NCAA Men's Basketball Championship - South Region Round 1 Predictions

BetQL's CBB expert prediction for Round 1 in the South Region

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Last year's finalists Houston and Florida in the same region means that fireworks can be expected in the South region this year. Our CBB experts are here to break down all the first round games and give their predictions for who will be making it to round 2.

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Florida Gators (1) vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers (16)

BetQL is excited to present a thrilling prediction for the NCAA D1 Playoffs game between the Florida Gators and the Prairie View A&M Panthers, scheduled for Friday, March 20, 2026. This matchup promises to be a gripping contest as both teams vie for victory in the First Round of the tournament.

Florida Gators Performance and League Standings

The Florida Gators have had a challenging journey recently in the NCAA Southeastern Conference. Their last five games showcase a mix of results, including some tough losses. Here’s a summary of their performance:

  • March 14, 2026: Lost to Vanderbilt Commodores (74-91)
  • March 13, 2026: Defeated Kentucky Wildcats (71-63)
  • March 7, 2026: Defeated Kentucky Wildcats (84-77)
  • March 3, 2026: Defeated Mississippi State Bulldogs (108-74)
  • February 28, 2026: Defeated Arkansas Razorbacks (111-77)

While they have shown flashes of brilliance, particularly in their dominant victories, the Gators will need to harness their winning moments as they approach this playoff game.

Prairie View A&M Panthers Performance and League Standings

On the other side, the Prairie View A&M Panthers have been making quite the statement in the NCAA Southwestern Athletic Conference. Their last five games present a much more encouraging picture:

  • March 18, 2026: Defeated Lehigh Mountain Hawks (67-55)
  • March 14, 2026: Defeated Southern University Jaguars (72-66)
  • March 13, 2026: Defeated Alabama A&M Bulldogs (74-55)
  • March 11, 2026: Defeated Bethune-Cookman Wildcats (71-67)
  • March 10, 2026: Defeated Alcorn State Braves (65-56)

The Panthers come into this game with a strong momentum, displaying solid teamwork and impressive results in their recent outings, which could give them an edge in this playoff showdown.

Game Prediction

As for our prediction for this exciting game, the odds suggest an interesting matchup. The Florida Gators are favored to win with moneyline odds of -100000 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Alternatively, Prairie View A&M Panthers have an appealing spread bet lined up at +35.5 points with odds of -116 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Lastly, the total points line suggests a possibility for the game to go under 155.5 points, also at -116.

Both teams have shown they can be formidable on the court. The Gators will aim to harness their home-court advantage, while the Panthers will look to continue their winning streak. Fans shouldn't miss witnessing this clash of athletic prowess in the NCAA D1 Playoffs!

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Clemson Tigers (8) vs. Iowa Hawkeyes (9)

BetQL brings you an exciting prediction for the NCAA D1 Playoffs game between the Clemson Tigers and the Iowa Hawkeyes, set to take place on Friday, March 20, 2026, at an undisclosed location. Both teams will be looking to secure a victory in this pivotal first-round matchup.

Clemson Tigers: Home Team Performance and Standings

The Clemson Tigers have shown resilience and skill as they head into this game. In the previous season, they concluded with a record that had them competing fiercely in the NCAA Atlantic Coast Conference. The Tigers participated in the playoffs, playing two games, one of which was a challenging quarter-final match.

Their recent performances are worth noting:

  • Clemson Tigers Last 5 Games:Loss to Duke Blue Devils (61-73)Win against North Carolina Tar Heels (80-79)Win against Wake Forest Demon Deacons (71-62)Win against Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (79-76)Loss to North Carolina Tar Heels (63-67)

These matches illustrate a team that, although faced with difficulty, has managed to fight back and secure commendable victories. The Clemson Tigers will need to harness this momentum and enhance their gameplay if they wish to advance further.

Iowa Hawkeyes: Away Team Performance and Standings

On the other side, the Iowa Hawkeyes come into this game with a strong performance in the NCAA Big Ten Conference. Their drive and determination have seen them compete effectively, finishing their previous season with notable wins and resilience.

