Bills at Bengals: MNF Best Bets For Week 17
Live odds, best bets and model projections for the Week 17 edition of Monday Night Football
Dan Karpuc - Jan 1, 2023, 8:46pm EST
Bengals at Bills: Best Bets
After an exhilarating weekend of NFL and college football, we are going to be treated with a matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals (11-4) and Buffalo Bills (12-3) on Monday Night Football. These two AFC powerhouses have been on a roll and both squads are legitimate Super Bowl contenders. Winners of seven in a row, Cincinnati has also covered the spread seven consecutive times and will host Buffalo, who enter this game having won six consecutive contests (3-3 ATS in that span).
This has all the makings of a classic primetime battle and BetQL is your one-stop shop for all of your betting needs, from best bets to player prop values to sharp picks to exclusive sportsbook offers and much more! Scroll down to check out live odds, our best bets and a final score projection for this exciting matchup.
Bengals at Bills: Best Bets
After an exhilarating weekend of NFL and college football, we are going to be treated with a matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals (11-4) and Buffalo Bills (12-3) on Monday Night Football. These two AFC powerhouses have been on a roll and both squads are legitimate Super Bowl contenders. Winners of seven in a row, Cincinnati has also covered the spread seven consecutive times and will host Buffalo, who enter this game having won six consecutive contests (3-3 ATS in that span).
This has all the makings of a classic primetime battle and BetQL is your one-stop shop for all of your betting needs, from best bets to player prop values to sharp picks to exclusive sportsbook offers and much more! Scroll down to check out live odds, our best bets and a final score projection for this exciting matchup.
Bills at Bengals: Odds Shopping
Like one of our best bets above? Shop for the best odds below!
Bengals vs. Bills: Top Trends
As you might expect, both teams have significant trends in their favor heading into this battle.
Let’s start with the visiting team. Under Sean McDermott, the Bills have gone 10-2 ATS after gaining 175 or more rushing yards in their last game, 20-9 ATS after gaining 400-plus total yards in their previous game and 20-7 SU (41.4% ROI) after outgaining their opponent by 100-plus total yards in their last contest.
Usually those significant trends would give the Bills a massive edge, but not in this case. The Bengals have gone 9-0 ATS (8-1 SU) against teams that allow opposing quarterbacks to complete 61% or higher of their passes this season, 10-1 ATS against teams with a completion percentage of 61% or better on their offense and 20-6 ATS against teams that average 235-plus passing yards per game under Zac Taylor.
Start your free trial today to see all of our best bets!
Bills at Bengals: Key To Victory
Our model simulated this game 10,000 times and the keys of the game for both teams are clear.
The Bengals need to find a way to get running back Joe Mixon going. In wins, he averaged 78.0 rushing yards and 1.01 rushing touchdowns, but just 39.0 yards and 0.42 touchdowns in losses. Therefore, establishing the run is essential, according to our data.
Meanwhile, the Bills need to force turnovers. In our sims, Buffalo won 73.0% of the time when they had a positive turnover margin. Therefore, protecting the football while also forcing Joe Burrow into some dicey situations will be important for the Bills.
Start your free trial today to see all of our projections for this game!
Monday Night Football Final Score Projection
Below, see our team grades and final score projection for this game.
