Read This Before You Bet The Over In Bills-Titans

• The Buffalo Bills take on the Tennessee Titans in Nashville on Monday Night Football in Week 6.

• The Bills opened as 3.5-point road favorites, but that line has since jumped to Bills -5.5. The moneylines are now Bills -255 and Titans +205, with a game total of O/U 54.

• BetQL rates under 54 as a ⭐⭐ value and projects the total at 51.5 points. Josh Allen and Co. will do their part in trying to hit that total, but we're not sure sure about Tennessee.

Bills vs. Titans Odds

The Buffalo Bills travel to Nashville, Tenn., to take on the Tennessee Titans on Monday Night Football in Week 6. The Bills, coming off a convincing Sunday Night victory against the Chiefs in Kansas City, opened as 3.5-point road favorites, but that line has since jumped to Bills -5.5. The moneylines are now Bills -255 and Titans +205, with a game total of 54.

That movement has robbed these lines of some of their value, as expected, but bettors could still go under 54 on the total, which is a 2-star bet, according to the BetQL NFL Model. Don't scoff at 2-star value; the Model actually hit 60 percent of its 2-star NFL bets last week.

Bills vs. Titans Best Bet

The Bills' elite offense draws a Titans defense that gets a D+ rating from BetQL's NFL Model. While we expect the Bills to handle the Titans on Monday night, don't be too eager to bet the over quite yet.

Buffalo was just 1-3 O/U before combining with Kansas City for 58 points in Week 5 to barely go over the total of 57, the highest number of the season for the Bills. This week's total, now 54, is the second highest for Buffalo so far. Sure, we expect Buffalo to score plenty again in Week 6, but how much will the Titans chip in? While the Titans have a respectable B+-rated offense, according to BetQL, the Bills D is even better at A+, so expect a tough game offensively for Tennessee.

BetQL rates under 54 as a 2-star value and projects the total at 51.5 points. Josh Allen and Co. will do their part in trying to hit that total, but we're not sure sure about Tennessee. The Titans are averaging just 9.5 points in the first half, and if they fall behind early against Buffalo and have to abandon Derrick Henry in the run game, it could be a lopsided affair that falls short of the total.

We're seeing the total bounce between 52.5-54.5, so see if you can get on the higher end to go under.

BetQL went 19-10 (65.5%) across all ⭐⭐⭐⭐+ NFL bets in Week 5. If you bet $100 on each, you'd be up $507 right now. Join BetQL today to get all of the Model's best bets for NFL, college football and more!