NFL Week 14 Expert Picks

The 2025/26 NFL season Week 14 kicks off on Thursday and our experts are here with their top picks.

After a wild Week 13 full of dramatic finishes and surprising upsets, we’re back with our NFL Expert Picks. The BetQL NFL team have run the numbers and read through all the scouting reports and are ready to share their predictions on the biggest matches of the NFL Week 14.  

Los Angeles Chargers (9-4) at Kansas City Chiefs (6-7)

We have trending betting tips for the exciting NFL game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Los Angeles Chargers scheduled for Sunday, December 14, 2025, at Arrowhead Stadium. With both teams bringing their unique strengths to the field, fans can expect an exhilarating battle featuring two of the league's most dynamic offenses.

Kansas City Chiefs Overview

The Kansas City Chiefs, under the guidance of head coach Andy Reid, have had a challenging season thus far. As they approach this game, they currently sit at 3rd place in the AFC West standings with a record of 6 wins and 7 losses. The team's recent performance shows a mix of results, including a narrow 10-20 loss against the Houston Texans last week, highlighting their struggles.

Last 5 Games:

  • Loss: 10-20 vs. Houston Texans
  • Loss: 28-31 vs. Dallas Cowboys
  • Win: 23-20 vs. Indianapolis Colts
  • Loss: 19-22 vs. Denver Broncos
  • Loss: 21-28 vs. Buffalo Bills

Patrick Mahomes has been good, but with the exception of the game against Dallas, he's had 0 or 1 passing TDs in four of his last five games. The Chiefs have shown that they are no longer the team to beat in the AFC, and we could see a number of changes coming especially if they fail to make the playoffs.

Los Angeles Chargers Overview

The Los Angeles Chargers, coached by Jim Harbaugh, are currently making waves this season, holding the 2nd position in the AFC West standings with an impressive record of 9 wins and 4 losses. Their recent games have shown a strong upward trend, demonstrating both offensive prowess and solid defense.

Last 5 Games:

  • Win: 22-19 vs. Philadelphia Eagles
  • Win: 31-14 vs. Las Vegas Raiders
  • Loss: 6-35 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
  • Win: 25-10 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
  • Win: 27-20 vs. Tennessee Titans

The Chargers feature top talents like Justin Herbert, whose powerful throws and decision-making make him a critical asset in leading his team to victory. He is listed as questionable for this weekends game, but with him on the field, the Chargers are Super Bowl contenders.

Head-to-Head Statistics

In their last encounter, the Kansas City Chiefs edged out the Los Angeles Chargers with a score of 30-27. Historically, these matchups have been closely contested, often showcasing thrilling finishes and dramatic plays.

Game Predictions

  1. Moneyline Prediction: Our NFL prediction is a home win for the Kansas City Chiefs at -222 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
  2. Spread Prediction: The best NFL point spread is a home win for the Chiefs at -4.5 points, available at -111 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
  3. Points Total Betting Market: Look for a high-scoring game, with the total set at over 45.5 points at -111 odds from DraftKings Sportsbook.

Summary

The upcoming game promises to be an electrifying showdown between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Los Angeles Chargers. With strong performances anticipated from both teams and significant stakes on the line, fans are in for a real treat. Betting enthusiasts may find value in backing the Chiefs to overcome the spread and potentially secure a solid home win while enjoying an entertaining game with plenty of scoring opportunities. Don't miss the action!

Check out our full game analysis here

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Green Bay Packers (9-3-1) at Denver Broncos (11-2)

We have trending betting tips for the upcoming game between the Denver Broncos and the Green Bay Packers. Scheduled for Sunday, December 14, 2025, at the renowned Empower Field at Mile High, this matchup promises to deliver an exciting showdown as both teams aim to secure their playoff standings.

Denver Broncos Overview

The Denver Broncos, under the guidance of head coach Sean Payton, currently sit in a strong position within the league. As they head into this game, they boast an impressive record of 11 wins and just 2 losses, placing them second in the league standings. In their last five games, the Broncos have shown resilience and tenacity, amassing the following results:

  • Defeated the Las Vegas Raiders 24-17
  • Triumphed over the Washington Commanders 27-26
  • Defeated Kansas City Chiefs 22-19
  • Overpowered the Las Vegas Raiders 10-7
  • Claimed victory against the Houston Texans 18-15

QB Bo Nix has led the Broncos to the best record in the NFL after stumbling earlier this season. They are missing their leading rusher J.K. Dobbins, which could be why they opened betting as the underdog against the Packers.

