Top NBA Spread Picks today on Fanatics

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Milwaukee Bucks 🆚 Chicago Bulls
🕑 Basketball, NBA
Last H2H: 125:104 Away win for Chicago Bulls

Last match home team: 116:128 Away loss for Milwaukee Bucks vs. Washington Wizards
Last match away team: 92:135 Away loss for Chicago Bulls vs. Toronto Raptors

Perfect! I now have comprehensive information about both teams' ATS records and predictions. Let me provide you with a summary:

ATS Records from TeamRankings.com

Milwaukee Bucks

For the 2026-2027 season, Milwaukee has an ATS Record of 0-1-0, with a Cover % of 0.0%, MOV of -12.0, and ATS +/- of -7.5 .

Last season (2025-26), the Bucks finished with a 36-45-1 ATS record .

Chicago Bulls

For the 2026-2027 season, Chicago has an ATS Record of 0-1-0, with a Cover % of 0.0%, and MOV of -43.0, and ATS +/- of -32.5 .

Game Prediction for October 23, 2026

The Milwaukee Bucks (0-1) host the Chicago Bulls (0-1) at Fiserv Forum at 4 p.m. ET on Friday, October 23, 2026, with the Bulls as 1.5-point underdogs .

Prediction Details:

Computer projections call for a final score of Bucks 127, Bulls 108, with picks being Bucks moneyline (-111), Under 238.5 (predicting 235.5 points), and Bucks -1.5 ATS .

Another model projects Bucks by 1.8 points with a total of 232.5 .

Both teams are coming off disappointing 2025-26 seasons and started this season with losses, making this an important early-season divisional matchup.

🚨 Spread ODDS Home: -120 Fanatics Sportsbook,
🚨 Our Spread Prediction: Away win for Chicago Bulls (+1.5 points), -120

Chicago’s last outing was a heavy 92–135 road loss to the Toronto Raptors, while Milwaukee most recently fell 116–128 at home to the Washington Wizards. The most recent head-to-head meeting was 125–104 in favor of the Chicago Bulls (an away win). As for win percentages (ATS cover rates referenced above), Milwaukee is at 0.0% to start 2026-27 and Chicago is also at 0.0% — both teams opened the season with covers of 0-1. These recent losses highlight early-season rust on both sides and suggest neither team has momentum going into this divisional matchup. Chicago’s blowout loss raises concerns about defensive cohesion, while Milwaukee’s double-digit defeat also points to early offensive/defensive imbalance. The market shows the home Bucks at -1.5 with Fanatics listing the home spread at -120 (Bucks -1.5, -120). Our stated spread pick from the prompt is an away win for the Chicago Bulls at +1.5 with the same American odds of -120. Given the divergent computer projections (one model heavily favoring Milwaukee, another closer), the public price of -120 for the home side suggests a tight line; our pick leans Chicago +1.5 (-120) per the provided recommendation.

Boston Celtics 🆚 New York Knicks
🕑 Basketball, NBA
Last H2H: 112:106 Home win for New York Knicks

Last match home team: 113:121 Away loss for Boston Celtics vs. Detroit Pistons
Last match away team: 100:106 Home loss for New York Knicks vs. Philadelphia 76ers

Perfect! I now have comprehensive ATS records and prediction information for both teams. Let me compile this information for you.

Based on my search of TeamRankings and prediction pages, here's the ATS (Against the Spread) information for the Boston Celtics and New York Knicks:

2025-26 Season ATS Records (Completed Season)

Boston Celtics

• Overall ATS: 47-33-0 (58.8% cover rate)
• Home ATS: 24-21-0 (53.3%)
• Away ATS: 23-13-0 (63.9%)
• As Underdog: 6-4-0 (60.0%)
• As Favorite: 36-29-0 (55.4%)
• Division Games: 6-8-0 (42.9%)

New York Knicks

• Overall ATS: 42-39-0 (51.9% cover rate)
• Home ATS: 32-17-0 (65.3%)
• Away ATS: Not listed in top performers
• As Underdog: 1-2-0 (33.3%)
• As Favorite: 43-36-0 (54.4%)
• Division Games: 11-3-0 (78.6%)

Current 2024-25 Season Data (from historical matchup)

In regular season games: Knicks 43-39-0 ATS, Celtics 49-33-0 ATS

Predictions for October 23, 2026 Game

The Celtics are 2.5-point favorites with an over/under set at 223.5 points .

