Too Many Uncertainties In NBA's Sixth-Man Market

The Heat's Tyler Herro was a pretty easy bet to win NBA Sixth Man of the Year last season. Not only did he have the season to earn it, but the voting reflected that when he took 96 of the 100 possible first-place votes.

With the 2022-23 NBA futures market in its infancy, it should be no surprise to see Herro with the second-best odds to win NBA Sixth Man of the Year (+600 on FanDuel). sitting only behind Jordan Poole at +470.

Both Herro and Poole are the clear favorites, and it's more than likely you'll see them sitting here throughout the season.

With names like Malcolm Brogdon (+1600), Anfernee Simons (+1600) and Spencer Dinwiddie (+1800) next up on the board, we don't even know what their roles will be when the season starts. With the loss of Jalen Brunson, Dinwiddie has a good chance of starting now in Dallas, while Brogdon was brought into Boston to play a pretty big role at the point guard spot, and likely could end up starting over Marcus Smart.

Simons just signed a four-year, $100 million deal to stay in Portland, and with the fact that he averaged over 23 points per game as a starter last year, filling C.J. McCollum's slot at the two full-time is more than likely as well.

Herro, as long as he's not moved in a trade, will keep that same role he had last season, and Poole will likely do the same in Golden State if the Warriors starters stay healthy. The only real advantage you have here is forecasting what their prices will look like once the season starts, making it a better bet now if Herro or Poole start to pull away early.

Other than those two, I wouldn't waste any money betting on the rest of the field just yet until we see how rosters and depth charts shake out, given the usual unpredictability of the NBA offseason.