MACtion Playbook: Betting Lines, Odds & Picks For This Week

MAC Betting Lines, Odds & Picks For Week 12

The BetQL model has been on an absolute heater lately, and this week presents us with a nice six-game slate to weave through in the wonderful world of MACtion. Let's dive into these games and make some winning wagers on the gridiron.

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MACtion continues on Tuesday night as Ohio takes on Ball State. This is a game that both teams really want to win, so we should see an intense battle. Ohio enters this contest on a five-game winning streak and in first place in the East Division after last week's 37-21 win over rival Miami (OH). The Bobcats can clinch their spot in the MAC Championship Game this week with a win over Ball State and a loss by Bowling Green, so you can bet that they will be giving their all to get a win.

Meanwhile, Ball State will be hoping to play spoiler. Not only that, but they also become bowl eligible with a win at home. The Cardinals must defeat the Bobcats here or win on the road against the RedHawks next week if they want to play in a bowl game. Ball State gave Toledo all they could handle on the road last week but couldn't protect a lead in the third quarter and ended up losing 28-21. Ball State leads the head-to-head series against Ohio 15-11 all-time.

MY PICK: Ohio is led by arguably the MAC's best player this year, quarterback Kurtis Rourke. The balanced attack of the Bobcats will be too much for the Cardinals to overcome in the end, but Ball State isn't going to lose quietly. It will stay within 10 points. I'd take Ohio at -4, as I think they win by a TD.

Kent State totally destroyed Bowling Green last week on the road 40-6 in a game that wasn't close at any point. Now the Golden Flashes return home in hopes of making a push to six wins and a bowl game appearance when they take on Eastern Michigan. They won last week as well, picking up their sixth victory to make themselves eligible for a bowl game. Both teams are 4-6 against the spread this season, so neither one has done a great job in performing above expectations. Kent State is a massive -7 favorite in the game, but that probably isn't a good thing for them. Kent State is 2-4 ATS as a favorite this season, and 0-4 ATS as a favorite of more than a field goal against FBS opponents. Basically, they never cover these big numbers.

Eastern Michigan has an offense that can keep up with Kent State. We don't know who will suit up as QB for them, but it really hasn't mattered much this season. The offense still is one of the better ones in the country, but their defense has been dreadful in 2022. This is a ton of points to be getting in a game that features teams that aren't that different.

PICK: I actually think Eastern Michigan could just win the game, so I would sprinkle the moneyline for them. I'll definitely take the +7.5. Eastern Michigan is 4-1 ATS as an underdog this season, and this is far too many points.

This game only matters to Miami (OH). At 3-7, Northern Illinois defeated Western Michigan last week, 24-21, while Miami fell to Ohio, 37-21. I'm shocked by how bad the Miami offense has been this year after being one of the best in the country just a year ago. The RedHawks still have a shot at a bowl, but they must win their last two games in order to be bowl eligible. What's amazing to me is that they have had a lead in nine of ten games this season but haven't been able to finish the job. I picked them as my MAC champion before the season, and they have disappointed me by not being able to close games.

It hasn't been a great season for NIU like they have had in recent years, but they can finish their season strong and play spoiler to some others. The Huskies turned the ball over three times and had seven penalties for 84 yards in their last game, but they still managed to get the win and overcome all of those mistakes. Still, this is a team that has been back and forth at QB, and they don't seem to have a real answer in the passing game. They are actually ranked 28th in rushing, and that's how they run their offense.

MY PICK: I will go with the team that I liked heading into the year, and that is Miami (OH). I think their offense is more consistent and stable, and all they need to do is just learn how to hold on to the lead against a bad team that is prone to mistakes. God be with us.