NBA Line Movement

NBA Lines and NBA Line Movement

NBA line movement is one of the most important aspects of betting professional basketball. Line movement occurs when money comes in on one side of a betting market and the betting line or spread is impacted. NBA lines are tracked from where the line started - otherwise known as the “open” - to where the line either currently sits or where it finishes; known as the “close”. Experienced bettors will track the NBA betting line to find the most opportune time to place a bet. When the betting line moves so do the overall NBA odds which corresponds to how much a bet will pay off. If you are able to track the NBA lines and time your bet correctly you can maximize your winnings. With BetQL you are able to see the entire line movement from open to close.

If you are interested in NBA line movement then you will definitely be interested in the sportbook bonuses we have to offer for each legal state. Legal sportsbooks near you are giving away free bonuses just for signing up, so make sure you are taking advantage of these offers and winning more bets with BetQL.

NFL Line Movement Example:
The Los Angeles Lakers are playing the Indiana Pacers and the line is set at +/- 3 with the Pacers as the favorite. Since the Pacers are the favorite their odds are (-110) and the underdog Lakers are (+120). Throughout the hours leading up to the game there has been speculation on Pascal Siakam's recent injury and no one is sure if he will be playing. Due the Siakam's uncertainty there has been more than the average betting line movement. After news comes out that Siakam practiced in the afternoon the betting line changes and the line moves to (+110) as the Pacers become less of an underdog. Then minutes before game time the news breaks that Siakam is out and will not be playing which causes major betting line movement. With a backup Forward now playing for the Pacers they become huge underdogs and the line moves to (+180). With Pascal Siakam out the Lakers have become even bigger favorites and their line moves up to (-200) meaning you would need to bet $200 on the Lakers to win $100.

NBA Opening Lines

An opening line is the initial point spread or moneyline that a sportsbook sets for a game. It is based on the sportsbook's assessment of the two teams involved and is designed to attract equal betting on both sides of the line.

For example, if the opening NBA lines for a game is Team A -8, it means that the sportsbook believes Team A is a 8-point favorite over Team B. If you bet on Team A to win and they win by more than 8 points, you win your bet. If they win by exactly 8 points, you push (neither win nor lose), and if they win by less than 8 points or lose, you lose your bet.

Opening NBA lines are often adjusted by sportsbooks as betting comes in. If more money is bet on one team than the other, the sportsbook will adjust the line to make the odds more even. This is done to protect the sportsbook from losing money.

Opening lines can be a good indicator of how a game is going to be played. However, it is important to remember that they are just the initial assessment of a sportsbook and can change based on a variety of factors.

NBA Closing Lines

In the context of NBA betting, closing lines refer to the final point spreads and moneylines for each game as of the tipoff. These lines reflect the final consensus of the sportsbooks based on all the accumulated betting action until the game begins.

Why are closing lines important?

NBA closing lines show the final market sentiment. After adjustments based on incoming wagers, closing lines reveal where the majority of bettors placed their money. They can indicate potential value because if the closing line differs significantly from the opening line, it might signify hidden value for astute bettors who correctly predicted the market shift. Closing lines are also used for settlement: Once the game is over, payouts for all bets are calculated based on the closing line.

Need a pick for tonight’s slate of games? Look no further than BetQL’s NBA best bet model. We simulate all the games before they tip off to predict a winner and deliver you NBA best bets.

Our best bet model starts working the second the point spreads are released. Once the best bet model knows the spread it simulates the final score and compares that to the point spread.

Once the best bet model knows which side to bet it rates the game on a scale rating of 1-5 stars. 5 stars being the highest value best bet.

At BetQL our model has a pick for every single game on the slate, so no matter the game know that our NBA model has a best bet waiting for you!