NFL Week 17 wraps up with the Bills visiting the Bengals on Monday Night Football! To help you make the best bets tonight, the BetQL editors have picked a few of their favorite MNF bets below using key trends and the BetQL NFL model's data.
One trend to note is that the BetQL NFL model is hot in Week 17, going 34-18 (66%) on all NFL picks for a total return of $608 on $100 bets! BetQL subscribers get more NFL betting trends and all of our best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every pick.
Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of this week's best NFL bets, including player props, plus what the model is projecting for every NBA, NHL, college football and college basketball game! Start your free trial today!
Dan Karpuc: Stefon Diggs Over 73.5 Receiving Yards (-110, FanDuel)
Despite three consecutive dud weeks in which he put up 37, 60 and 26 receiving yards (10 catches on 16 targets), Diggs is in a great spot to bounce back in a huge way in a very important, tone-setting Monday Night Football matchup. A couple of those stat lines were clearly impacted by the elements of Mother Nature and I expect this to be a back-and-forth, high-scoring affair. Diggs has consistently shown up in standalone, primetime games throughout his career, and has attracted 15-plus targets three different times this season, including in his only other Monday Night Football outing back in Week 2. I expect him to get peppered with targets just like he has all season long; he ranks fourth in the NFL with 101 catches and third in receiving yards with 1,325. I’ll also tease this all the way up to 100+ receiving yards (+235 on FanDuel) as well.
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Matt Horner: Josh Allen Over 45.5 rushing yards (-125, PointsBet)
Allen's O/U on his rushing yards is as high as 48.5 at other books (and still in the -130s), and I think he clears this number easily. He’s 9-6 O/U this season at this listed number, with several games where he just missed going over. The Bengals also have several of their best pass-rushers on the defensive line hurt. It's clear that Buffalo likes to save Allen's legs against weak opponents, but they always utilize him more in big games. This would classify as a big game.
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Brad Pinkerton: Bills RB James Cook Anytime TD & 1st TD Scorer
This is our last chance to play BetMGM's First TD Scorer Insurance promo, which has run for every Thursday and Monday Night Football games all season. So I'm swinging for the fences a bit here and going with Bills RB James Cook, who has established himself as major threat in Buffalo's rush and pass attacks, at solid +1200 odds; remember, we get our stake back up to $25 if our pick doesn't score first. I also like the value on a Cook anytime TD +240 at BetRivers & Unibet, so that's worth a sprinkle as well.
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