Best NRFI Bets For Today: No Runs First Inning Picks

Best NRFI Bets Today: August 29

Every day the team at BetQL has you covered with our favorite NRFI picks for today's MLB games. Find which games we love and why we think they are the best NRFI bets for today. You will get our picks, expert analysis, and the best line available. Tail us on our No Runs First Inning picks and let's get six out to cash out!

Angels at Tigers NRFI (+100, FanDuel)

Los Angeles sends RHP Jack Kochanowicz to the hill for this early matchup, and he is due for a small bit of positive regression. He owns a 6.08 ERA, but a 5.71 xERA and 5.06 xFIP, showing that he's due for at least a somewhat better outing. He's still a replacement-level arm that is risky to back, but Detroit has struggled most of the season against right-handed pitching with just a 94 wRC+ as a lineup. I think it is possible that he has a decent start here, and maybe he can get through an inning without allowing a run.

RHP Keider Montero is on the mound for Detroit, who is also due for a bit of positive regression moving forward. He owns a 5.15 ERA, but a 5.01 xERA and 4.31 xFIP, so a good game is on the way. That certainly could be here, as the Angels have been horrible this season against right-handers with an 86 wRC+ as a lineup, a bottom-5 figure in MLB.

I think getting even money on this NRFI is some good value considering the offenses involved here, and the fact both starters are due for some positive regression relative to their actual numbers.

Rangers at White Sox NRFI (-115, BetMGM)

RHP Nathan Eovaldi gets the ball today for Texas, and he is pitching pretty much right in line with his projections at this point in the season. He owns a 3.79 ERA, with a 3.89 xERA and 3.36 xFIP, so no positive or negative regression to any large degree is expected. He's an above-average arm that can give you quality starts. He's also facing the White Sox, who are the worst team in baseball against right-handed pitching by a mile, with a disgusting 74 wRC+ as a lineup.

Countering him will be RHP Nick Nastrini, who has been up and down from the majors this season for Chicago. He's due for a slight bit of positive regression, with a massive 8.39 ERA, but a 7.22 xERA and 7.07 xFIP. Still, he probably shouldn't be pitching in the majors with what he has shown to this point, and he could very well allow a run quickly. However, the Rangers present a softer matchup for him, as they own just a 91 wRC+ as a lineup against right-handers.

Nastrini is easily the biggest risk here, but at just -115 with these two offenses, I think it is worth a play he doesn't get ripped right away.

Marlins at Rockies NRFI (+125, BetRivers)

Miami will have RHP Valente Bellozo on the mound this afternoon, and I won't lie, he is due for some massive regression. He owns a 3.35 ERA, with a 5.04 xERA and 5.46 xFIP, so he is going to get smacked around very soon. That could come today, but fortunately for him, he gets the Rockies offense to take on. They have been dreadful against right-handed pitching, with just an 85 wRC+ as a lineup, and striking out at a very high rate of 25.9%. If he is going to avoid that regression, this is the team to do it against.

On the other side, RHP Bradley Blalock is getting the ball for Colorado. He's also due for negative regression, with a 3.06 ERA, but a 4.72 xERA and 5.61 xFIP. Once again, however, he will get to face a Marlins offense that has been dreadful against right-handed pitching with an 87 wRC+ as a lineup.

I think both of these pitchers are replacement-level arms that are due to get smacked. That could happen in this game, I won't try to lie and say I think they are great. However, at +125 simply for two bottom-5 offenses to not generate a run in the 1st inning, I am willing to place a wager.

What is a NRFI bet?

In baseball betting, NRFI stands for "No Run First Inning." It's a wager on how many runs will be scored in the first inning, with the focus being on zero runs being scored in the first inning!

Essentially, you're betting for there to be six outs recorded before any runs are scored. NRFI has become a popular betting option because it offers a quick result – you only need to wait for the first inning to be over.

The Best NRFI Teams

Seattle Mariners

Look no further than the Seattle Mariners for a strong NRFI bet today. Their offense has been terrible early in games, averaging a meager .32 runs in the first inning. their pitching staff has been lights out. Starters like Luis Castillo, George Kirby, and Logan Gilbert have been dominant, shutting down opposing batters.

This combination of a slow-starting offense and a lights-out pitching staff has led to a stellar 66% hit rate on NRFI bets for the Mariners this season. With those odds in your favor, the Mariners are a top contender for a scoreless first inning today.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Don't underestimate the Pittsburgh Pirates for a potential NRFI play today. While their overall record might not be inspiring, they've been surprisingly effective in shutting down opponents early.

