NFL Playoffs: Top Player Prop Picks For Saturday's Wild-Card Games
Find out which NFL player props we're targeting for Saturday's slate
NFL Player Props
The 2023 NFL playoffs begin Saturday with two wild-card games: Seahawks at 49ers and Chargers at Jaguars. To help you make the best bets this weekend, the BetQL editors have picked a few of their favorite player props for Saturday below using key trends and data from the BetQL NFL model.
BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our NFL best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every game. Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of this week's best NFL bets!
NFL Player Props
The 2023 NFL playoffs begin Saturday with two wild-card games: Seahawks at 49ers and Chargers at Jaguars. To help you make the best bets this weekend, the BetQL editors have picked a few of their favorite player props for Saturday below using key trends and data from the BetQL NFL model.
BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our NFL best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every game. Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of this week's best NFL bets!
Dan Karpuc: 49ers RB Christian McCaffrey Over 115.5 Scrimmage Yards (-114, FanDuel)
In a 21-13 win at Seattle in Week 15, McCaffrey torched the Seahawks with 108 rushing yards and a touchdown on 26 carries with 30 receiving yards on six receptions (on eight targets). As arguably the best receiving back in the NFL, this is a great spot for McCaffrey to produce in a variety of ways. Not only did Seattle allow the sixth-most rushing yards per game to opposing running backs (114.8) in the regular season, but they also allowed the sixth-most receiving yards per contest to opposing backs (42.7). I expect McCaffrey to be heavily used in this playoff game since rookie quarterback Brock Purdy will be under center for the Niners. Kyle Shanahan is going to take the pressure off of Purdy and should give McCaffrey a huge workload as 9.5-point favorites.
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Kate Constable: 49ers TE George Kittle Anytime TD (+170, Caesars)
The Brock Purdy-to-George Kittle connection has been electric. Kittle has been targeted 27 times over the last four games and has hauled in 18 of those passes for seven touchdowns. Prior to those four games, Kittle only had four TDs on the season. Seattle’s defense is also a great matchup for opposing tight ends; the Seahawks have allowed eight TDs to TEs this season, not to mention the second-most receiving yards to the position. Kittle is also priced as short as +145 at other books, making his Caesars price a great value.
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Lucy Burdge: 49ers QB Brock Purdy Over 220.5 Passing Yards (-114, FanDuel)
Purdy has gone over this total in two of his last three games with 284 in Week 17 and and 234 in Week 16. He came close with 217 yards in Week 15 at Seattle, but I think the rookie can go over this total against the Seahawks at home this time in his first playoff game.
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Brad Pinkerton: 2 Chargers & A Jaguar To Target
There are several favorable matchups in this game, creating several intriguing player props.
First up, running backs. The Chargers have allowed the second-most RB rushing yards (2,164) and sixth-most total TDs (19) to RBs this season. That bodes well for Jaguars RB Travis Etienne. Meanwhile, the Jags allow the second-most RB receptions (107) and receiving yards (815) -- though, interestingly, zero TD receptions to RBs. That plays right into Chargers RB Austin Ekeler's strength.
Next, the Jags also allow the fourth-most receiving yards (1,066) to TEs along with seven TD catches to the position, tied for ninth-most. That puts Chargers TE Gerald Everett, especially if Chargers WR Mike Williams (back) is out.
With all that in mind, here's what I'm looking at for the Chargers-Jags nightcap with the best prices as of Wednesday afternoon:
- Travis Etienne Over 75.5 rushing yards (-115, BetMGM)
- Travis Etienne Anytime TD (-118, Caesars)
- Travis Etienne Over 75.5 rushing yards & ATTD (+197, Caesars)
- Austin Ekeler Over 36.5 receiving yards (-115, BetMGM)
- Gerald Everett Over 35.5 receiving yards
- Gerald Everett Anytime TD if Williams is out (+320, PointsBet)
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