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We took the Wizards as our upset pick the other night and that cashed easily with a 25-point win at Portland. I’m going back to the well and picking them to win outright against the Wolves tonight. Minnesota is back home after a four-game road trip and its players are going to be dealing with getting their families ready for a few days off over the All-Star break. I question whether or not their focus is going to be there in the same way that the Wizards will, being that Washington is finishing off a road trip and is likely still in business mode. The last time these teams met, Washington won by 15 despite Rudy Gobert and Karl-Anthony Towns playing in that game (Towns is out tonight, and Gobert and Kyle Anderson are both questionable), which is why I think the Wizards can get it done again tonight.
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Kate stole my Wizards upset pick, so I'll go further out on a limb with a small NBA slate and take the Bulls to win outright at home -- under one condition: Giannis Antetokounmpo doesn't play. I think there's a decent chance the Bucks rest Giannis and his sore knee tonight on the road against a weak Bulls team considering he's not going to get all that much rest and relaxation during the All-Star festivities. Plus, road teams seem to have checked out heading into the break (or never really checked in this season?). So I'll take Bulls +270 now -- after all, they've beaten Milwaukee two times already this season -- in hopes that Giannis is eventually ruled out along with Khris Middleton, who will not play. If Giannis plays, the line won't move much anyway, and I should be able to cash out without much of a loss.
This one is going to be disgusting to take, and I certainly understand that, but I think the value is there. The Jets don't impress me. They have a negative shot differential on the year, and their goaltending has really carried them to a 34-19-1 record. Now, the Blue Jackets are terrible, I'm not arguing against that. I just think that the Jets are complete frauds and shouldn't have a record close to as good as they have. The Jets are extremely overrated and should be more of a .500 team, so I'll take the value at close to 2/1 odds against Winnipeg, with the best price being at FanDuel.
The Blues have won their last two games, while the Devils have dropped two of the last three. Plus, the Devils have lost three of their last five on the road, while the Blues have won four of their last six at home. The Blues also beat the Devils, 5-3, when they faced off in January, so I like the Blues to get the win here once again.
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