Their offense, mustering a paltry .34 runs in the first inning, ranks among the worst in baseball. This sluggish start complements their surprisingly strong pitching, particularly in the early going. Starters like Mitch Keller, Martin Perez, and Jared Jones have been stifling opposing bats, limiting them to an average of 4.11 runs per game.

With a potent combination of a weak first-inning offense and surprisingly strong pitching, the Pirates could be a great choice for an NRFI bet today. And considering their low overall scoring, they might even be worth a look for an under total runs wager as well.

Chicago White Sox

Believe it or not, the Chicago White Sox might be a hidden gem for an NRFI bet today. Yes, you read that right. The same White Sox struggling this season boast a surprising strength: shutting down opponents early. While their pitching surrenders a hefty 5.3 runs per game overall, they've managed to keep things tight in the first inning.

The White Sox currently sit at an impressive 24-13 record for NRFI bets, translating to a stellar 65% hit rate. This unexpected success might present some valuable betting opportunities. Considering their overall struggles, you might even snag some favorable odds on an NRFI wager for the White Sox today.

NRFI Betting Tips

Winning NRFI bets requires a keen eye on pitching matchups, team situations, and a tiny bit of luck. If you are looking to be more successful at NRFI bets, here are a few ways to improve your odds:

• Dominant Pitching is Key: Target starting pitchers with a low walk rate and a high strikeout rate. These pitchers limit baserunners and can rack up strikeouts to escape jams quickly. Ideally, these pitchers will have a history of success, not rookies or those coming back from injuries.
• Opposing Lineup Weaknesses: Check for injuries to key hitters, especially at the top of the lineup. A missing power bat can significantly decrease a team's early scoring chances. Additionally, if a team's top hitters are in a slump, it bodes well for an NRFI.
• Consider the Game Conditions: Cold weather or windy ballparks can make hitting difficult, favoring pitchers and potentially leading to fewer runs. Look for games played in ballparks known for being pitcher-friendly.
• Stay Informed: Watch for significant MLB line movement closer to game time. This could indicate a late lineup change favoring the offense, making NRFI less likely.

No Runs First Inning Predictions

Our NRFI bets for today are all about giving you the best shot at a scoreless first inning. We crunch the numbers and analyze pitching matchups relentlessly, but remember, baseball is a wild card. Upsets can happen, even to the best pitchers. We focus on providing insights, not guarantees, so you can place your NRFI bets with confidence and knowledge.

NRFI Betting Tips and Strategies

Want to cash in on MLB's early action? Check out our NRFI betting strategies and turn six little outs into quick wins!

Research the Starting Pitchers:

• Look for pitchers with strong first-inning performances. Check stats like First Inning ERA and strikeouts. Pitchers who consistently get outs early are ideal for NRFI bets.

Analyze Team Offenses:

• Target teams known for slow starts. Some teams struggle to get on base early, which reduces the chance of runs in the first inning. Look for recent batting stats, especially in the first inning.

Consider the Weather:

• Cold weather or windy parks can make hitting tougher, increasing the chance of a scoreless first. Be aware of weather forecasts and ballpark factors.

Shop for Good Odds:

• NRFI odds can vary slightly between sportsbooks. Check betting lines to find the most favorable odds for your chosen game.

Don't Chase Losses:

• Stick to your strategy and avoid trying to win back losses with bigger bets. Losses happen, so be patient and disciplined.

The Best Sportsbooks to bet NRFI

1. DraftKings: Offers a user-friendly interface with a wide range of NRFI betting options and competitive odds.
2. FanDuel: Provides daily NRFI promotions and boosts, making it attractive for maximizing potential returns.
3. Caesars Sportsbook: Rewards bettors with Caesars Rewards points for every NRFI wager, perfect for building long-term value.
4. BetMGM: Known for offering competitive lines and enticing new user bonuses that can be used on NRFI bets.

Need more Betting Picks?

Dive deeper into your betting strategy with BetQL's extensive resources, including:

• MLB Computer Picks: Leverage the power of our advanced model to gain insights on potential winning MLB bets.
• MLB Over/Unders: Find expert analysis and data-driven predictions for MLB total run bets.
• MLB Prop Picks: Discover BetQL's expert picks for various player and game-specific MLB prop bets.
• MLB Public Betting Picks: See where the money is flowing and gain insights into public sentiment on upcoming MLB games.