Top 4 Strikeout Props For Monday, April 25
Featuring Corbin Burnes, Jose Berrios, Max Scherzer and Shane Bieber
Dan Karpuc - Apr 25, 2022, 1:40pm EDTOdds in this article are subject to change. Check the latest MLB betting lines here: Latest MLB Odds | Latest Over/Under | Expert MLB picks
#4. Corbin Burnes Over 7.5 Strikeouts
Game: Brewers vs. Giants, 6:10pm EST
Through 3 starts, the reigning NL Cy Young winner picked up right where he left off. In 19.0 innings, he’s allowed just 11 hits, 5 earned runs (2.37 ERA) and has struck out 22 compared to 4 walks. His 0.79 WHIP highlights just how amazing he’s been, but it’s worth noting he’s pitched against the Cubs, Orioles and Pirates, all of whom don’t exactly have stellar lineups. The Giants have struck out 9.13 times per game so far this season (7th-most) and I like him to record 8+ punchouts.
MORE PICKS: BEST HITTER PROPS
#3. Jose Berrios Under 5.5 Strikeouts
Game: Blue Jays vs. Red Sox, 7:07pm EST
What a horrendous start to Berrios’ 2022 campaign. Through just 11.1 innings, he’s allowed 17 hits and 8 earned runs (6.35 ERA) and has surrendered 3 home runs. Interestingly, 29 of his recorded outs have been fly balls while just 11 have been ground balls, which doesn’t exactly bode well for him in today’s MLB. This Red Sox lineup just saw him in his last outing and while they only pushed across 1 run in 6.0 innings, they had 8 hits against him and should have the edge in the rematch. Over their last three games, Boston has struck out just 7.0 times per game, so I'm going to roll with the under.
#2. Max Scherzer Under 7.5 Strikeouts
Game: Mets at Cardinals, 7:45pm EST
Another year, more Scherzer dominance. In three starts, he’s gone 3-0 with a 2.50 ERA and through 18.0 innings, he’s allowed just 9 hits and 5 earned runs while punching out 23 hitters and walking 7. The future Hall of Famer struck out 6 against the Nationals, 7 against the Phillies and then 10 in his last start against the Giants, but will now take on a Cardinals lineup that regularly makes contact with the ball. In fact, St. Louis averages just 7.46 strikeouts per game this season so far, the 2nd-lowest mark in the Majors. Betting the under on any Scherzer strikeout prop is risky, but I view it as the best bet in this specific matchup.
#1. Shane Bieber Over 6.5 Strikeouts
Game: Guardians at Angels, 9:38pm EST
We haven’t seen Bieber’s elite strikeout stuff return (yet), but that could change soon. He’s recorded 16 strikeouts through 16.0 innings pitched compared to just three walks and his 2.25 ERA and 0.69 WHIP prove he’s been off to an effective start. His pitch count and this matchup are encouraging. He’s thrown 72, 79 and 86 pitches in his three starts and should be in the 90+ pitch range in this one if all goes well. Los Angeles has struck out an average of 9.67 times per game this season, the 2nd-highest mark in the Majors. Therefore, with a slightly-longer leash and against a team with plenty of strikeout potential, this is a great spot for Bieber to deliver 7+ strikeouts.
