to gaze into the future and see which futures bets our staff likes. From Super Bowl odds to awards sleepers, our staff has found some serious values on the NFL futures markets with these picks below.

BetQL will also be ready for the regular-season well before Week 1 with live NFL betting odds, best bets from our NFL model, sharp picks, public bets, line movement data, exclusive articles and much more to help you cash more NFL bets this season.

BetQL subscribers can use all these tools and see all of the latest best bets with game projections, betting trends and more! Sign up for a FREE TRIAL today!

Kate Constable: Jets u9.5 wins (+115, Caesars)

The addition of QB Aaron Rodgers is a massive upgrade to this Jets roster but that doesn’t automatically mean you should bank on New York winning 10+ games. The Jets' regular-season schedule is the seventh-hardest of any team and it opens the season with the hardest schedule through the first six weeks. They’re at home against the Bills in Week 1 before playing in Dallas in Week 2. New York then plays the Patriots, Chiefs and Eagles at home, and the Broncos on the road. It wouldn’t be shocking to see the Jets' record sitting anywhere from 1-5 to 2-4 through that stretch.

The offensive line is also a bit of a concern with it ranking 24th heading into the season. The Jets have dealt with quite a few injuries on the O-line in previous seasons and its pressure rate (35.9%) is much worse than what Rodgers was used to in Green Bay. The Jets will be more competitive this year, but I don't think they’ll win 10 games.

Lucy Burdge: Patriots to Make the Playoffs (+250, DraftKings)

With the changes the Patriots have made this offseason -- notably bringing in Bill O’Brien to replace Matt Patricia as offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach and possibly snagging WR DeAndre Hopkins -- I think the Patriots have a great shot to make the playoffs this season. They failed to make the playoffs last year and lasted a quick minute in the playoffs the season before. But Mac Jones finally seems comfortable with the coaching structure around him and I think that will go a long way to helping this team make the playoffs even in a tough division this season. 

Matt Horner: Miami Dolphins to win Super Bowl (+2500, FanDuel)

We have already seen this number go down quite a bit from +3300 since the beginning of free agency, but it's still a great value here. There are many things that I like about Miami that make me believe the Dolphins can shock people this season.

First off, this is a team that had a ton of promise last season before the injuries to Tua Tagovailoa. When healthy, he made huge strides in becoming a franchise QB in 2022. With a cast of extremely talented wide receivers like Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, combined with a rushing attack that comes right out of the Kyle Shanahan playbook from head coach Mike McDaniel, this offense was pumping on all cylinders.

Second, Miami has also improved the defense, which was a real problem last season, by trading for CB Jalen Ramsey, signing LB David Long Jr. and re-signing OLB Andrew Van Ginkel. With all the attention going to Buffalo and New York in the AFC East, Miami is quietly a team that I think people should look at more seriously.

Brad Pinkerton: Tua Tagovailoa to win MVP (+2000, DraftKings)

I'll piggy-back Matt's pick above and take Tua for MVP. This is really a bet on the oft-injured QB staying healthy, which is a long-shot in itself, but that's why we're getting +2000 here. If Tag stays healthy, he's going to put up video-game numbers in this offense (again), especially if the defense isn't significantly better (call me skeptical on that one). And with a healthy Tagovailoa, the Dolphins will certainly have a shot at replacing Buffalo atop the AFC East -- and maybe even challenging the Chiefs for AFC supremacy -- which will bolster Tua's MVP case. As far as value goes on the preseason awards futures, I love a little sprinkle right now on Tua to take home MVP in 2023 -- don't wait too long because those odds will shrink after every week he plays.

Dan Karpuc: Panthers RB Miles Sanders To Lead NFL In Rushing Yards (+4000, Unibet)

The bet on Panthers RB Miles Sanders to lead the NFL in rushing yards at +4000 odds is a great wager for several reasons. First, BetQL's simulation of 10,000 games of the upcoming season projects Sanders to finish just five yards behind Nick Chubb for the rushing yards lead. This suggests that Sanders is expected to be highly competitive in the race for the top spot and he nearly came out on top!

Moreover, the Panthers' significant investment in Sanders through a four-year, $25 million deal indicates the team's high expectations for his performance. This financial commitment suggests that Sanders will likely be given ample opportunities to carry the ball and showcase his skills on the field.

Additionally, Sanders seems to be a perfect fit for Frank Reich's offensive system. Panthers general manager Scott Fitterer emphasized the importance of the running back position in Reich's offense.

"All I can say is the way we look at it, and obviously, we still value the running back," Panthers general manager Scott Fitterer said at the end of July, per Panthers.com. "In Frank's offense, the running back is a very important position, not only a guy that can run the ball but a guy that can catch the ball. And you couple that with having a rookie quarterback, you need a good running back. We think we have three that can really support a quarterback.” He added, “We still value the running back position."

Drawing from Reich's coaching history with the Colts, we can see that he has typically maintained a balanced pass-run ratio. However, with a rookie quarterback, Bryce Young, expected to be under center, there will likely be an emphasis on the running game to ease Young's transition to the NFL. This could translate to increased opportunities for Sanders to rack up rushing yards.

Finally, the +4000 odds on Sanders leading the league in rushing yards imply a probability of only 2.44%. This represents significant value for the bet, considering the factors mentioned above and Sanders' potential. I already hopped on this and suggest you do as well!