Recently, the Hawkeyes played in several high-stakes situations:

  • Iowa Hawkeyes Last 5 Games:Loss to Ohio State Buckeyes (69-72)Win against Maryland Terrapins (75-64)Loss to Nebraska Cornhuskers (75-84)Loss to Michigan Wolverines (68-71)Loss to Penn State Nittany Lions (69-71)

The Hawkeyes will be looking to capitalize on the skills and strategies they have improved upon through their earlier games this season. They need to shake off previous losses as they prepare for this important contest.

Game Prediction and Betting Information

As we look towards this compelling game, the prediction seems to lean in favor of the Iowa Hawkeyes. With a Moneyline set for a win at -139 on bet365 and a spread indicating a win for Iowa Hawkeyes at -1.5 points with odds of -116, the betting indicators suggest a strong confidence in their ability to clinch this game. Additionally, the totals are predicted to be under 131.5 points at odds of -116.

Both teams enter the game with their specific strengths and statistics, but the Hawkeyes might have the edge. This game promises to be a thrilling encounter that fans won't want to miss!

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Vanderbilt Commodores (5) vs. McNeese State Cowboys (12)

BetQL is excited to present this NCAA D1 Playoffs prediction for the anticipated game between the Vanderbilt Commodores and the McNeese Cowboys, set to take place on Thursday, March 19, 2026. The contest promises to be a thrilling encounter, showcasing the talents of both teams as they vie for a spot in the playoffs.

Vanderbilt Commodores: Home Team Performance

As the home team, the Vanderbilt Commodores come into this game following a strong performance in their previous season within the NCAA Southeastern Conference. last season, they secured multiple wins in their overall campaign, providing them with a solid foundation as they enter the playoffs. Recently, they showcased their prowess in the postseason, securing impressive victories against formidable opponents. Here are the results from their last five games:

  • March 15, 2026: Vanderbilt Commodores 75 vs. Arkansas Razorbacks 86
  • March 14, 2026: Vanderbilt Commodores 91 vs. Florida Gators 74
  • March 13, 2026: Vanderbilt Commodores 75 vs. Tennessee Volunteers 68
  • March 7, 2026: Tennessee Volunteers 82 vs. Vanderbilt Commodores 86
  • March 3, 2026: Ole Miss Rebels 86 vs. Vanderbilt Commodores 89

This sequence highlights their ability to adapt and perform under pressure, with notable victories indicating their readiness for the challenge ahead.

McNeese Cowboys: Away Team Performance

The McNeese Cowboys enter this game with a commendable performance in the NCAA Southland Conference, wrapping up their previous season with a solid record. They have demonstrated resilience and teamwork, reflected in their playoff performance as they aim to make an impact against the Commodores. Here are the results from their last five games:

  • March 11, 2026: McNeese Cowboys 76 vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 59
  • March 10, 2026: McNeese Cowboys 84 vs. UTRGV Vaqueros 80
  • March 2, 2026: Nicholls State Colonels 65 vs. McNeese Cowboys 75
  • February 28, 2026: New Orleans Privateers 63 vs. McNeese Cowboys 66
  • February 23, 2026: McNeese Cowboys 75 vs. UTRGV Vaqueros 68

The Cowboys have showcased a blend of offensive and defensive strategies that have led them to secure crucial victories, positioning them as formidable contenders in the playoffs.

Game Prediction

The odds favor the Vanderbilt Commodores in this matchup. According to BetMGM Sportsbook, a win for the Commodores has a Moneyline of -667. They are also favored on the spread with -10.5 points at -115 and an Over/Under total set at 149.5 points at -110. These figures reflect the expectations heading into this playoff game, with the Commodores seen as the more dominant team.

In conclusion, the upcoming game promises to be an exhilarating showdown. With both teams bringing impressive performances to the court, all eyes will be on how they leverage their strengths and strategies. March 19 will undoubtedly be a date marked on the calendars of basketball fans, and this prediction sets the stage for what is expected to be a thrilling game filled with competitive spirit.

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Troy Trojans (13) vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers (4)

BetQL is excited to bring you the prediction for the upcoming NCAA D1 Playoffs game between the Nebraska Cornhuskers and the Troy Trojans scheduled for Thursday, March 19, 2026. With the atmosphere electric and both teams eager to advance, this game promises to be a thrilling encounter.

