The Canadiens (6-16-2, 14 points) are off to a rocky start, but the Avalanche (11-7-1, 23 points) aren't exactly living up to their lofty expectations. BetQL is listing Montreal as a -113 home favorite with a 53.2% chance to win this game. We're projecting the Canadiens to out-shoot the Avalanche 32 to 30 and are giving the home team a 3.85 to 3.4 edge in goals in what should be a high-scoring affair.
The model is all over Sacred Heart (2-5) against Lafayette (2-4) tonight and labels SHU at -134 with a 57.4% chance to win. Let's be honest: both of these teams stink. However, to this point, Lafayette has performed worse across nearly every important metric. Most glaringly, they're shooting just 37.7% from the field, which ranks 336th out of 350 Division-I teams.
Under Tom Thibodeau, the Knicks (11-10) have gone 19-5 SU with a moneyline of +135 to -155. The model is projecting New York at -109 with a 52.2% chance to beat the Bulls (14-8) at Madison Square Garden tonight, thus making this a three-star value. Although the Knicks lost the first game with Kemba Walker out of the rotation (112-110 to the Nets), the team has now taken on Thibodeau's identity as a defensive-oriented group. That should be evident tonight, especially against Chicago's weak second unit.
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