NFL Picks: Thursday Night Football

NFL Picks: Thursday Night Football

Another week of NFL games is here, and that means it's time to cash some NFL bets! This week's Thursday Night Football clashes feature some of the NFL most storied rivalries, and we've got the inside scoop on where to place your bets.

Our expert team at BetQL has dissected the stats, analyzed player form and scrutinized past performances, all thanks to BetQL, to bring you the most informed NFL picks for this prime-time battle.

Our NFL picks are the result of a thorough process that combines data-driven analysis with a deep understanding of the game. Whether you're a seasoned bettor or just starting out, our NFL picks are tailored to give you the upper hand.

So, join us as we break down the key players, strategies and potential game-changers in this electrifying contest. Below, you’ll see a betting breakdown with expert NFL picks from the BetQL Editorial Team, including sleeper picks and epic sportsbook promotions to cash in on!

As always, BetQL is your one-stop destination for live NFL betting odds, best bets from our NFL model, sharp picks, public bets, line movement data, exclusive articles and much more to help you cash more bets. BetQL subscribers can see all of this week's best bets with game projections, player props, betting trends and more!

MORE: TNF PLAYER PROPS

TNF: Dallas vs. Detroit

We have trending betting tips for the thrilling NFL game between the Detroit Lions and the Dallas Cowboys, scheduled for Thursday, December 4, 2025, at Ford Field. This clash promises to be an electrifying encounter as both teams are looking to solidify their standings in the competition.

Detroit Lions

The Detroit Lions are led by head coach Dan Campbell, and they have shown resilience and determination this season. Currently, they hold a record of 7 wins and 5 losses, placing them 3rd in the NFC North. They have scored a total of 350 points while conceding 274 points, showcasing their attacking prowess while maintaining a decent defense.

Last 5 Games:

1. Detroit Lions 24 - 31 Green Bay Packers
2. Detroit Lions 34 - 27 New York Giants
3. Philadelphia Eagles 16 - 9 Detroit Lions
4. Washington Commanders 22 - 44 Detroit Lions
5. Detroit Lions 24 - 27 Minnesota Vikings

QB Jared Goff leads the team with 3,025 passing yards, while Jahmyr Gibbs leads the team with 1,019 rushing yards and 10 TDS.

Dallas Cowboys

On the other side, the Dallas Cowboys, under coach Brian Schottenheimer, hold a record of 6 wins, 5 losses, and 1 draw, placing them 2nd in the NFC East. They've scored 351 points but have also faced challenges defensively, conceding 342 points. This indicates a need for improved defensive strategies to turn close games in their favor.

Last 5 Games:

1. Dallas Cowboys 31 - 28 Kansas City Chiefs
2. Dallas Cowboys 24 - 21 Philadelphia Eagles
3. Las Vegas Raiders 16 - 33 Dallas Cowboys
4. Dallas Cowboys 17 - 27 Arizona Cardinals
5. Denver Broncos 44 - 24 Dallas Cowboys

Dak Prescott is having a good season with 3,261 passing yards and 25 TDs, while George Pickens leads the team in receiving yards with 1,142 on the season.

Head-to-Head Statistics

When looking at the previous encounters between these two teams, the competition has often been fierce. In their last few games against each other, the Detroit Lions and the Dallas Cowboys have experienced a competitive edge, with the scores reflecting the tight nature of their confrontations.

Predictions for the Game

1. Moneyline Prediction: Our NFL moneyline prediction is a home win for the Detroit Lions, with a moneyline of -169 at Fanatics Sportsbook.
2. Spread Prediction: Best NFL point spread is away win for the Dallas Cowboys (+3.5 points) at -120, indicating they are expected to keep the score close.
3. Points Total Betting Market: The total points betting market is set at over 54.0 points at -110, suggesting that a high-scoring game is anticipated.

In summary, the upcoming game promises not only competitive spirit but also substantial betting interest. With both teams looking to improve their standings, fans can expect an exciting matchup filled with strategies and powerful plays. Whether you are betting on the Detroit Lions to take the win or considering the Dallas Cowboys to cover the spread, this is a game you won't want to miss!

Jared Goff Over 22.5 Pass Completions (-104, DraftKings)

Goff was pass happy last time the Lions took on the Packers going 31/39 for 225 yards and a TD. While 22.5 is right about his average per game, don't be surprised if Detroit ups their passing attack on Thursday.

