When you think of the Washington Nationals right now, you probably are thinking of former Chicago Cubs slugger Kyle Schwarber and his incredible homerun streak as of late. When players get hot like Schwarber did in the month of June, things can change dramatically and in a hurry for a baseball club. It also means that bookmakers will have to adjust based off of the latest trends for a team, in this case the total, which many haven’t been able to accurately set since Schwarber started raking. Don’t look now, but the Nats are only four games out of first place in the NL East, sitting at 41-42 behind the New York Mets.
Our model over under model has been absolutely crushing its best bets on the total of these Nats games. You might think that Schwarber’s streak meant a flow of overs that always were hitting to get them back into the race, but that hasn’t always been the case. The model has been able to accurately figure out when it has been best to bet the over, and when the under has been the more valuable number.
In the month of June the BetQL model hit Nats totals at a clip of 70% and correctly picked 15 unders throughout the month
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The “Nasty Nats” haven’t been so nasty throughout the year so far, unless you want to take the literal sense of the word as their description. It’s been a pretty tough 2021 so far for Washington, but even so, they are only four games out of first place in their division that is currently led by the Mets. While they themselves have had their struggles this year, they have been helped by the disappointing play of their division rivals as well.
Perhaps most disappointing are the Atlanta Braves, who many including myself, pegged to be World Series contenders for this season. They are 41-43, and we all keep waiting and saying they’ll turn it around, but time is running out for them to truly make a significant change. This has opened the door for the Nationals, and much like they did at the halfway point of their improbable World Series run, the team has taken advantage and is on a roll recently.
Our computer model has been able to adjust quicker than the books on the recent run totals of this hot Washington squad, and has won at a 70% clip over the last month. To put that into perspective, the best gambling experts in the world win around 55-60% of the time. We have a feeling our model is onto something here, and you don’t want to miss out on all of its data and analytics that lead to better bets.