Boston Red Sox vs

Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

The Toronto Blue Jays are 4-2 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Boston Red Sox who are 4-5 on the road this season. The Blue Jays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Blue Jays' starter Jose Berrios is forecasted to have a better game than Red Sox' starter Nathan Eovaldi. Jose Berrios has a 47% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Nathan Eovaldi has a 39% chance of a QS. If Jose Berrios has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 68%. In Nathan Eovaldi quality starts the Red Sox win 58%. He has a 52% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 58% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Danny Jansen who averaged 3.15 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 58% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 72% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Alex Verdugo who averaged 2.06 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 51% chance of winning.