Nebraska Cornhuskers Performance

The Nebraska Cornhuskers have demonstrated resilience and determination throughout the current season. They struggled in their last outing against Purdue with a score of 58-74, crushing their hopes in the quarter-finals of the NCAA Big Ten Conference. However, prior to that, they secured a commendable victory against Iowa, winning 84-75. Their matchup against UCLA brought a challenging defeat (52-72), but they had shown their mettle with a strong performance against USC, triumphing 82-67. Opening the month of February, Nebraska's powerful gameplay helped them seal another impressive victory against Maryland, finishing at 74-61.

Recent Matches:

  • Nebraska Cornhuskers 58 - 74 Purdue Boilermakers
  • Nebraska Cornhuskers 84 - 75 Iowa Hawkeyes
  • UCLA Bruins 72 - 52 Nebraska Cornhuskers
  • USC Trojans 67 - 82 Nebraska Cornhuskers
  • Nebraska Cornhuskers 74 - 61 Maryland Terrapins

Troy Trojans Performance

The Troy Trojans have been on an impressive streak, culminating in their recent victory in the Sun Belt Conference Final, where they overcame Georgia Southern with a commanding score of 77-61. Their semi-finals win against Southern Miss showcased their strong form as they defeated them 78-70. Earlier in February, Troy secured another significant victory over UL-Monroe with a score of 80-65, and they also outshone Louisiana with a substantial win at 78-59. However, their performance against South Alabama ended in a loss of 54-65.

Recent Matches:

  • Troy Trojans 77 - 61 Georgia Southern Eagles
  • Troy Trojans 78 - 70 Southern Miss Golden Eagles
  • Troy Trojans 80 - 65 UL-Monroe Warhawks
  • Troy Trojans 78 - 59 Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
  • South Alabama Jaguars 65 - 54 Troy Trojans

Match Prediction

As the Nebraska Cornhuskers face off against the Troy Trojans in this NCAA D1 Playoffs game, the prediction leans favorably towards Nebraska, currently positioned with a Moneyline of -1000 at Caesars Sportsbook for a win. On the other hand, the Trojans come in with a spread, allowing for a competitive edge at +14.5 points at -120. For fans eager to witness the action, the odds suggest a game potentially exceeding Totals of 136.5 points at -116, promising a high-scoring and exhilarating matchup.

With both teams vying for a place in the next round of the playoffs, excitement is guaranteed. Be sure to catch all the action as these two teams battle it out on the court!

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VCU Rams (11) vs. North Carolina Tar Heels (6)

BetQL is excited to present this NCAA D1 Playoffs prediction for the upcoming game featuring the North Carolina Tar Heels as they square off against the VCU Rams on Thursday, March 19, 2026. This anticipated matchup will take place at 18:50, showcasing two competitive teams vying for a crucial victory in the first round of the playoffs.

North Carolina Tar Heels Performance

The North Carolina Tar Heels, under the guidance of their coach, are looking to make a strong statement in this game. Although specific league standings are not highlighted, it's essential to note that they have shown resilience in their recent performances. Over their last five games, the Tar Heels faced tough opponents and gathered valuable experience, with their most recent game resulting in a narrow loss to the Clemson Tigers, with a score of 79-80. Their last five games include:

  • March 12, 2026: Lost to the Clemson Tigers (79-80)
  • March 7, 2026: Lost to the Duke Blue Devils (61-76)
  • March 3, 2026: Defeated the Clemson Tigers (67-63)
  • February 28, 2026: Defeated the Virginia Tech Hokies (89-82)
  • February 23, 2026: Defeated the Louisville Cardinals (77-74)

VCU Rams Performance

On the other hand, the VCU Rams arrive at this game with a commendable performance in the NCAA Atlantic 10 playoffs. They have emerged victorious in their previous games, including a strong win against the Dayton Flyers in the finals, where they dominated with a score of 70-62. Their consistent gameplay reflects their preparation for a tough challenge ahead in their playoff campaign. Here are their last five games:

  • March 15, 2026: Defeated the Dayton Flyers (70-62)
  • March 14, 2026: Defeated the Saint Joseph's Hawks (77-64)
  • March 13, 2026: Defeated the Duquesne Dukes (71-66)
  • March 6, 2026: Defeated the Dayton Flyers (68-62)
  • March 3, 2026: Defeated the George Mason Patriots (70-65)

Game Prediction

As the North Carolina Tar Heels prepare to host the VCU Rams, the predictions are leaning towards a victory for the Tar Heels, showcasing a Moneyline of -135 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Additionally, they are expected to come out strong against the spread with -1.5 points at -120 odds. Furthermore, the game may lean towards a lower-scoring affair, with totals set at under 154.5 points at -112 odds, indicating a possible defensive battle.

