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College Football Over Under Picks

During the college football season, there is no better place to come to for weekly picks than BetQL. Whether you are a spread, money line, or total bettor, BetQL has you covered. Every week during the season, including Week 1, we will unlock 3-4 games to let you experience what we have to offer first hand. You will learn how we work and everything we have to offer for each game, including all the data and analytics that we use to make our pick. For each of the free picks that we offer during Week 1, you will be able to see our projected score, which side our college football model is projecting, all the public betting info and percentages, and which side the sharps are on for each of these games. We also will have entire previews written by our college football experts giving away their picks and thoughts on each game. All of that information will be available to you no matter how you bet, so make sure to check out BetQL every week after that for all the information you need to make smarter and more informed bets on college football.

Pitt vs Wake Forest

For offensive fireworks on championship weekend, look no further than the ACC Championship Game between the Pittsburgh Panthers and the Wake Forest Demon Deacons. Mercifully, the ACC Championship Game is no longer a game between Clemson and a team that can’t hang with the Tigers. On paper, this game figures to be a high-scoring shootout, which is why oddsmakers have given it an over/under of 72.5 points.

Pitt is led by quarterback Kenny Pickett, who has emerged as a top pro prospect and a legitimate Heisman candidate. Pickett has thrown for over 4,000 yards this season, making the Panthers a top-10 passing team nationally. While the Pitt running game can waver at times, the Pitt offense is always capable of moving the ball with Pickett and three standout receivers, most notably Jordan Addison, who has caught 17 of Pickett’s 40 touchdown passes this year. As a result, the Panthers have averaged 42.8 points per game this year, although they’ve been held to 31 points or less in four of their last seven games, so ACC opponents have had a little more success against them.

Meanwhile, only the Clemson defense has been able to stop the Wake Forest offense. The Demon Deacons have scored at least 35 points against every opponent this season except in their loss to the Tigers. However, they got back on track last week with a 41-10 win over Boston College. Compared to Pitt, the Wake running game has been a little more consistent, although quarterback Sam Hartman drives the offense, throwing for over 300 yards per game and helping the Demon Deacons average 42.9 points per game. Of course, despite their lopsided win over BC last week, the Demon Deacons have allowed at least 34 points in half of their games this season, so there is always pressure on the Wake Forest offense to perform at a high level, which is why the over/under in this game is the highest of any game this weekend.

UTSA vs Western Kentucky

Championship weekend gets started on Friday night with the Conference USA Championship Game between the UTSA Roadrunners and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers. It’s possible that the weekend gets started with a bang because oddsmakers are expecting this game to become a shootout. The over/under between the Roadrunners and the Hilltoppers is listed at 72 points. That might actually be underselling this game a little because the regular-season meeting between these teams ended with 98 total points

The Hilltoppers are the biggest reason for the high point total in this game. Most of WKU’s games this year have turned into high-scoring affairs. Quarterback Bailey Zappe came 32 yards short of throwing for 5,000 yards during the regular season, making the Hilltoppers the top passing team in the country. They rank top-10 nationally with 43.3 points per game. Western Kentucky has also scored over 50 points in back-to-back games against Florida Atlantic and Marshall, so the Hilltoppers are for real offensively. At the same time, WKU has allowed 21 points or less in seven straight games, all wins. That’s a far cry from earlier in the season when they lost four games in a row and couldn’t stop anyone, including a 52-46 loss to UTSA.

Speaking of the Roadrunners, they need to bounce back from their first loss of the season and their worst defensive performance of the season, giving up 45 points in a loss to North Texas. To be fair, UTSA has allowed 17 points or less in half of the team’s games, so the Roadrunners are better defensively than they showed last week. The good news is that the team’s balanced offense behind quarterback Frank Harris and running back Sincere McCormick can handle shootouts, scoring at least 34 points in seven of 12 games this year despite not having the same explosive passing game as Western Kentucky.

Utah vs Oregon

This year’s Pac-12 Championship Game is actually a revenge game for the Oregon Ducks, who take on the Utah Utes. Just two weeks ago, Utah hammered the Ducks 38-7, taking them out of the College Football Playoff discussion. The Ducks have a chance to get some immediate revenge and win their third straight conference championship at the same time. Oddly enough, the total number of points scored in this game could decide whether Oregon exacts its revenge or not with the over/under set at 60 points.

Few teams have been able to stop Oregon’s rushing attack this season, but Utah was able to do just that two weeks ago, holding the Ducks to just 63 rushing yards. Meanwhile, Anthony Brown completed just 17 of his 35 passes, failing to rise to the occasion when the Oregon offense needed him to carry the load. Nevertheless, the Ducks are still a top-20 rushing team, averaging 214 rushing yards per game and scoring 33.2 points per game this season. After getting a chance to dissect the tape of the Utah loss and getting back on track last week in their win over Oregon State, the Ducks might have better success running the ball against the Utes this week.

