NFL Betting Guide: Odds, Trends & Picks For Week 11

NFL Betting Lines, Odds & Picks For Week 11

The NFL season moves into Week 11, and BetQL is your source for NFL best bets, live NFL public bets, live NFL sharp data, NFL line movement and historical betting trends in addition to our NFL articles that cover the sport from top to bottom. Scroll down to see all the best bets and key betting trends for this week's top matchups.

One trend to note is that the BetQL NFL model is on a roll, going 51-32 (62%) on all picks rated ⭐⭐⭐⭐ and higher in the last 30 days for a total return of $570 on $100 bets!

BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best NFL bets, including player props, with star ratings for every pick. Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of this week's best NFL bets, plus what the model is projecting for every NBA, NHL, college football and college basketball game! Start your free trial today!

MORE: THIS WEEK’S BETQL STAFF PICKS

Titans at Packers

ATS Record: Titans 7-2, Packers 4-6

O/U Record: Titans 2-7, Packers 4-6

The old Aaron Rodgers showed up last week, helping the Packers erase a 14-point deficit and win in overtime. Green Bay’s five-game losing streak was snapped, keeping the Packers alive in the playoff race. However, the Packers are back to being favorites this week. They’ve lost four in a row when favored and are 1-5 ATS as favorites this season. The Titans, meanwhile, continue to be doubted by the oddsmakers despite winning seven in a row ATS. That includes going 3-1 ATS and 2-2 SU as underdogs.

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Bears at Falcons

ATS Record: Bears 4-5-1, Falcons 6-4

O/U Record: Bears 6-4, Falcons 5-5

The Bears might be reeling from last week’s disappointing loss, their third in a row. But on the bright side, Chicago is averaging 31.0 points per game over the last four weeks, going 2-2 ATS in those games. Meanwhile, the Falcons started the season 6-0 ATS, only to lose their last four games ATS. Keep in mind Atlanta also started the season 3-0 O/U but has hit the under five times in seven games since then. While the Bears may have found a spark offensively, the Falcons have been held to 17 points or fewer in four of their last six games.

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Browns at Bills

ATS Record: Browns 4-5, Bills 4-4-1

O/U Record: Browns 6-2-1, Bills 2-7

The Bills are in danger of losing three in a row if they can’t get back on track this week. Buffalo has also lost three in a row ATS, as Josh Allen has struggled with ball security in recent weeks in addition to an elbow injury. However, we’re in the second half of the season, when Sean McDermott is 15-5 ATS when facing a team with a losing streak. To be fair, the Browns have their own set of problems, going 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS in their last six games. They haven’t won on the road since Week 1 and are coming off an ugly, 39-17 road loss to the Dolphins last week. To make matters worse, Cleveland is just 1-10 ATS under Kevin Stefanski when coming off a road loss.

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Eagles at Colts

ATS Record: Eagles 5-4, Colts 4-6

O/U Record: Eagles 5-3-1, Colts 2-8

Philadelphia’s undefeated record is no more, but the Eagles still open Week 11 favored by more than a touchdown on the road. The only problem is they’ve failed to cover in their last two games. Meanwhile, the Colts picked up a big win last week under interim coach Jeff Saturday. They also scored 25 points with Matt Ryan returning to the lineup. They are now 3-2 ATS and 3-2 SU as an underdog. Last week’s win over the Raiders was also just the second time the Colts have hit the over this season.

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Jets at Patriots

ATS Record: Jets 6-3, Patriots 5-3-1

O/U Record: Jets 3-6, Patriots 4-5

Every team in the AFC East has a winning record right now, so this game figures to be massive in the playoff race. The Patriots won four of their last five games before last week’s bye, including a road win over the Jets. New England’s winning streak against the Jets is now up to 13 games. That matches New England’s home regular-season winning streak against the Jets, who haven’t won a regular-season game in Foxboro since 2008. But those are the Jets of old. New York went 5-1 SU and 5-1 ATS in the six weeks leading up to last week’s bye. Of course, the one loss in both cases came against the Patriots.

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Rams at Saints

ATS Record: Rams 2-6-1, Saints 3-7

O/U Record: Rams 3-6, Saints 5-5

If either team has realistic playoff hopes in 2022, they need to win this game. The reigning champion Rams are falling apart before our eyes, losing three in a row following their bye week. They’ve also lost five of their last six games, scoring 17 points or fewer in all five of those losses. It hasn’t been much better for the Saints, who have lost four of their last five games, going 1-4 ATS during that stretch. New Orleans is favored at home in this game, although the Saints are 1-2 ATS as a favorite this year whereas the Rams are 0-2-1 ATS as an underdog.

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Lions at Giants

ATS Record: Lions 5-4, Giants 7-2

O/U Record: Lions 6-3, Giants 2-7

The Giants improved to 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS as a favorite last week by covering against the Texans. New York’s schedule is about to get a whole lot more difficult, but not before they have a chance to host the Lions. However, the Lions have won back-to-back games, both as an underdog. While Detroit's defensive woes have been undeniable, the Lions are top 10 in points scored this season with last week being the fourth time they’ve eclipsed 30 points in a game, which explains their 6-3 O/U record. Meanwhile, the Giants have yet to score or concede more than 27 points in any game in 2022, so this game is truly a clash of styles.