With both teams headed into this playoff showdown with critical stakes, fans are in for an exciting game filled with competitive spirit and thrilling moments. It will be a clash of tactics and skill, and viewers won't want to miss this matchup!

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Illinois Fighting Illini (3) vs. Penn Quakers (14)

BetQL brings you an exciting prediction for the upcoming NCAA D1 Playoffs game featuring the Illinois Fighting Illini against the Penn Quakers on Thursday, March 19, 2026. The anticipation is building as both teams prepare for this thrilling matchup.

Illinois Fighting Illini: A Strong Performance at Home

The Illinois Fighting Illini, though their exact home stadium remains unknown for this upcoming game, are coming off a season filled with intense competition in the NCAA Big Ten Conference. In their previous season, they recorded 2 wins in the playoffs, showcasing their potential to make a significant impact this year. Recent performances, however, have shown they need to tighten their game:

  • March 13, 2026: Lost to Wisconsin Badgers (88-91)
  • March 8, 2026: Defeated Maryland Terrapins (78-72)
  • March 3, 2026: Overcame Oregon Ducks (80-54)
  • February 27, 2026: Lost to Michigan Wolverines (70-84)
  • February 21, 2026: Narrow loss to UCLA Bruins (94-95)

These results indicate a team with resilience, but they will need to capitalize on their strengths and learn from their recent defeats to advance in the playoffs.

Penn Quakers: Solid Contenders Despite the Challenges

On the other side, the Penn Quakers have also showcased their prowess in the Ivy League. Last season concluded with an impressive record of 14 wins in the regular season, demonstrating their competitive edge. In the most recent games leading up to this playoff clash, the Quakers have shown consistent form:

  • March 15, 2026: Defeated Yale Bulldogs (88-84)
  • March 14, 2026: Won against Harvard Crimson (62-60)
  • March 6, 2026: Beat Brown Bears (82-61)
  • February 28, 2026: Victorious over Harvard Crimson (64-61)
  • February 27, 2026: Won against Dartmouth Big Green (80-71)

The Quakers enter this game with a successful mindset, bolstered by their recent victories and robust teamwork, which could prove vital against a determined Illinois squad.

Game Prediction: Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Penn Quakers

With the game set to kick off on March 19, the betting odds suggest a clear favorite: the Illinois Fighting Illini at a Moneyline of -10000 with FanDuel Sportsbook. Meanwhile, the Quakers offer a point spread of +23.5, also at -115 with FanDuel Sportsbook. Additionally, the expectation is for a total of over 148.5 points, again at -115 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

As both teams prepare for an action-packed game, this prediction leans towards the Illinois Fighting Illini leveraging their home advantage and past performances. However, with the Quakers displaying formidable capabilities, the contest promises to be a thrilling clash worth watching.

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Saint Mary's Gaels (7) vs. Texas A&M Aggies (10)

BetQL has an exciting NCAA D1 Playoffs prediction for you as the Saint Mary's Gaels prepare to take on the Texas A&M Aggies on Thursday, March 19, 2026. This anticipated game is set to showcase some dynamic basketball as both teams look to make their mark in the tournament.

Home Team Performance: Saint Mary's Gaels

The Saint Mary's Gaels have demonstrated strong performance leading up to this playoff encounter. In their most recent run, they have shown resilience and skill, culminating in a record of 3 wins and 2 losses in their last five games. Their recent matches include notable performances such as a victory against Gonzaga and a thrilling triumph over Santa Clara. Here’s how they stack up in their last five games:

  • Lost to Santa Clara Broncos, 71-76 (March 9, 2026)
  • Won against Gonzaga Bulldogs, 70-59 (February 28, 2026)
  • Won against Santa Clara Broncos, 86-67 (February 25, 2026)
  • Won against Washington State Cougars, 83-67 (February 21, 2026)
  • Won against Seattle Redhawks, 72-70 (February 18, 2026)

As the Gaels take the home court advantage in this playoff matchup, their coach and the team will draw on their experience and synergy to maximize their performance.

