MLB Playbook: Betting Lines, Odds & Picks for Tuesday, May 17
Today's MLB betting odds, trends and picks you need to know
Bryan Zarpentine - May 17, 2022, 2:50pm EDTMLB Betting Playbook for Tuesday
The BetQL MLB model continues to rake, going 39-21 (65%) on all ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ picks in the last seven days for a total return of $1,169 on $100 bets!
Tuesday is bound to be another great day for MLB fans. With three doubleheaders on the schedule, there are 18 total games. With the way the BetQL model has been crushing it lately, there are even more opportunities to cash in. All you need is to check out the best bets available on Tuesday and key trends for each game.
BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets with star ratings for every game. Sign up for a BetQL Day Pass and see our best bets across all sports!
Odds in this article are subject to change. Check the latest MLB betting lines here: Latest MLB Odds | Latest Over/Under | Expert MLB picks
MLB BEST BET
Yankees -1.5 at Orioles ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Once again, the BetQL model is picking on the Orioles, but for good reason. The Orioles have lost four in a row after getting swept by the lowly Tigers last weekend. They now have to face the Yankees, who have the best record in baseball and have won five of the seven head-to-head meetings with Baltimore this season. Oddsmakers list New York’s moneyline at -235, but if that's not enough value for you, check out the Yankees' run line, which BetQL is rating 5/5 stars.
On Tuesday, the Yankees will give the start to Jameson Taillon, who is 3-1 with a 2.93 ERA this year. Granted, his two starts against the Orioles haven’t been his best of the season. But the Bronx Bombers won both of those games and are 5-0 ATS in Taillon's last five starts. He’s also facing a Baltimore lineup that has scored nine total runs over the last six games. If that continues, the Yankees could afford to have an off-night offensively and still win this game.
TOP PLAYER PROP
Nathan Eovaldi O 5.5 Ks vs. Astros (+110)
Eovaldi is the bright spot for the Red Sox rotation and I'm looking to him to go over on this strikeout total against the Astros tonight. He hit this over with six strikeouts in his last start and in his seven starts this season, he's hit this over five times. The Astros have a team total of 291 strikeouts this season, which is kind of in the middle of the pack, but especially with all the overs he's hit already this year I see Eovaldi soaring over this total tonight, especially with all the overs he's hit already this year. -- Lucy Burdge
TODAY'S MLB GAMES & BETTING TRENDS
The White Sox are a somewhat disappointing 16-18 ATS the spread this year. However, they are 6-3 SU and 5-4 ATS when they are favored on the road.
While the Dodgers failed to cover on Monday, they did win their second in a row, putting their recent struggles behind them. Plus, the Dodgers are 12-5 SU and 10-7 ATS as home favorites this year, making them one of three teams with a winning record ATS as a home favorite.
After a rainout on Monday, the Mets and Cards will play two games on Tuesday, which could be dangerous after the benches-clearing incident the last time they met. That means the Mets are still coming off Sunday’s loss and are 11-1 coming off a loss in 2022.
The state of Ohio hasn’t produced a lot of wins this year, but both teams from the Buckeye State have played high-scoring, entertaining games. The Reds are the best in the majors at hitting the over while the Guardians are the fifth-best. Together, they are 41-26-1 O/U, combining to hit the over 60% of the time.
The Tigers pulled off a surprising win over the Rays on Monday, giving Detroit four straight wins. While that’s surprising, the Tigers are 8-6 ATS this year when they are road underdogs whereas Tampa is 4-13 ATS as a home favorite.
MORE PICKS: BEST ODDS BOOSTS & JUICED PARLAYS
The Marlins have had a rough May, although Miami’s struggles have been coming from outside the NL East. They are 9-2 against their division rivals this year, including four straight wins, all of which have come against the Nationals, who are 4-10 inside the division.
The Phillies were scorching hot during their recent seven-game road trip, averaging 7.1 runs per game. They should be able to keep that going at home, although they are just 9-9 at Citizens Bank Park this year while the Padres are 12-6 SU on the road.
This game could be as simple as the Orioles averaging 3.2 runs per game and scoring just nine total runs in their last six games. Meanwhile, the Yankees are averaging 4.9 runs per game and have been the best team in baseball to this point of the season.
Even though the Mariners have hit the over 51.4% of the time this year, nine of Seattle’s last 10 road games against AL East teams have hit the under, including Toronto’s 6-2 win over the Mariners on Monday. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays are 14-21-1 O/U this year.
The Red Sox can’t complain too much about Nathan Eovaldi and his 3.15 ERA, although the team is just 2-5 when he starts. Also, despite losing to the Sox on Monday, the Astros have won 12 of their last 14 games.
Heading into Tuesday’s doubleheader, the Royals are just 6-10 at home this year. That could explain why Kansas City’s last seven home games against AL Central rivals have hit the under.
The Mets will see their old friend Steven Matz in the nightcap of Tuesday’s doubleheader. The former Met gave up four runs on six hits over four innings against his former team last month. However, the Cardinals came back to win that game. Also, the current Mets are just 4-6 against left-handed starters this year with their last two losses coming on days they faced a southpaw.
Monday’s 1-0 win for the Brewers was out of character for both Milwaukee and Atlanta. The Braves are the third-best team in the big leagues at hitting the over while the Brewers aren’t far behind. Together, they are 37-30-5 (.514) O/U this year.
Even with three straight wins, the Cubs are still six games under .500 on the season. However, at 19-15 ATS, the Cubs have the fifth-best ATS record in the majors despite being just 5-11 at Wrigley Field.
The standings say the Angels are seven games better than Texas. But the Rangers are 9-5 in May after beating the Halos on Monday. Under Chris Woodward, the Rangers are also 72-50 after winning two of their last three games, which Texas has done with back-to-back wins.
The Giants eked out a 7-6 win in the series opener on Monday, making them 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS as a road underdog. While the Rockies are 5-2 ATS as home underdogs, they have also lost eight of their last 10 games overall, including all four games against San Francisco.
The Twins took the series opener on Monday 3-1. That continues the trend of the A’s being terrible at home this year, going just 5-13. It also continued the trend of nine of Minnesota’s last 10 games against AL West teams hitting the under. In fact, both the Twins and A’s are hitting the under 61.8% of the time this year.
Over the last two years, the Dodgers are 42-9 at home when playing a team with a slugging percentage that’s under .400. Arizona’s slugging percentage is just .355 heading into Tuesday’s doubleheader.
MORE: SEE ALL OF BETQL’S BEST MLB BETS!
BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets with star ratings for every game. Sign up for a BetQL Day Pass and see our best bets across all sports!
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