Panthers at Ravens

ATS Record: Panthers 4-6, Ravens 4-4-1

O/U Record: Panthers 4-6, Ravens 3-6

Baltimore comes back from its bye week as a double-digit favorite, which is a position the Ravens haven’t been in all season. While they’ve won three in a row, the Ravens are only 3-4 ATS when they’ve been favored this year. Yet, they look like a safe bet to win with John Harbaugh going 40-8 during the second half of the season against teams with a losing record. Of course, the Panthers notched a win against Atlanta last week and are 3-1 ATS in their last four games. However, they are winless SU and 1-3 ATS on the road this year.

Commanders at Texans

ATS Record: Commanders 5-4-1, Texans 4-4-1

O/U Record: Commanders 4-6, Texans 4-5

The Commanders are still last in the NFC East, but they are very much alive in the playoff race after beating the Eagles on Monday night. They’ve won four of their last five games, going 4-0-1 ATS during that stretch. Ron Rivera is now 7-1 SU during his tenure in Washington between Weeks 10- 13. Meanwhile, the Texans are riding a four-game losing streak since their bye, going 1-3 ATS in those games. They’re also averaging just 15.8 points per game over those four games and have given up more than 20 points in all but one of those four games.

Raiders at Broncos

ATS Record: Raiders 3-6, Broncos 3-6

O/U Record: Raiders 5-4, Broncos 1-8

The bye week didn’t help the Denver offense figure things out, as the Broncos scored just 10 points in last week’s loss to the Titans. They are now at risk of getting swept by the Raiders for the third straight season after losing in Las Vegas, 32-23, earlier this season. Ironically, that’s the only game the Broncos have hit the over this year. It’s the only game in which the Denver defense has allowed more than 17 points in regulation and just one of two games in which the Broncos have scored more than 16 points. As for the Raiders, they’ve lost three in a row despite being a slight favorite in all of them. And despite being 2-7 SU, this is just the third time the Raiders will be an underdog this year, losing both previous games.

Cowboys at Vikings

ATS Record: Cowboys 6-3, Vikings 4-4-1

O/U Record: Cowboys 3-5-1, Vikings 5-4

In one of the most overlooked NFL rivalries, the road team has won the last four Cowboys-Vikings games. Of course, these teams head into Week 11 coming off vastly different results. The Cowboys let a 14-point lead slip away in Green Bay while the Vikings forged an improbable comeback to beat Buffalo in overtime. The Vikings have now won seven in a row, although they are just 2-2 ATS at home. As for the Cowboys, they’ve lost their last two road games, although they are 3-1 ATS as favorites this season with last week’s loss being the first time they failed to cover when favored.

Bengals at Steelers

ATS Record: Bengals 6-3, Steelers 4-4-1

O/U Record: Bengals 3-5-1, Steelers 3-6

If the Bengals hadn’t turned it over five times and lost their long snapper to an injury, they probably wouldn’t have lost to the Steelers in Week 1. Nevertheless, they are hoping to avoid getting swept by the Steelers by winning in Pittsburgh for just the second time since 2015. They’ll be getting a Steelers team that’s confident after last week’s home win. The good news for the Bengals is they are 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games after starting the year 0-2. Plus, under Zac Taylor, they are 20-11 ATS on the road.

Chiefs at Chargers

ATS Record: Chiefs 4-5, Chargers 6-3

O/U Record: Chiefs 4-5, Chargers 4-5

The Chargers have to win this game to have a realistic chance of winning the AFC West. If Kansas City wins, the Chiefs will have a three-game lead and a sweep of Los Angeles, essentially giving them a four-game lead, albeit with seven more weeks left. Perhaps more concerning, the Chiefs have won seven straight road games against the Chargers. Including a 27-24 win earlier this year, the Chiefs have taken 14 of the last 17 games in this rivalry. But since the start of the 2019 season, four of Kansas City’s wins over the Chargers have come by seven points or fewer. The Chargers are also 2-0 ATS as an underdog this year, including their close loss in Kansas City.

49ers at Cardinals

ATS Record: 49ers 4-5, Cardinals 5-5

O/U Record: 49ers 3-6, Cardinals 5-5

The Cardinals swept the season series from San Francisco last year and have actually won 11 of the last 14 head-to-head games between these NFC West rivals. Of course, the Cardinals are still sizable home underdogs in this game, but Arizona has a respectable 3-4 record SU as an underdog. In fact, Kliff Kingsbury is 23-11 ATS as an underdog during his time in the NFL, including a 13-4 ATS record when the Cardinals are an underdog with the line between 3.5 and 9.5 points. Meanwhile, the 49ers are only 4-3 SU when favored, although they’ve won all three of their home games as favorites.

MORE: SPORTSBOOKS’ BEST PROMOS FOR NFL WEEK 11

BetQL subscribers get more betting trends and all of our best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every pick. Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of this week's best NFL bets, plus what the model is projecting for every NBA, NHL, college football and college basketball game! Start your free trial today!