Of course, Utah’s defensive performance against Oregon shouldn’t be viewed as a surprise. The Utes held half of their opponents this year to 21 points or less, which is why 60 total points seems a little high after the first game between these teams. Keep in mind that Utah’s biggest strength offensively is also running the ball, as they ranked even higher than Oregon in rushing yards this season. The Utes also averaged over 35 points per game this season, finding a good rhythm offensively after Cameron Rising settled into the starting quarterback job. That means Utah could fare well in a high-scoring game just in case the Oregon offense finds some answers in this rematch.

Utah State vs San Diego State

For a defensive battle, the Mountain West Championship Game might be one of the best games of the weekend. The San Diego State Aztecs are hoping to get back on top of the conference after a mediocre 2020 campaign. They will be facing the Utah State Aggies, who are looking to win a conference championship for the first time since 2012 and just the second time this century. As mentioned, oddsmakers are expecting a defensive battle with the over/under set at just 50.5 points.

The Aztecs get all of the credit for one of the lowest over/under point totals of the weekend. They’ve been involved in defensive battles all year, going 11-1 but winning six of those 11 games by single digits because the SDSU offense simply couldn’t pull away and create separation. To their credit, the Aztecs have had some good offensive performances lately and continue to have a steady rushing attack. But the team’s quarterback play has been lacking all season. Even with Lucas Johnson providing some stability, the Aztecs can’t do much through the air. Johnson completed just 61% of his passes this year while averaging less than six yards per pass. He also completed 45% of his passes for less than 100 yards against Boise State this week. Alas, the Aztecs are a top-10 scoring defense nationally, giving up just 17.3 points per game.

However, Utah State is going to challenge the SDSU defense. Quarterback Logan Bonner threw for over 3,000 yards this year, finishing the regular season with 32 touchdown passes, including five in last week’s season finale. However, the Aggies have been vulnerable against good defensive teams this season. They scored just three points early in the season in a loss to Boise State and were held to just 17 points in a loss to Wyoming two weeks ago. The Aggies want to push the envelope and force the Aztecs into a high-scoring game, but there’s no guarantee they’ll be able to do that.

Northern Illinois vs Kent State

The MAC Championship Game might be the most low-profile game of the weekend, but it has a chance to be the most entertaining. The showdown between the Kent State Golden Flashes and the Northern Illinois Huskies features an over/under of 72.5 points, which is tied for the highest point total of championship weekend.

The Golden Flashes survived an overtime game with Miami (Ohio) last week to reach the conference title game and now bring their high-powered offense to Detroit. Kent State ranks third nationally in rushing yards behind 1,000-yard rusher Marquez Cooper and mobile quarterback Dustin Crum. To his credit, Crum can also throw the ball, completing 65% of his passes for nearly 2,800 yards this season. The Golden Flashes also have a 1,000-yard receiver in Dante Cephas, so they have a balanced offensive attack that has scored at least 30 points in seven of their eight conference games this year. The catch is that Kent State is giving up an average of 34.6 points per game, which is more points than the Kent State offense averages.

Northern Illinois is in a similar situation. The Huskies gave up more points than they scored during the regular season, including a 52-47 loss to Kent State earlier this year. However, NIU also ranks top-5 nationally in rushing yards behind a trio of running backs that average better than five yards per carry. Michigan State transfer Rocky Lombardi has also given the NIU a viable passing threat, even if he’s had some ups and downs this season. If they’re forced to throw the ball, the Huskies might be in some trouble, which they found out in last week’s loss to Western Michigan with Lombardi out due to an injury. Lombardi should be able to return for the MAC Championship Game, although the Huskies will need to stick to their rushing attack if they hope to keep up with Kent State in a high-scoring game.

College Football Over Under Picks Explained

Betting on the over under total is very tough in college because games are much more unpredictable with these young athletes out on the field. Even the most talented players have poor games and stretches throughout their college career, which makes it that much harder to predict the final score of each game. Have no fear though, because BetQL is here to get you all the best possible picks for the total each and every game, each and every week. We rank each of our bets on a scale of 1 to 5 Stars, with 5 Stars being the most profitable bets each week. Our computer model is able to identify trends and player statistics to see who is performing up to par, and who is slumping. We use real time data and analysis to predict each score, so picking the over under total has never been easier. When there is a large discrepancy between our model projection and the actual line, we give the bet a 5 Star rating so you know you’re making a smart bet. Each pick will include analysis on how the model projected its bet, as well as where the model would have the game lined. You also get the picks faster, because our model begins working on them as soon as the line opens. With BetQL, there is no more worrying about which games to bet on during the college football season. We even adapt in-game, so you can find the best value while the ball is in the air. We have you covered for every game, from the first kickoff of the season until the last second ticks off the clock in the College Football Championship. No other sport betting service can get you the picks faster and with a higher winning percentage than BetQL, meaning we will keep you ahead of the bookmakers all season long. If you want to start making the most informed college football picks and getting the best closing line value around, then subscribe to BetQL and start beating the books.

