You may be wondering why you should bet on the Heat backup center hitting a 3-pointer tonight, but I’m here for you. Dedmon has made at least one 3 in four of his last seven games and with Bam Adebayo still out due to injury, he should see 30-plus minutes against the potential combination of Joel Embiid and Andre Drummond. The Heat will undoubtedly want to draw both of those centers out of the paint on defense, which could lead to more opportunities for Dedmon to cash in from beyond the arc. The 76ers have allowed 1.3 made 3-pointers per game to opposing centers (fifth most in the NBA) and BetQL is listing this is as a value due to the +195 odds on DraftKings; the model projects him to make one three-pointer, which is all you need to win this bet.
The Mavericks, who will be without Luka Doncic (ankle) again tonight, are just 8-17-2 O/U this season, the second-worst mark in the league. The under has hit in seven straight Mavs games and five straight in Dallas, where they're just 3-9 O/U. The Lakers are on a four-game under streak as well, so everything points to a relatively low-scoring game in Dallas tonight. BetQL projects 211 points and rates the under 213.5 as a ⭐⭐⭐ value bet.
This is a ⭐⭐⭐⭐ bet on BetQL, as the Nuggets have covered the spread as favorites in three of their last four games. They’ve also won three of their last four outright. The Nuggets beat the Timberwolves already this season and covered the spread against them, so I see them doing again tonight.
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