2026 AFC Wild-Card Predictions and Preview

The BetQL NFL experts breakdown all the AFC Wild-Card games.

The 2026 AFC Wild-card weekend looks like it will be just that, WILD! The Broncos are sitting pretty with their first round bye, while the Steelers, Texans, Jaguars, Bills, Patriots and Chargers all battle it out this weekend for a chance to advance to the Divisional round.

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots

We have trending betting tips for the exciting NFL game featuring the New England Patriots against the Los Angeles Chargers, set to take place on Sunday, January 11, 2026, at the iconic Gillette Stadium. The atmosphere is sure to be electric as both teams showcase their talent in this crucial Wild Card Weekend matchup.

Home Team - New England Patriots

The New England Patriots, guided by head coach Mike Vrabel, have shown exceptional form in recent games. The team's last five outings have been promising:

  • January 4, 2026: New England Patriots 38 - 10 Miami Dolphins
  • December 28, 2025: New York Jets 10 - 42 New England Patriots
  • December 21, 2025: Baltimore Ravens 24 - 28 New England Patriots
  • December 14, 2025: New England Patriots 31 - 35 Buffalo Bills
  • December 1, 2025: New England Patriots 33 - 15 New York Giants

The Patriots have demonstrated resilience in their performances, particularly in gaining significant victories against tough opponents.

Away Team - Los Angeles Chargers

On the other hand, the Los Angeles Chargers, under the leadership of coach Jim Harbaugh, have faced challenges in their recent games. Here are their last five results:

  • January 4, 2026: Denver Broncos 19 - 3 Los Angeles Chargers
  • December 27, 2025: Los Angeles Chargers 16 - 20 Houston Texans
  • December 21, 2025: Dallas Cowboys 17 - 34 Los Angeles Chargers
  • December 14, 2025: Kansas City Chiefs 13 - 16 Los Angeles Chargers
  • December 8, 2025: Los Angeles Chargers 22 - 19 Philadelphia Eagles

While the Chargers have had moments of brilliance, consistency will be key as they head into this critical game.

Head-to-Head Statistics

In their previous encounters, the rivalry has been intense, with the Patriots and Chargers competing fiercely on the field. Their most recent matches reflect a competitive spirit, with New England often edging out in points. The last few results illustrate a consistent trend favoring the Patriots.

Game Predictions

Our NFL moneyline prediction is clear: the New England Patriots are favorites to secure a victory with a Moneyline of -204, according to Bet365. The best NFL point spread is currently set for a home win for the Patriots at -3.0 points with odds of -110. Additionally, the NFL total points betting market suggests an over of 45.5 points at -115 odds with Bet365.

Summary and Expectations

As the New England Patriots take on the Los Angeles Chargers, the stakes are high in this Wild Card Weekend game. With strong recent performances backing the Patriots and the challenges faced by the Chargers, expectations are set for an exciting encounter. Betting on the Patriots to win, covering the spread, and scoring over 45.5 points could be a favorable move for those looking to engage in the betting markets. Don't miss this highly anticipated clash!

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Buffalo Bills vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

We have trending betting tips for the upcoming game between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Buffalo Bills, scheduled for Sunday, January 11, 2026. This intriguing matchup, part of the Wild Card Weekend, promises excitement as both teams fight for a place in the playoffs.

Jacksonville Jaguars Overview

The Jacksonville Jaguars will be looking to leverage their home advantage under the guidance of coach Liam Coen. The team's recent performances suggest a strong offensive capability, achieving notable victories in their last five games:

  1. Jacksonville Jaguars 41 - 7 Tennessee Titans (Jan 4, 2026)
  2. Indianapolis Colts 17 - 23 Jacksonville Jaguars (Dec 28, 2025)
  3. Denver Broncos 20 - 34 Jacksonville Jaguars (Dec 21, 2025)
  4. Jacksonville Jaguars 48 - 20 New York Jets (Dec 14, 2025)
  5. Jacksonville Jaguars 36 - 19 Indianapolis Colts (Dec 7, 2025)

Jacksonville, led by QB Trevor Lawrence were impressive this season, and took the AFC South with an exceptional offense and passable defense. Their 7-2 record at home could serve them well against a Bills team that went 5-3 on the road.

