NFL Week 17 begins with the Cowboys traveling to take on the Titans on Thursday Night Football. To help you make the best bets tonight, I picked a few of my favorite TNF player prop values below using key trends and the BetQL NFL model's data. BetQL subscribers get more NFL betting trends and all of our best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every pick.
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Parsons has racked up 13.0 sacks in 15 starts this season and with rookie Malik Willis now under center for the Titans due to Ryan Tannehill’s injury, I love the linebacker’s upside. Willis took four sacks against a terrible Texans defense last week and took three in the two other games in which he saw extended playing time this year.
As seen with many young quarterbacks, Willis still doesn’t have a firm grasp of leading an NFL offense and operating within the pocket, so I expect Parsons to drop him at least once in this game. This is one of my favorite player prop picks of the entire NFL season, not only because of the aforementioned points, but because there’s been a lot of buzz in the media about how the Defensive Player of the Year candidate’s lackluster performances over the last two weeks.
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BetQL is listing this as a five-star value and projects the Cowboys tight end to catch three passes for 20 yards. With just four targets in back-to-back weeks and within an offense that’s a double-digit favorite, Schultz will likely not need to be relied on too heavily. He’s gone under this 38.5-yard mark in four of his last six contests and our model projects him to fall short of the number yet again.
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Maher has gone over this number in three consecutive weeks (9, 10 and 16) and has gone 8-for-8 on field goals and 11-for-11 on extra points in that span. Given the prolific nature of this Dallas offense, he should see plenty of field goal and extra point opportunities in this matchup. Keep in mind that Maher leads all NFL kickers with 128 points this season, so he’s been the best of the best.
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