College Football Totals Betting Explained

As stated above, betting the over under is one of the hardest things to do in a college football game because of the incredible amount of unpredictability involved in the sport. However, betting over unders is a pretty straightforward way of betting that doesn’t require much information to understand how it works. The total is a very common way for sports bettors to wager on a game, and you will see below why even the most inexperienced sports gambler will have an easy time understanding the basics of total betting. We have compiled an example that explains how betting the total works, as well as explaining the odds that are associated with making a total bet on the over under. Check it out below.

College Football Over Under Example: Notre Dame vs. Clemson (O56,-110) (U56, -110)

Betting the total in a college football game is hard when it comes to picking a winner, but not hard to understand how it works. As you can see above, the total for this game between Notre Dame and Clemson is set at 56. This simply means that the total score between both teams when combined is projected to be 56 points. Betting the over for this game would imply that you believe the total amount of points scored during the game will be higher than 56. If the game lands on exactly 56 points scored, the bet pushes and you get the money back that you wagered on the game. A bet on the under would imply that you believe the total score of the game will be under 56 points. The bet would also push should the number land on 56. So, as you can see, it’s pretty simple to understand. You are just betting if the total amount of points scored in the game is higher or lower than the number listed.

Now for the second part, the actual odds you have to pay to make the bet. This is fairly simple to understand once you know what the numbers mean. In this instance, both spreads are listed as -110. What this simply means is that in order to win $100, you must bet $110 dollars. The amounts do not have to be this small or large either, as it would mean the same thing with any amount. An $11 wager would win you $10, while an $1100 dollar wager would win you $1000, and so on. This extra price you have to pay is called “vigor” or “juice” on a line. Think of it like a tax you are having to pay the books to place your bet.

There are times when you will occasionally see a “plus-money” line with a spread bet, however, that is very rare. If you do see one, it will simply have a “+” instead of a “-“ in front of the number. Let’s say the number is +160. What this means is that if you bet $100 on this line, you would win $160. So you are not having to pay a tax at all, and instead, you are getting a much higher payout. Lines like these are always on a bet that is more unlikely to win, so you will have to be okay with the risk that involves being in the unfavorable situation.

Expert College Football Over Under Picks:

At BetQL, we know that sports bettors want the most options possible at their disposal before they place their hard-earned money on a college football game. Not only do we have our computer models picks on each game every week, but we have a team of experts working throughout the season to help you make your bets. This is a team of real people who work each week to crunch the numbers and do their own research to find you the best value on certain games. But that’s not where the options stop with BetQL. We have all the betting data you need from the sports books to figure out where the money is going, from public money percentage to sharp money. This lets you see where the big bets are being placed, and which side the sharp bettors are on.

One of the best ways, and most profitable ways, to bet the over under total is by looking at the sharp action. These numbers will tell you where all the huge tickets are going on a game, compared to where the small wagers are being placed. For example, one team may have a huge number of tickets on them compiling of 90% of the total bets placed on that game for that type of wager, while the other team only has 10%. However, that 10% team may have over 70% of the total money bet on the game, meaning that the bets placed on that team are very large amounts of money. This lets you separate the more inexperienced bettors from the big cats that are placing massive amounts of money on bets every single night. These gamblers are usually sharp bettors, people that gamble for a living and have inside sources that help them win bets. We have this data via our BetQL model that tells us the Sharp %, making sure you know where the pros are betting each and every game.

College Football Over Under Lines

One of the best things about BetQL is the lightning-fast speeds in which we are able to get our picks and projections out to our clients. As soon as the sportsbooks release their numbers on a game, we instantly update our database with the current number and pick based off of that number. This way, you get closing line value immediately, and are able to make a smart bet as soon as the number is released. The best part about it is that we always update our pick based on the current number that is listed at the books, so no matter what, you will always be getting the best value for your bet where ever the line is set at. Picking college football totals is one of the hardest tasks for any handicapper, but that task becomes much easier with computer models like BetQL. The computer simply is much faster sorting through all the data and analytics, able to do research in a fraction of the time it would take a human. This is how we are able to get you the information instantly, and continue to update that information the second a line moves.

When Do Our College Football Over Under Picks Come Out?

As stated above, there is no-one that is quicker to get their picks out than BetQL. We want to be sure that you get the best of the number and secure that closing line value before it is stripped away. Our picks go live the instant the odds come out, so you won’t have to wait on the experts to sort through all the research and data. Our computer does that in seconds after each game is played, so it is already able to make a pick as soon as the lines come out on which way the data is telling you to bet. BetQL is a faster way to make smarter and more informed bets.

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