Another tough night for the sharps, as they go 1-2 on a limited slate yesterday. The 76ers were able to pull off the win over the Cavaliers, but Evansville got smoked by 30 and the Canucks couldn't upset the Rangers. Let's see if they can get back on track tonight and have a sweeper for the first time this week.
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Note: this data can and will likely change leading up to game time. Numbers reflected below were live at time of publishing.
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The sharps are going with the Chicago Bulls in tonight's NBA action against the Milwaukee Bucks. A whopping 52% of the total money wagered on the game is on the Bulls ATS, but just 25% of tickets are on that side. In contrast, just 48% of the money is on the Bucks ATS but a huge 75% of bets are on that side. That gives us a pretty decent-sized 27% "Pro-money advantage" on the Bulls, by subtracting the bet% from the money%.
Tickets on the Bulls are worth more money overall than those on the Bucks, so we know where the big money is going. We have already seen this line move in favor of the Bulls as well, showing that the respected money is on their side in this matchup.
I'll be at this game tonight, so you know it is almost guaranteed to lose. All jokes aside, half of Milwaukee's roster looks like it could be out tonight against Chicago, so perhaps that is why the sharps are taking this large spread tonight with the Bulls against a much better team. Although the Bucks have won five straight games while the Bulls have lost five in a row, so clearly momentum is on Milwaukee's side.
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Does the model agree with the sharps here on this NBA game? Check it out below:
The college basketball slate tonight is a pretty good one, but the sharps are skipping those games in favor of a game that no one will be watching or caring about tonight. We'll be backing an 11-16 team taking on a 20-6 team at a massive spread on the road, but perhaps being an in-state rival will have UL Monroe playing better tonight than they normally would.
A huge 92% of the money is on the Warhawks here, but just 29% of the total tickets are on that side. That means that those tickets are very expensive, and a whole lot of high-rollers are laying down wads of cash on that side of the aisle. In contrast, only about 8% of the money has been wagered on the Ragin' Cajuns as of this writing, but 71% of tickets have been placed taking them to cover. That means those tickets are being placed by the public. That gives us a 63% pro-money advantage on the Warhawks, making them the sharp side tonight.
Louisiana has lost two straight games, so perhaps the Warhawks are getting them at the right time while they are down and can keep this one at least semi-close.
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Does our model agree with the sharps in this game? Find out below:
If you don't bet on hockey, you are missing out on some insane value each and every night. We get plus-money bets hitting on a nightly basis with our NHL picks, and it's been a very profitable season with our NHL Playbook. The sharps tonight are riding with the Florida Panthers on the ice tonight on the road against the Washington Capitals.
As of this writing, 87% of the money is on the Panthers in this one, but just 52% of the total tickets. In comparison, 13% of the money is liking the Capitals to cover in the game, but 48% of tickets are riding with that side. That means that the tickets that are worth a substantially higher amount of money are siding with the Panthers in the game, as 87% of the money wagered is on 52% of the tickets placed.
I'll fade the sharps here again as I did yesterday with the Canucks, who lost the to Rangers. The Panthers are a team that I certainly think can not only win this game, but turn their season around in the second half. However, I feel that the value with the Capitals is better here than with the Panthers. Getting +100 with Washington at home is value to me, as they are also a playoff team that can definitely beat Florida.
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See if the BetQL model is on this side as well below:
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