Away Team Performance: Texas A&M Aggies

On the other side, the Texas A&M Aggies come into this game with a commendable performance, boasting 4 wins and a single loss in their last five outings. Their successful momentum includes impressive high-scoring games, showcasing their offensive prowess. Here's how their last five games unfolded:

  • Lost to Oklahoma Sooners, 63-83 (March 12, 2026)
  • Won against LSU Tigers, 94-91 (March 7, 2026)
  • Won against Kentucky Wildcats, 96-85 (March 3, 2026)
  • Lost to Texas Longhorns, 70-76 (February 28, 2026)
  • Lost to Arkansas Razorbacks, 84-99 (February 25, 2026)

The Aggies will be looking to capitalize on this strong record and their high-octane offense as they head into the game, aiming to secure a pivotal playoff victory.

Prediction for the Game

The stage is set for a thrilling encounter between the Saint Mary's Gaels and Texas A&M Aggies. Betting odds currently favor a win for the Gaels at -161 Moneyline, while the Aggies are given a competitive edge with a spread of +3.5 points. The Totals set at over 146.5 points also suggests a high-scoring affair expected in this playoff battle, offering intrigue for fans and bettors alike.

With both teams coming in off a series of strong performances, this game promises to deliver excitement and competitive spirit. Mark your calendars, as you won't want to miss this thrilling matchup!

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Houston Cougars (2) vs. Idaho Vandals (15)

BetQL is excited to bring you this detailed prediction for the upcoming NCAA D1 Playoffs game between the Houston Cougars and the Idaho Vandals, set to take place on Thursday, March 19, 2026. The excitement builds as both teams gear up for a thrilling first-round encounter in what promises to be an intense matchup.

Houston Cougars Performance

The Houston Cougars have had an impressive season, finishing strong in the NCAA Big 12 Conference. With a record showcasing their competitive spirit, they have emerged as a formidable force in collegiate basketball. Although the exact figures for their current league standings are not available, it's clear that the Cougars are aiming for great things in the playoffs.

In their last five games, the Cougars have demonstrated resilience and skill, highlighted by the following results:

  • March 14, 2026: Against Arizona Wildcats - Houston Cougars 74, Arizona Wildcats 79
  • March 13, 2026: Against Kansas Jayhawks - Houston Cougars 69, Kansas Jayhawks 47
  • March 12, 2026: Against BYU Cougars - Houston Cougars 73, BYU Cougars 66
  • March 7, 2026: Against Oklahoma State Cowboys - Houston Cougars 82, Oklahoma State Cowboys 75
  • March 4, 2026: Against Baylor Bears - Houston Cougars 77, Baylor Bears 64

The Cougars’ last strong performance in the NCAA Big 12 semi-finals, where they convincingly defeated the Jayhawks, sets a high expectation for this playoff game.

Idaho Vandals Performance

The Idaho Vandals, competing in the NCAA Big Sky Conference, have also showcased remarkable skills throughout the season, achieving a notable standing. They have fought hard to secure their playoff position and are keen to make their mark in this critical game.

Here’s a look at how the Vandals fared in their recent encounters:

  • March 11, 2026: Against Montana Grizzlies - Idaho Vandals 77, Montana Grizzlies 66
  • March 10, 2026: Against Eastern Washington Eagles - Idaho Vandals 81, Eastern Washington Eagles 68
  • March 8, 2026: Against Montana State Bobcats - Idaho Vandals 78, Montana State Bobcats 74
  • March 7, 2026: Against Sacramento State Hornets - Idaho Vandals 68, Sacramento State Hornets 45
  • March 2, 2026: Against Eastern Washington Eagles - Idaho Vandals 85, Eastern Washington Eagles 81

The Vandals come into this game with momentum on their side, showcasing their capability to score and defend effectively, which makes them a team to watch.

Prediction for the Game

As the Houston Cougars face the Idaho Vandals, expectations are high, with the Cougars being heavily favored to win. According to the latest odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, there’s a compelling moneyline set for Houston at -10000, indicating strong confidence in their abilities. The spread also favors Houston, with odds of -119 for them to win by 21.5 points. The total for the game is set under 136.5 points at -116, suggesting a defensive approach might be anticipated.

In light of their robust form and overall season performance, it’s no surprise that the Cougars are positioned as the team likely to dominate. However, the Vandals are not to be underestimated, especially with their recent success. Be sure to mark your calendars for this exciting NCAA D1 Playoffs clash!

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