New York Mets vs

St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

The St. Louis Cardinals are 3-1 at home this season and the New York Mets are 7-3 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mets' starter Max Scherzer is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals' starter Miles Mikolas. Max Scherzer has a 65% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Miles Mikolas has a 58% chance of a QS. If Max Scherzer has a quality start the Mets has a 61% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.3 and he has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 52%. In Miles Mikolas quality starts the Cardinals win 69%. He has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 69% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Nolan Arenado who averaged 2.41 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Francisco Lindor who averaged 2.18 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 66% chance of winning.