Dak Prescott Under 255.5 Passing Yards (-111 DraftKings)

Yes Prescott is averaging nearly 270 passing yards per game, but the Chiefs defense are holding teams to under 200 yards passing on average. The Chiefs have to win if they want any shot at making the playoffs so expect them to be all over the receivers in Dallas.

Lamar Jackson Over 25.5 Rushing Yards (-112 DraftKings)

This one looks like a no brainer. Jackson is already averaging around 30 yards rushing per game. It's going to be cold in Baltimore, he's going to scramble against the Bengals D, and run a lot. We're predicting him to have 50+ rushing yards on Thanksgiving.

Best Sportsbook Promotions

Check out our plays for today's best sportsbook promotions, including odds boosts and more!

2025 Thursday Night Football Schedule

The 2025 NFL schedule is out which means that we have the complete Thursday Night Football schedule. Let’s take a look at the full exciting schedule below:

How To Bet Thursday Night Football

Research the teams: Before placing any Thursday Night Football bets, it's important to gather information about the teams playing. Consider their recent performance, key players, injuries, head-to-head records, and any other relevant factors that may impact the game.

Understand the odds: Familiarize yourself with how NFL betting odds work. Odds indicate the probability of a specific outcome, and they also determine the potential payout. Learn about different types of bets, such as point spreads, moneylines, and over/unders, and consider which type of bet aligns with your betting strategy.

Set a budget: It's crucial to establish a budget for your Thursday Night Football betting activities and stick to it. Only wager what you can afford to lose, and avoid chasing losses by increasing your bets. Responsible bankroll management is key to maintaining a sustainable and enjoyable betting experience.

Shop for the best odds: Different sportsbooks may offer slightly different Thursday Night Football odds for the same game. Take the time to compare odds from multiple bookmakers to ensure you're getting the best value for your bets. Even small differences in odds can significantly impact your overall profitability in the long run.

Consider additional factors: While statistics and trends are important, also consider other factors that may influence the outcome of a Thursday Night Football game. These factors could include weather conditions, home-field advantage, coaching strategies, and team motivation.

Practice self-control: Emotions can often cloud judgment, leading to impulsive or irrational betting decisions. Try to approach sports betting with a calm and logical mindset. Avoid betting on your favorite Thursday Night Football team solely based on loyalty, as it can bias your judgment.

Remember, Thursday Night Football betting involves an element of risk, and there are no guaranteed outcomes. It's essential to gamble responsibly, be mindful of your betting habits, and enjoy the game within your means.

Be sure to consult BetQL’s NFL Model before placing any Thursday Night Football bets. Also see live public betting, sharp betting and line movement data, player prop projections, trending bets and more!

Thursday Night Football Betting Strategy

When it comes to betting on Thursday night NFL games, here are some strategies you can consider:

Research the teams: Analyze the teams' recent performance, including their records, statistics, and key player injuries. Look at their offensive and defensive capabilities, as well as their past performance in prime-time games.

Consider short weeks: Thursday night games usually occur after a shorter week of preparation, which can impact team performance. Take into account how teams have historically fared in these situations, as some may struggle to perform at their usual level due to less rest and recovery time.

Home-field advantage: Assess the impact of home-field advantage on the teams playing. Some teams tend to perform better at home, so consider this factor when making your predictions.

Weather conditions: Keep an eye on the weather forecast for the game. Extreme weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, can significantly affect the outcome and scoring potential. Adjust your betting strategy accordingly.

Line movements and public betting: Pay attention to line movements and public betting trends. These can provide valuable insights into how the majority of bettors are leaning and whether there might be value in taking the contrarian approach.

Prop bets and alternative markets: Look beyond the traditional spread and over/under bets. Prop bets, player performance bets, and alternative markets can offer interesting opportunities, especially if you have in-depth knowledge about specific players or matchups.

Manage your bankroll: Set a budget for your wagers and avoid chasing losses. It's important to bet responsibly and not wager more than you can afford to lose. Develop a staking plan and stick to it, adjusting your bet sizes based on your confidence in each pick.

Remember, betting on sports is inherently risky, and there are no guaranteed strategies for success. These tips are meant to provide a framework for making informed decisions, but ultimately, outcomes can be unpredictable. Exercise caution and always gamble responsibly.