NBA Finals: Betting Lines, Odds & Picks for Celtics vs. Warriors Game 6

NBA Finals: Betting Lines, Odds & Picks for Game 6

Here's a look at the betting lines and key trends you should know before betting on NBA Finals Game 6 between the Celtics and Warriors in Boston.

One trend to note is that the BetQL NBA model has gone 7-1 (88%) on all moneyline picks rated three stars and higher in the last 30 days for a total return of $313 on $100 bets! BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every game. Click below to sign up for a BetQL Day Pass!

The Warriors are one win away from their fourth NBA title since 2015. It's been a long road to get to this point, and if the Boston Celtics have anything to say about it, they'd like that road to be one game longer.

Heading into Game 6 with a 3-2 series lead, Golden State has history on its side; when tied 2-2, teams that win Game 5 go on to win the series 73 percent of the time. But given the fact that the Celtics have continued to thrive with their backs against the wall, a seven-game series still isn't out of the question.

Game 5 was the first time all postseason that the Celtics not only lost back-to-back games but failed to cover both times in the process. The Warriors do seem to have an inability to close out series, though, with Golden State losing close-out games on the road in Denver, then Memphis, and Dallas in consecutive series.

The Warriors just seem to prefer winning a series at home it looks like.

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Throughout the Finals, Steph Curry's MVP chase has been at the center of attention, and even with his all-time streak of 233 consecutive games with a made 3-pointer coming to an end in Game 5, he's still a heavy favorite to not only win the award but have a big bounce-back game Thursday night. Especially when Draymond Green told the world after the game that Steph was "livid" about his 0-for-9 performance.

"Keep shooting," Curry said of his thought process when he comes off games like that. "Very simple. Like there's never -- I'm not afraid to go 0-for-whatever because I'm going to keep shooting and taking shots that you normally feel like you can make. And I've responded well when I've had games like that from the 3-point line."

If Curry can at least come back closer to hitting the over on his point total (28.5 on FanDuel), coupled with another strong game from Andrew Wiggins (second-straight double-double, 26 points, 13 rebounds), the Celtics are in trouble.

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We've seen the Celtics in this position plenty of times, though, from sitting under .500 in January to winning 26 of their last 32 games, to winning three elimination games in these playoffs already, adversity has just been part of their story. They've essentially been in playoff mode for most of 2022, which bodes well for their pressure-tested group.

Boston is also 17-5 ATS avenging a home loss against an opponent this year, which might just lead to our first single-digit spread of the series when it's all said and done.

Boston needs a takeover game from Jayson Tatum to force a Game 7. Sure, Monday night he shot 50 percent from he field and put up 27 points, but he's only shooting 37 percent in this series and has been a roller coaster. If we're talking about a real takeover type of game, this needs to be closer to that 46-point performance that kept the Celtics alive when they were down 3-2 at Milwaukee a couple of rounds ago.

With all the debate about whether or not he's a superstar, over 27.5 points (DraftKings) is a must from the guy who still has the second-highest Finals MVP odds.

Given the Warriors' inability to close out on the road, and the Celtics' standing firm under pressure, I like Boston to win outright and force a Game 7.

BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets, including NBA player props, with star ratings for every game. Sign up for a BetQL Day Pass below!