Buffalo Bills Overview

On the other hand, the Buffalo Bills, coached by Sean McDermott, have also been in formidable form, making them a tough away team to beat. They will be looking to build on their consistent performances, which are reflected in their last five games:

  1. Buffalo Bills 35 - 8 New York Jets (Jan 4, 2026)
  2. Buffalo Bills 12 - 13 Philadelphia Eagles (Dec 28, 2025)
  3. Cleveland Browns 20 - 23 Buffalo Bills (Dec 21, 2025)
  4. New England Patriots 31 - 35 Buffalo Bills (Dec 14, 2025)
  5. Buffalo Bills 39 - 34 Cincinnati Bengals (Dec 7, 2025)

Just like the Jaguars, Buffalo’s top players have displayed exceptional skills, contributing to an effective offensive strategy, QB Josh Allen and RB James Cook III have led the Bills to their 12-5 record this season

Head-to-Head Statistics

Historically, the head-to-head results favor the Jaguars, with a previous outing that saw them triumph. In their last encounter, the score was Jacksonville Jaguars 30 - 21 Buffalo Bills. This game will be crucial as both teams aim to assert dominance after their last meeting.

Predictions for the Game

Our NFL moneyline prediction for this exciting game leans toward the away win for the Buffalo Bills with a Moneyline of -115 at Fanatics Sportsbook. The best NFL point spread, meanwhile, favors the Jaguars, who are set at +1.0 points, also at -115 with Fanatics Sportsbook. As for the NFL points total betting market, there's an expectation of high scoring, with an over/under line set at 50.5 points at -110.

Summary of the Game

As we look forward to this thrilling showdown, both the Jaguars and Bills have demonstrated their strengths in recent performances. With the contrasting predictions on the Moneyline and Spread, fans can expect an intense battle filled with strategic plays and dynamic offenses. Tune in on January 11, 2026, to witness whether the Jaguars can protect their home turf or if the Bills will continue their winning ways. This game promises to be one for the history books!

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Houston Texans vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

We have trending betting tips for the upcoming NFL game between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Houston Texans, scheduled to take place on Monday, January 12, 2026, at the iconic Acrisure Stadium. With the guidance of two outstanding coaches, Mike Tomlin leading the Steelers and DeMeco Ryans helming the Texans, this game promises to be a thrilling matchup.

Pittsburgh Steelers Overview

The Pittsburgh Steelers arrive at this game with a solid record from the previous season and an impressive streak of performance in their last five games. Here’s a brief look at their recent performances:

  • Win against Baltimore Ravens: 26-24
  • Loss to Cleveland Browns: 6-13
  • Win against Detroit Lions: 29-24
  • Win against Miami Dolphins: 28-15
  • Win against Baltimore Ravens: 27-22

As the home team, expectations are high, particularly with star players likely to shine on this big stage. While specific player statistics were not available, the Steelers are known for strong defensive and offensive capabilities.

Houston Texans Overview

On the other hand, the Houston Texans have demonstrated resilience and skill, especially in their last five games. They have been quite formidable, showcasing their ability to score heavily and defend well:

  • Win against Indianapolis Colts: 38-30
  • Win against Los Angeles Chargers: 20-16
  • Win against Las Vegas Raiders: 23-21
  • Win against Arizona Cardinals: 40-20
  • Win against Kansas City Chiefs: 20-10

The Texans' performance has largely been attributed to their key players who consistently deliver in crucial moments. QB C.J. Stroud and WR Nico Collins have led the Texans through a tough season, with their defense allowing the second fewest points in the league.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The encounters between the Steelers and Texans have been competitive over the years. Here’s a summary of their last few games:

  • Steelers 26 - Texans 24
  • Steelers 21 - Texans 23
  • Steelers 27 - Texans 18
  • Steelers 14 - Texans 28
  • Steelers 20 - Texans 20 (Tie)

The competition has always ignited with thrilling moments and close scores, keeping fans on the edge of their seats.

Game Predictions

Our NFL moneyline prediction is that the Houston Texans will likely emerge victorious with a moneyline of -175 at FanDuel Sportsbook, indicating confidence from the bookmakers in their chances of winning.

Best NFL point spread is backed by the Pittsburgh Steelers at +3.5 points, also available at -125, which suggests a competitive game with a close finish expected.

As for the NFL points total betting market, the line is set at over 38.5 points at -125; this could indicate a high-scoring affair as both teams have shown they can light up the scoreboard.

Summary and Predictions

As we gear up for this exciting game, fans can expect fireworks with both the Steelers and Texans bringing their A-game. The Texans might have the advantage in terms of recent form, but the home advantage for the Steelers could swing the game in their direction. Be prepared for a nail-biting contest as both teams vie for victory and a spot in the postseason. Keep an eye on the betting lines as they may shift leading up to the start of the game.

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