NBA Playbook: Betting Lines, Odds & Picks for Friday, May 13

NBA Betting Playbook for Friday

Friday's NBA trends are collected and ready to go. Let's take a look at what you should know before betting today's NBA playoff games.

One trend to note is that the BetQL NBA model has gone 16-6 (73%) on O/U picks rated ⭐⭐⭐ and higher over the last 30 days for a total return of $855 on $100 bets! BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every game. Click below to sign up for a BetQL Day Pass!

The Celtics led by 14 points in the fourth quarter of Game 5, and still lost. Over the last 25 postseasons, that's tied for the largest blown lead in the fourth quarter in franchise history, according to ESPN. That's a tough thing to come back from mentally, especially with the way Jrue Holiday single-handedly stopped them defensively late in the game.

The Bucks' 3-point shooting made it that much harder to hold that lead, with Milwaukee going 44.8 percent from deep, and Boston just 32.3 percent. Add that to the fact that the Celtics were outrebounded 49-36, and suddenly all the momentum swings back in Milwaukee's favor. Now, if Robert Williams can get back out there and be productive for the Celtics, that's a huge difference-maker on the glass and defensively, but all that is still to be determined.

With the game back in Milwaukee, it's not wrong to want to lean to a Bucks cover and win, but keep in mind Boston already covered +1.5 in their eight-point road win in Game 4. Each team has punched back after a loss, which means the Celtics are due a win to force a Game 7, which is where I'm cautiously leaning here.

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Maybe Steph Curry shouldn't have poked the bear with the whole "Whoop that Trick" promise.

Forget the embarrassing loss and complete humiliation in Memphis, though, because the Warriors aren't just going to roll over with the way that went down. Good for the Grizzlies taking full advantage of the situation at home, but let's not forget Golden State did still whoop them by 30 in Game 3.

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The issue for the Warriors in this series has been their slow starts, with the Grizzlies winning every single first quarter so far in this series, outscoring Golden State on average 31.0-24.6 points in the first frame. Golden State has also shot just 23.4 percent from 3 in the first quarter, while Memphis comes in at over 42 percent.

That's a serious trend that's worth a play, taking a Grizzlies moneyline bet for the first quarter, but with Golden State back on their home court and a chance to close out, they'll remember how Game 5 ended, and likely take the series in six when it's all said and done.

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BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets, including NBA player props, with star ratings for every game. Click below to sign up for a BetQL Day Pass!