According to one source, the Knicks had an overall ATS record of 49-33 (59.8%) in 2025-26, while the Celtics were 41-41 (50.0%) - note there are some discrepancies between sources on the exact records.

Computer projections expect a final score of Knicks 111, Celtics 109 , with picks favoring the Knicks to cover the spread.

Note: I was unable to directly access the TeamRankings ATS trends page you specified, but I retrieved the data from their live pages and related prediction sources that reference their statistics.

🚨 Spread ODDS Home: -125 Fanatics Sportsbook,
🚨 Our Spread Prediction: Away win for New York Knicks (+3.5 points), -125

Boston’s last game was a 113–121 road loss to the Detroit Pistons, while New York lost 100–106 at home to the Philadelphia 76ers. The most recent H2H was 112–106, a New York Knicks home win. Looking at ATS cover rates, Boston posted a strong 58.8% cover rate in 2025–26, while New York’s 2025–26 cover rate was about 51.9%. Those historical cover figures suggest Boston typically performs well against the spread (especially away last season) and New York is solid at home ATS, but early-season results show both teams off to losing starts. The Celtics’ loss to Detroit highlights some early defensive lapses; the Knicks’ narrow defeat to Philly indicates they remain competitive but not yet clicking fully on offense. Fanatics lists the home Celtics as -2.5 with the home spread odds at -125 (Celtics -2.5, -125). As provided in the prompt, our spread prediction favors the New York Knicks at +3.5 with American odds of -125. The line movement and model disagreement (some projections favor the Knicks to cover) make the Knicks +3.5 (-125) an attractive hedge if you believe New York’s interior defense and late-game execution can keep this close.

Miami Heat 🆚 Detroit Pistons
🕑 Basketball, NBA
Last H2H: 121:110 Home win for Miami Heat

Last match home team: 106:131 Home loss for Miami Heat vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
Last match away team: 121:113 Home win for Detroit Pistons vs. Boston Celtics

Based on the search results, I can provide you with the ATS records for both teams. Here's what I found:

Miami Heat ATS Record

The Miami Heat had a record of 47-36 against the spread in 2025-26 , which gives them a Cover % of 56.6% .

For the current 2026-27 season (which just started on October 23, 2026), Miami has an ATS Record of 0-1-0 with a Cover % of 0.0% .

Detroit Pistons ATS Record

Detroit put together a 44-38-0 record against the spread last year (2025-26 season). According to another source, Detroit Pistons finished the 2025-26 season with an ATS record of 43-36 (54%) .

For the current 2026-27 season, Detroit has an ATS Record of 1-0-0 with a Cover % of 100.0% .

Additional Context:

• Against the spread, Miami was 46-35-1 last year (an alternate record from a different source)
• The Pistons had an ATS record of 13-2 as underdogs of 1.5 points or more last year

Unfortunately, I wasn't able to access the specific TeamRankings ATS trends page you mentioned, but the information above comes from multiple reliable sports betting sources including TeamRankings' other pages, Covers.com, StatMuse, and OddsShark.

🚨 Spread ODDS Home: -120 Fanatics Sportsbook,
🚨 Our Spread Prediction: Away win for Detroit Pistons (+1.5 points), -120

Miami’s most recent result was a 106–131 home loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves, while Detroit beat Boston 121–113 in their last outing. The last head-to-head meeting listed was a 121–110 home win for the Miami Heat. Regarding ATS cover rates, Miami finished around 56.6% against the spread last season and Detroit around 54.0% — both above-average ATS performers in 2025–26. Miami’s heavy home loss signals potential early-season defensive breakdowns or lineup/rotation issues; Detroit’s win over Boston provides confidence and indicates the Pistons can score and sustain efficiency against quality opponents. Fanatics shows the home Heat spread at -120 (Heat -1.5, -120). The prompt’s stated spread pick is an away win for the Detroit Pistons at +1.5 with odds -120. Given Miami’s poor recent defensive output and Detroit’s winning momentum, the Pistons +1.5 (-120) aligns with the prompt’s recommendation and offers value if Detroit’s offense continues to be productive and Miami’s defense remains porous.