Upset Alert: Beware These NFL Underdogs in Week 11

Week 11 NFL Best Bets

Before you go backing those heavy favorites in your parlays or Survivor Pools, check out the BetQL staff's NFL underdog picks below. BetQL subscribers get more NFL betting trends and all of our best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every pick. Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of this week's best NFL bets, plus what the model is projecting for every NBA, NHL, college football and college basketball game! Start your free trial today!

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Dan Karpuc: Bears +140 at Falcons (BetMGM)
Despite the fact that the Bears just realized Justin Fields might already be a better version of Lamar Jackson at his prime, Chicago has lost three consecutive games after their shocking, 33-14, win in Foxborough against the Patriots. However, their last two losses (against the Dolphins and Lions) came by a grand total of four combined points, so they were in striking distance. Fields is doing things that have never been seen from the quarterback position as a runner and this Falcons team stinks despite their superior 4-6 SU record. With back-to-back losses to the Chargers and Panthers, Atlanta’s confidence is certainly at a season-low spot. I also like the Vikings (+105) to beat the Cowboys, but there’s more upside in placing this wager, which I’m all about.

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Brad Pinkerton: Steelers +175 vs. Bengals (Caesars)

All you really need to know is that Mike Tomlin is 14-8 SU and 16-3-3 ATS as a home underdog in his career. So whether you take Steelers +4 or sprinkle some on Steelers +175, you're making a smart bet backed by a strong trend and a great coach in that spot. Also, the Bengals have won in Pittsburgh only once since 2015, and don't forget that they lost to the Steelers back in Week 1 in that overtime "thriller." I'll back the Steelers, who have won their last two home games, against the Bengals, who have lost their last two road games, both to division rivals, making Cincinnati 0-3 in the AFC North.

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Lucy Burdge: Vikings +105 vs. Cowboys (FanDuel)
The Vikings are 8-1 this season and coming off a huge game-of-the-year-worthy win over the Bills, while the Cowboys are just 6-3 on the season. The Vikings are also 6-1 against conference opponents this season. And their confidence has to be high coming into this one against the Cowboys. With the Cowboys coming off a loss to the Packers and the Vikings on a seven-game winning streak, I like the Vikings to get the win here.

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MORE: SPORTSBOOKS’ BEST PROMOS FOR NFL WEEK 11

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