Green Bay Packers Overview

The Green Bay Packers, led by head coach Matt LaFleur, are also performing admirably this season. With a record of 9 wins and 3 losses, they find themselves in first place in the NFC North standings. Their last five games have illustrated their offensive capabilities, evidenced by the following results:

  • Triumphed over the Chicago Bears 28-21
  • Defeated the Detroit Lions 31-24
  • Dominated the Minnesota Vikings 23-6
  • Overcame the New York Giants 27-20
  • Narrowly lost to the Philadelphia Eagles 7-10

QB Jordan Love is on pace to have one of his best seasons leading the Packers offense. A lot of credit for Green Bay's success this year has to go to their defense, allowing under 20 points per game on average.

Head-to-Head Statistics

When examining the history between these two teams, the rivalry has been closely contested. In their most recent encounters, the scores reflect a competitive spirit:

  • Broncos 18 - Packers 15
  • Packers 20 - Broncos 22
  • Packers 10 - Broncos 27

Predictions for the Game

  1. Moneyline Prediction: Our NFL prediction is that the Green Bay Packers will secure an away win with odds of -130 from Fanatics Sportsbook.
  2. Spread Prediction: The best NFL point spread suggests an away win for Green Bay Packers at -1.5 points with odds of -115 from Fanatics Sportsbook.
  3. Points Total Betting Market: The total betting market indicates a forecast of over 41.5 points for this game, with odds of -110 from Fanatics Sportsbook.

In summary, this game between the Denver Broncos and the Green Bay Packers is set to be an exhilarating encounter filled with intensity and high stakes. Both teams have demonstrated their prowess throughout the season, making this a must-watch event for fans. Expect a thrilling contest as each team vies for a crucial victory.

Click here for our full game analysis

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Buffalo Bills (9-4) at New England Patroits (11-2)

We have trending betting tips for the exciting NFL game between the New England Patriots and the Buffalo Bills, scheduled for Sunday, December 14, 2025. The Patriots will host the Bills at Gillette Stadium, a venue known for its electric atmosphere perfect for such a crucial clash.

Home Team: New England Patriots

The New England Patriots are currently one of the top teams in the league, holding the 1st position in the AFC East standings. They have an impressive record of 11 wins and 2 losses, showcasing their dominance throughout the season. Their last five games demonstrate their strength and tactics:

  • December 1, 2025: Patriots 33 - 15 Giants
  • November 23, 2025: Bengals 20 - 26 Patriots
  • November 13, 2025: Patriots 27 - 14 Jets
  • November 9, 2025: Buccaneers 23 - 28 Patriots
  • November 2, 2025: Patriots 24 - 23 Falcons

In this stellar run, key players like Mac Jones have been pivotal, showcasing both their offensive and defensive capabilities. QB Drake Maye in just his second season is having an MVP caliber season.

Away Team: Buffalo Bills

The Buffalo Bills sit at the 2nd position in the AFC East standings with a record of 9 wins and 4 losses. They have shown resilience in their season, making them a formidable contender. The Bills' performance in their last five games includes:

  • December 7, 2025: Bills 39 - 34 Bengals
  • November 30, 2025: Steelers 7 - 26 Bills
  • November 20, 2025: Texans 23 - 19 Bills
  • November 16, 2025: Bills 44 - 32 Buccaneers
  • November 9, 2025: Dolphins 30 - 13 Bills

Buffalo's star player, Josh Allen, has excelled, consistently contributing to both passing and rushing statistics, making big plays that can change the outcome of the game.

Head-to-Head Statistics

In recent head-to-head matchups, the Patriots have had an upper hand against the Bills, winning the previous encounter by a score of 26 to 20. Their rivalry is always fierce, with each game showcasing talent and competitiveness.

Predictions for the Game

  1. Moneyline Prediction: Our NFL prediction is that the Bills will secure an away win, with current odds at -115 at FanDuel Sportsbook.
  2. Spread Prediction: The best NFL point spread is also in favor of the Bills, standing at +1.0 point with odds of -125 at FanDuel Sportsbook.
  3. Points Total Betting Market: Fans should look out for an exciting high-scoring game with the total set at over 48.5 points, also at -125 at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Summary

This matchup promises to be an exhilarating contest that could have significant implications for playoff positioning. The Patriots, with their home-field advantage, will aim to continue their impressive season, while the Bills bring the firepower and determination needed to vie for victory. With both teams eager to prove themselves, fans are in for a treat this Sunday. Don't miss the action!

For our complete game breakdown click here.

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